Showing posts with label NIFTY OPTION. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NIFTY OPTION. Show all posts

Monday, May 29, 2023

NIFTY OUTLOOK & BEST OPTION TIPS FOR 30 MAY 2023

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The Nifty started the week strongly, rising more than half a percent on May 29 to 18599. It followed positive Asian signals after the preliminary agreement on the US debt ceiling and a new high for the domestic banking index. All sectors, apart from information technology and oil & gas, the index supported the daily high of 18641, also its highest level this calendar year. After opening above 18600, the index ranged between 50 and 60 points. It closed 99 points higher at 18599 and formed a doji candle on the daily chart, indicating indecisiveness between the bulls and bears. However, the mood remains positive. The Nifty is nearing 18650-187750 and possibly 18,887, its December all-time high, though not without some consolidation, experts say. Support on the downside has emerged at 18,400 level. After a long-awaited period, the Nifty bank is now breaking new ground. We expect the Nifty index to follow suit, testing the all-time high of 18,887 and possibly even higher in the near future. The recent sharp price advance that has caused short-term indicators to enter the overbought zone and subdued intraday moves may slow the Nifty's advance. It would be prudent to use downturns to go long and take profits at higher levels. The resistance around 18400-18200 will now serve as support, while the 18800-18,900 area will serve as immediate resistance. On the options up front, the maximum open call interest was at 18800 strikes, followed by 18700 and 18600 strikes, with sensible ones Call writing on similar strikes in a similar order. On the put side, the maximum open interest was 18400 strikes, followed by 18300 strikes and 18200 strikes. with writing at 18700 strikes, then 18600 strikes. The data shows that 18600-18800 is likely to be the resistance zone and 18500-18300 support zone for the index. Bank Nifty opened a gap to the upside at 44,277 and extended gains to hit a fresh intraday high of 44,483 but then consolidated in a tight 150 point range. It closed 294 points higher to a new closing high of 44,312. The index formed a bullish small-bodied candle with a long upper shadow on the daily scale, suggesting profit-taking at higher levels. Now it needs to continue holding above the 44150 level to make an upward move towards 44,500 and then a new life high of 44,750 while on the downside support is expected at 44150 and then 44,000. India VIX, the volatility indicator, rose 3.34% to 12.30 from 11.90.

Resistance: 18600, 18700, 18800

Support: 18500, 18400, 18300

Friday, February 12, 2021

NIFTY WEEKLY PREDICTION & NIFTY TIPS FOR 15 FEB TO 19 FEB 2021

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15300, 15500,15800

PIVOT POINT: 15000

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14800, 14600, 14400

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY


















DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15200, 15300, 15400

PIVOT POINT: 15100

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  15500, 15400, 15300

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Index managed to hold the bullish stream throughout the week and closed a week at 1563 with gains 1.60 % The positive global sentiment aided to a gap up opening for the week and the Nifty continued to march higher to end the first day of the week above the 15100 mark. Nifty started Tuesday marginally positive and crept higher to surpass 15250 level. However, we witnessed some profit booking in the last hour of the day due to which Nifty gave up its intraday gains and ended the day on a flat note. Nifty started the Wednesday on a flat note, but corrected in the first hour of the trade to mark a low tad above the 15000 mark. We witnessed some pullback before noon towards 15125 but again some profit booking emerged and the index sneaked below the 15000 level. But it was not over yet, we again saw a recovery at the end and the index managed to recover the losses and end this roller coaster day on a flat note. The Thursday weekly expiry session turned out to be a day of consolidation as the Nifty traded with a narrow range and ended the day with gains of less than half a percent. Markets ended a tumultuous week on a flat note amid subdued trade in Asia and bleak UK economic data. The Office for National Statistics said on Friday that the UK's gross domestic product shrank 9.9% in 2020, its biggest decline on record.

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 14800; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 15300

Nifty again closed the week with gains. Moves in the Nifty are becoming choppier in a narrow range. Institutional flows have come back to normal levels after remaining high over the last few weeks. Nifty could take support at 14800 in the coming week, while on rises 15300 could offer resistance. A breach of this level could result in continued bullish moves. 

