6 December 2019

NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 9 DEC 13 DEC 2019


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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12100, 12200, 12300

 PIVOT POINT: 11900
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11800, 11700, 11600
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY


















DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12000, 12050, 12100
PIVOT POINT: 11900
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11800, 11750, 11700
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY




The index has undergone a corrective move in three out of four trading sessions so far this week. Even the market breadth remained in favor of declining counters, which indicates profit booking in individual stocks. At this juncture, it is trading this week with a loss of around 0.31 percent. On the other hand, the Nifty Bank index too suffered some selling and is trading with a loss of 0.73% from its previous week’s close.  Monday morning, the global cues were excellent and were ideal to have a head start for the first week of December. In line with this, we had a gap up opening with a fair margin; but it was merely a formality to remain in sync with the Asian traders. Within a few seconds, the lead got disappeared and we were back below 12100. After this, the Nifty made one more attempt to inch higher but once again this short up move got sold into. During the remaining part of the day, market consolidated with no major movement and eventually ended the session with a negligible loss on Monday. Similar to Monday’s session, the early morning gap up opening was merely a formality as we saw index giving up all gains in few minutes of trade. In fact, the selling aggravated as the day progressed and in the course of action, Nifty was at a kissing distance from 11950. At one point, things looks extremely bleak; but fortunately for us, patient buyers entered on declines which helped index recoup some portion of its losses at the close. On Wednesday once again the escalated concerns over Sino-US trade war spooked the market participants across the globe. Fortunately for us, we did not react so negatively to this development as some of the global peers did. After seeing a marginal cut at the opening, the index picked up strong momentum in the upward direction in first 30 minutes of trade. In the process, Nifty managed to reclaim the 12000 mark. However, the selling recurred at higher levels; resulting into a nosedive below 11950 at the midst. By the grace of god, traders / investors were given yet another opportunity to smile as we witnessed not only a v-shaped recovery but also a convincing break above morning high to end the session by adding over four tenths of a percent to the bulls’ kitty On Wednesday, we had a strong last hour surge in our market, which probably was the reflection of hopes built for yet another rate cut by RBI. In line with this, the market was trading with a positive bias ahead of the monetary policy; but ‘Status Quo’ from RBI clearly disappointed market participants and as a result, the Nifty gave up all gains and slipped into a negative territory. The most sensitive index, Bank Nifty tumbled from morning highs and remained under pressure thereafter. Eventually, the day ended with some cuts on indices as well as the broader market.

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5 December 2019

RBI POLICY ANNOUNCEMENT ; NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 6 DEC 2019

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A lackluster trading session ended on marginally negative note. Nifty somehow managed to hold above the 12000 mark, as concerns over growth and RBI’s status quo on policy rate hurt investor sentiment. The RBI decision for a status quo though an unanticipated policy surprise is the most appropriate as monetary policy works with a lag.  The lowering of the GDP growth for FY20 and FY21 reflects continued growth conundrums and a slow recovery. On the development and regulatory front, the steps announced for the Primary (Urban) Co-operative Banks will facilitate increased public confidence in these institutions. Today’s policy announcements have also given further push for the development of the secondary market for corporate loans by creation of SRB thereby matching the global best practices in this regard. Decision to allow OTC currency derivative transactions upto USD 10 million without evidence of underlying exposure will provide a fresh breath of life to this market giving it much required depth going forward.

4 December 2019

NIFTY PREDICTION & OPTION CALLS FOR 5 DEC 2019

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Bulls & bears were on a roller coaster ride as nifty started with marginal losses, but remained highly volatile and finally managed to reclaim its bullishness to settle near the 12050 mark. The Nifty closed with the gain of around 50 points after news agency Bloomberg reported that the US and China were closer to signing trade deal despite heated rhetoric. The Sensex surged 374 points from day's low to settle at 40850 level, up 175 points., The Nifty was back above the psychological mark of 12000, and settled 49 points at 12043-mark.

3 December 2019

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A lackluster trading session ended on negative note, on the back of weakness in the global markets and neutral to negative domestic flow. Nifty witnessed selling since the start of the day and closed at 11,994 with a loss of 54 points, forming a bearish candle on the daily chart. In the second half of the trading session, bulls tried to comeback in safer zone from the lows of 11960 and closed around 12000. Market turned cautious due to global issues like import tariffs by the US on Argentina & Brazil and likely retaliation by China over the support by the US in Hong Kong which could impact the progressing trade deal. A slide in telecom stocks after a recent spike and risk of a further downgrade in FY20 GDP estimate due to overshooting inflation and weak demand could be the risks to be mitigated by RBI in the policy meet this week.

2 December 2019

NIFTY PREDICTION & OPTION CALLS FOR 3 DEC 2019

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A volatile trading session ended on flat note as losses in auto and private bank stocks offset rally in telecom counters. The sensex closed marginally higher by 8 points at 40802, it swung between a high of 41093 and a low of 40707 during the day. Nifty settled 7 points down at 12048.

30 November 2019

NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 2 DEC 6 DEC 2019

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12200, 12300, 12400
 PIVOT POINT: 12100
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  12000, 11900, 11800
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY


















DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12150, 12200, 12250
PIVOT POINT: 12100
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  12050, 12000, 11950
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY



In the penultimate week, we saw some indecision in the market around 12000 which eventually resulted into a decline towards 11900. However, on Monday, the week kick started on an optimistic note and marked a fantastic intraday rally to reclaim 12000 with some authority. Clearly the opening day had set the tone for the rest of the week. In-line with this, the rally extended as the week progressed and finally on Thursday, the Nifty surpassed its previous record highs to mark a new number of 12158.80. However on Friday, the Asian bourses once again looked a bit nervous and as a rub off effect of the same, we witnessed some profit booking to conclude the week tad above the 12050 mark.  We have been quite vocal since last few weeks that it’s a matter of time we would see Nifty clocking fresh record highs and finally it’s a reality now. In fact, despite the penultimate week’s tail end decline, we remained firm and advised using this as a buying opportunity. The strategy played out well and in spite of slightly weak day on Friday, we continue with our positive stance on the market. The benchmark index has registered a highest ever weekly as well as Monthly close and the way charts are shaped up, we expect continuation of the northward trajectory.