24 May 2012


Most of nifty traders trade without stoploss  which is very risky because you put all your capital at stake.Money management is one of the most important  aspects of trading. Many traders, for instance, enter a trade without any kind of exit strategy and are therefore more likely to take premature profits or, worse, run losses. Traders need to understand what exits are available to them and know how to create an exit strategy that will help minimize losses and lock in profits. 

Making an Exit

There are obviously only two ways you can get out of a trade: by taking a loss or by making a gain.


Developing an Exit Strategy
There are three things that must be considered when developing an exit strategy in nifty. The first question you should ask yourself is, "How long am I planning on being in this trade?" Secondly, "How much risk am I willing to take?" And finally, "Where do I want to get out?"

How Long Am I Planning to Be in This Trade?
The answer to this question depends on what type of trader you are. If you are in it for the long-term (for more than one month), then you should focus on the following:
·         Setting profit targets to be hit in several years, which will restrict your amount of trades
·         Developing trailing stop-loss points that allow for profits to be locked in every so often in order to limit your downside potential. Remember, often the primary goal of long-term investors is to preserve capital
·         Taking profit in increments over a period of time to reduce volatility while liquidating
·         Allowing for volatility so that you keep your trades to a minimum
·         Creating exit strategies based on fundamental factors geared towards the long term
If, however, you are in a trade for the short-term, you should concern yourself with these things: 
·         Setting near-term profit targets that execute at opportune times to maximize profits. Here are some common execution points:
o    Pivot point levels.
o    Fibonacci/Gann levels.
o    Trend line breaks.
o    Any other technical points. 
·         Developing solid stop-loss points that immediately get rid of holdings that don't perform.
·         Creating exit strategies based on technical or fundamental factors affecting the short-term.
How Much Risk Am I Willing to Take?
Risk is an important factor when investing. When determining your
 risk level, you are determining how much you can afford to lose. This will determine the length of your trade and the type of stop-loss you will use. Those who want less risk tend to set tighter stops; and those who assume more risk give more generous downward room. 

Another important thing to do is to set your stop-loss points so that they are kept from being set off by normal market volatility. This can be done several ways. The
 beta indicator can give you a good idea of how volatile the stock is relative to the market in general. If this number is within zero and two, then you will be safe with a stop-loss point at around 10 to 20% lower than where you bought. However, if the stock has a beta upwards of three, you might want to consider setting a lower stop-loss, or finding an important level to rely on (such as a 52-week low, moving average, or other significant point). 

Where Do I Want to Get Out?
Why, you may ask, would you want to set a take-profit point, where you sell when your stock is performing well? Well, many people become irrationally attached to their holdings and hold these equities when the underlying fundamentals of the trade have changed. On the flip side, traders sometimes worry and sell their holdings even when there has been no change in underlying fundamentals. Both of these situations can lead to losses and missed profit opportunities. Setting a point at which you will sell takes the emotion out of trading.

The exit point itself should be set at a critical price level. For long-term investors, this is often at a fundamental milestone - such as the company's yearly target. For short-term investors, this is often set at technical points, such as certain Fibonacci levels, pivot points or other such points.

The Bottom Line
Exit strategies and other money management techniques can greatly enhance your trading by eliminating emotion and reducing risk. Before you enter a trade, consider the three questions listed above and set a point at which you will sell for a loss, and a point at which you will sell for a gain.


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