Wednesday, July 29, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 30 JULY 2020


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Nifty failed to continue its bullish momentum of the last session and witnessed selling pressure at higher levels. Markets traded volatile and settled with a cut of nearly 1%. After the initial uptick, nifty inched gradually lower as participants preferred to book some profit ahead of july monthly expiry tomorrow 30 July 2020. Besides, the existence of a critical hurdle around 11350 zone in the Nifty added to the pressure.Nifty has got stuck in range in between 11100 to 11350 zones and requires a decisive range breakout with follow up action to commence the next leg of rally. Now it has to continue to hold 11150 zones to extend its move towards 11355 then 11425 zones while on the downside key support exists at 11025 levels. Markets will react to the outcome of Fed meet in the early trade on Thursday i.e. 30 July 2020. The scheduled derivatives expiry combined with earnings would keep the participants on their toes. Indications are in the favor of further profit-taking in the nifty ahead so we advise booking profits in existing longs and wait for clarity to re-enter.
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Resistance: 11350, 11450, 11550
Support: 11150, 11050, 10950

Monday, July 27, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 28 JULY 2020

Market ended lower on Monday due to the massive slip in the banking stocks after a month or so. At close, Sensex ended 194 points to 37935 while the Nifty index ended at 11132, down 62 points. The banking index came in red after the Reserve Bank of India in its Financial Stability report forecast that bad loans could soar due to a rise in pandemic-led debt burdens. Because of the pandemic, loan growth has slowed and the moratorium has hit repayments. This is a double whammy for banks.

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 16 JULY 2020

Bulls are back in action & took nifty above 10800 mark. Risk appetite was boosted after Moderna Inc's experimental vaccine for coronavirus showed it was safe and provoked immune responses in all 45 healthy volunteers in an ongoing early-stage study. expectation of  stimulus from the governments also boosted the market sentiments. The Sensex closed 18 points higher at 36051 while the Nifty settled 10 points higher at 10618.

Tuesday, June 23, 2020

NIFY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 24 JUNE 2020

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On account of positive global cues, the Indian indices ended in the green zone after the closing bell. The Sensex scaled 35,000 levels and sustained above it by closing at 35414  i.e.  503 points above yesterday's closing. The Nifty went up 159 points and closed at 10471 levels while the Bank Nifty index regained 22000 levels after closing at 22264 levels.

Monday, June 8, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 8 JUNE 2020

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A volatile trading session ended on positive note. The recent rally, seen globally, was based on expectations of economic recovery, post easing of lockdown measures.  In India, the cases continue to rise and the markets seem to be ignoring this, for the time being, giving more priority to the news of the economy opening up. The overall market mood now has turned positive with the restriction on lockdown being gradually eased by the government across the country. Also, investor’s confidence is seen improving and most feel that worse is now behind us and the period of wait-and-watch is over for now.  Market ended on positive note amid volatile trade seen on June 8 with Nifty above 10150 level. At close, the Sensex was up 83 points at 34370, and the Nifty was up 25 points at 10167.

Tuesday, June 2, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 3 JUNE 2020

PNB 28 CALL BOOK PROFIT NEAR 2.3 BUY GIVEN @ 1.6 ON 29 MAY 2020
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5810 PROFIT  ON 13280 INVESTMENT 
DLF 155 CALL BOOK PROFIT NEAR 10.4 BUY GIVEN @ 5
DLF 135 PUT BOOK @ 2 BUY GIVEN @ 4 
PROFIT FROM CALL 17490
LOSS FROM PUT 6930
NET PROFIT 10560
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Bulls continued to rule the street. Nifty was just kissing distance away from 10000 mark. The Sensex advanced 522 points to close at 33825. Nifty climbed 153 points to end 9979.  Strong global cues and reassurance by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, in an address to India Inc at the CII's 125th annual session, that India will return to growth, also boosted the market sentiment.

Tuesday, May 26, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 27 MAY 2020

NIFTY CALL ACHIEVED TARGET


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Volatility ruled the roost. After opening just near 9100 mark at 9099.75 it made a high of 9161 then suddenly nifty falls like anything and came down to 8996 but finally bulls tried show some enthusiasm and came back  to track & finally closed the day at 9029 in loss of 10 points. The Sensex slipped 477 points from day's high to settle at 30609. Today’s downfall weighed by information technology (IT) and pharmaceutical stocks.

Saturday, May 23, 2020

NIFTY WEEKLY REPORT & VIEW FOR NEXT WEEK 26 MAY TO 29 MAY 2020

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 9200, 9500,9700
PIVOT POINT: 9000
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  8700, 8500, 8300
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY


















DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 9100, 9200, 9300
PIVOT POINT: 8950
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  7900, 7800, 7700
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

We had a positive start for the week, Bear stranglehold became stronger as government's ₹20 trillion economic stimulus package failed to cheer the street. Market changed drastically in the starting of the new week. The Sensex crashed 1000 points & nifty also came near 8800 mark. While Sensex dropped 1068 points, to 30028, Nifty dropped 313 points to 8823. Tuesday market ended on a bullish note, after three straight sessions of losses but failed to hold on to day's high levels after the company reported a healthy 15.1 % year-on-year (YoY) growth in consolidated revenue at Rs 23723 crore for the quarter ended March 2020 (Q4FY20). Wednesday Sensex and the Nifty ended with over 2% gains on hopes of further stimulus from the government to support economic recovery. The  Sensex rose 622.44 points or 2.06% to close at 30818 while the Nifty settled 187 points higher at 9066. In an interview Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said the government would assess the need for further economic measures as the situation evolves. "As we go along, we will see. We cannot shut the doors," she told these to the newspaper, when asked if there would be another economic package. The expiry of weekly options kept Dalal Street in a highly defined range on Thursday. Yet, the indices extended their up-move and ending the day with modest gains. Nifty saw a positive and stable opening to the day and remained in a rising upward trajectory in the first half of the session.  Friday Nifty snapped the three-day gaining streak to settle nearly 1% lower on Friday after RBI Governor announced to slash repo rate by 40 bps to 4%. RBI MPC also said that it expects the GDP growth for this fiscal to remain in negative territory. The Nifty  dropped 67 points to close the session at 9039.

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 21 MAY 2020

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The Sensex and the Nifty ended with over 2% gains on Wednesday on hopes of further stimulus from the government to support economic recovery. The  Sensex rose 622.44 points or 2.06% to close at 30818 while the Nifty settled 187 points higher at 9066. In an interview Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said the government would assess the need for further economic measures as the situation evolves. "As we go along, we will see. We cannot shut the doors," she told these to the newspaper, when asked if there would be another economic package.

Friday, May 15, 2020

NIFTY WEEKLY REPORT & VIEW FOR NEXT WEEK 18 MAY TO 22 MAY 2020




FOR LIVE MARKET CALLS WHATSAPP 9039542248
WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 9300, 9500,9700
PIVOT POINT: 9000
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  8700, 8500, 8300
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY



















DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 9100, 9200, 9300
PIVOT POINT: 8950
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  7900, 7800, 7700
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Thursday, May 14, 2020

Nirmala Sitharaman’s Stimulus Failed To Lure Stock Market

FM Nirmala Sitharaman’s stimulus failed to impress stock market , package had more to do with fixing supply-side issues than catering to demand-side issues. The FM announced Rs 3 lakh crore collateral-free loans and 50000 crore equity infusion in MSMEs; Rs 90,000 crore liquidity infusion in discoms and 50000 crore relief on TDS and TCS among others. Market participant do not expect the Rs 6 lakh crore announcements to give any boost to the economy in the short term. market was a bit disappointed because the immediate spend out of the big fiscal stimulus is relatively small and there could be doubts on whether economic growth will revive soon and in proportion to the large number of the stimulus. Indian markets opened on a negative note following overnight negative close in US markets as US Fed warned that the coronavirus crisis raises longer-term growth concerns and could result in an extended period of low productivity growth and stagnant incomes. During the afternoon session the markets further weakened as truncated WPI data further added to pessimism which showed deflation in primary articles to 0.79% in April-20 as against inflation of 3.72% in March-20; food inflation cooled to 3.60% in April-20 from 5.49% in March-20. T he benchmark indices wiped out all the previous session gains with Nifty ended below 9150 level on May 14 on the back of profit booking amid weak global cues. At close, the Sensex was down 885 points at 31122, and the Nifty was down 240 points at 9142.

Monday, May 11, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 12 MAY 2020

A rangeboound trading session, in continuation of a prevailing consolidation phase ended on flat note. The nifty opened with strong gains, following supportive global cues but the pressure in the index majors mainly from the banking space erased all the gains by the end. However, rebound in the auto and IT majors capped the downside. The Sensex erases entire gains, ends 81 points lower while Nifty slips below 9250 mark & closed at 9239 , after making intraday high of 9439 & low of 9219.

Wednesday, April 29, 2020

OPTION CALL PUT FOR EXPIRY 30 APRIL 2020

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Bulls continued to rule the street and hit the 9500 mark successfully a day before the F&O april expiry in line with other Asian markets, amid heavy buying in metal and auto shares. Extending gains for the third consecutive session, The Sensex ended 605 points higher at 32720 and Nifty rose 172 points to 9553.  Other world markets were on a rise today amid rising oil prices as France, Spain and Italy moved to ease anti-virus controls and allow businesses to reopen. U.S. markets closed slightly negative as investors awaited results from Facebook and Microsoft and FOMC rate decision later in the day.

Monday, April 20, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 21 APRIL 2020

Choppy start of the week, Uncertainty ruled the market. A volatile trading session ended on flat not due to lack of direction from earnings results or the global markets. Market sentiments were mixed regarding the recovery in corporate earnings, post easing of lockdown measures, and effectiveness of RBI measures to infuse liquidity into the financial system. The Sensex closed 59 points higher at 31648, while Nifty was down 5 points at 9261.

Wednesday, April 15, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 16 APRIL 2020

After starting on a promising note, the market indices slipped into the negative territory and ended with around a per cent loss on Wednesday as worries over economic downturn due to the extension of the nationwide lockdown weighed on the investor sentiment. Additionally, IMF's Tuesday‘s statement  that the global economy faces the worst recession since the Great Depression in the 1930s due to the raging coronavirus pandemic also dented the investor confidence.  The Sensex slipped 310 points to settle at 30380 levels. The index hit a high of 31568 levels during the day. The banknifty declined over 2% to 19057 levels. Nifty shed 68 points to 8925 levels.

Thursday, April 2, 2020

WHAT IS VOLATILITY INDEX IN OPTION TRADING?

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We are making an attempt to explain VIX ,so that one can read and get the subject knowledge which would help one to trade in nifty accordingly.
What is Volatility exactly? Volatility is just a statistical term to measure the tendency of the market to fluctuate. Big fluctuations suggest fear, because they mean that investors are frantically changing their minds about what stocks are worth, in the face of great uncertainty. Smaller fluctuations suggest that investors are confident and they know what the stocks are worth.
Volatility Index: VIX is a measure of market's expectation of volatility over the near term. In simple words, Volatility Index (calculated as annualized volatility, denoted in percentage e.g. 20%) is a measure of the amount by which an underlying Index is expected to fluctuate based on the order book of the underlying index options.
VIX is the ticker symbol for the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, a popular measure of the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options. It is commonly called the VIX, and is often referred to as the "fear index."
India VIX is a volatility index based on the Nifty 50 Index Option prices. From the best bid-ask prices of Nifty 50 Options contracts, a volatility figure (%) is calculated which indicates the expected market volatility over the next 30 calendar days. i.e. higher the India VIX values, higher is the expected volatility and vice-versa.
INDIA VIX:
Specifications: India VIX is a volatility index based on the Nifty 50 Index Option prices. From the best bid ask prices of near term Nifty 50 Options contracts (which are traded on the F&O segment of NSE), a volatility figure (%) is calculated which indicates the expected market volatility over the next 30 calendar days.
CalculationHigher the implied volatility higher the India VIX value and vice versa. There are some differences between a price index, such as the Nifty 50 and India VIX. Nifty 50 is calculated based on the price movement of the underlying 50 stocks which comprises the index. India VIX is calculated based on the bid-offer prices of the near and mid month Nifty 50 Index Options. Nifty 50 Index is an absolute number, e.g. 4500, 5000 etc., whereas India VIX is a percentage value (e.g. 20%, 30% etc.). The factors which will be taken into account to calculate the index include the following:
1) Time to expiry of the options contracts of Nifty that are selected to calculate the index.
2) Interest rate: The NSE MIBOR rate is being considered as risk-free interest rate for the respective expiry months of the 
NIFTY option contracts.
3) A methodology called the forward index level is being used to select the contracts which will be used to calculate the index.
4) From these selected contracts, the best bid and ask spreads will be chosen.
5) Weightage is given to each of the options contracts that are chosen, as per the method adopted by the Chicago Board of options exchange (CBOE). The weightage of a single options contract is directly proportional to the average of best bid-ask spread of that option contract and inversely proportional to the option contract's strike price.
Significance: Whereas Nifty 50 signifies how the markets have moved directionally, India VIX indicates the expected near term volatility and how the volatility is changing from time to time. India VIX is a premier barometer of investor consensus of market volatility expressed through option pricing. VIX is a trademark of CBOE Incorporated and Standard and Poor's has given license to NSE, with permission from CBOE, to use this trademark in the name of India VIX and for purposes relating to India VIX.
INTERPRETATION:
The exact number given by VIX is what a statistician would call the "forecasted annualized standard deviation of returns." But don't let that mouthful put you off - it's actually quite simple. A VIX reading of 50 means that options prices are suggesting that, over the next year, stock prices are expected to fluctuate within a range of plus or minus 50%. A VIX reading of 20 would mean expectations that the market will fluctuate less, staying within a range of plus or minus 20%.
In most cases, a high VIX reflects increased investor fear or uncertainty and a low VIX suggests complacency or less stressful times. Historically, this pattern in the relationship between the VIX and the behavior of the stock market has repeated itself in bull and bear cycles. During periods of market turmoil, the VIX spikes higher, largely reflecting the panic demand for puts as the hedge against further decline in stock portfolios. During bullish periods there is less fear and therefore less need for portfolio managers to purchase puts.
By measuring investor fear levels tick by tick and day by day, the VIX, like many emotional gauges (e.g. put/call ratio), can be used as a contrary opinion tool in attempting to pinpoint market tops and bottoms on a medium-term basis. There are two ways to use the VIX in this manner. The first is to look at the actual level of the VIX to determine its stock-market implications. Another approach involves looking at ratio comparing the current level to the long-term moving average of the VIX.
BOTTOM- LINE:
The VIX is a contrarian indicator that not only helps investors look for tops, bottoms and lulls in the trend but allows them to get an idea of large market players' sentiment. This is not only helpful when preparing for trend changes but also when investors are determining which option hedging strategy is best for their portfolio. A point to remember is that, even though bench-marking the past is a solid way to determine the future, nothing is set in stone.

Friday, March 13, 2020

50 SHADES OF RED

NIFTY PLUNGES 10%, HITS LOWER CIRCUIT; MARKETS HALT TRADING FOR 45 MINUTE 
Markets across Asia collapse
Nikkei down 8.5%,
Shanghai 3.3%,
Hang Seng 6%,
Singapore 5%,
Kospi 8%
Market trading to resume from 10.20 onwards
Next Nifty circuit level at 8,151 down 15%