Showing posts with label nifty. Show all posts
Showing posts with label nifty. Show all posts

Friday, September 18, 2020

NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK & REPORT NEXT WEEK 21 SEP TO 25 SEP 2020

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11600, 11800,12000

PIVOT POINT: 11450

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11300, 11200, 11000

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY


DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11550, 11600,11700

PIVOT POINT: 11450

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11400, 11300, 11200

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

The global set up was just ideal Monday morning to have a head start for the new trading week. We began convincingly above 11500 and then slipped into a consolidation mode for the major part of the session. However post the midsession, the nifty took a nosedive and within a blink of an eye, we not only pare down gains but also sneaked well inside the negative territory. Fortunately a modest recovery at the end reduced the damage on a closing basis. The overnight rally in US markets had a rub off effect on almost all major Asian bourses. Hence, we too started the Tuesday session with a gap up opening despite Monday’s shaky session. Subsequently, similar to recent behaviour, index went into a consolidation mode and kept flirting around the 11500 mark. However from nowhere, a strong buying emerged in the banking conglomerates at the stroke of the penultimate hour. This pushed Nifty higher to end convincingly above 11500. We had a flat to positive start Wednesday despite Nifty indicating a sluggish start early in the morning. Similar to recent trend, the index consolidated in a small range throughout the first half. However, post the midsession, some strong buying emerged in banking as well as IT counters. This resulted into Nifty surpassing the intraday hurdle of 11570 to reclaim the 11600 mark. Thursday morning, the global markets looked nervous and hence, we were about to open lower after Wednesday's smart move. The Nifty was indicating a start below 11500 with more than 100 points cut; but fortunately, Nifty did not open in line with what nifty was indicating. In fact, post the initial hiccup, markets stabilized and recovered a bit. However, the global weakness eventually weighed down heavily and we corrected towards 11500 around the midpoint. Post this, some volatile swings were witnessed in a range of 50 points to eventually conclude the weekly expiry tad above the 11500 mark.

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 11300; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @11800

Indices seemed to have lost clear direction and are clearly trapped in a range. This week, we witnessed strong sell off from higher levels, it was almost the reverse action. With this week late surge in banking stocks, both Nifty as well as BankNifty are interestingly poised. For Nifty, if 11600 is taken out, we would see some extension towards 11700 - 11800 levels. On the flipside, 11400 followed by 11300 are to be seen as key supports.

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.

Although, this week weakness in our market has to do with the global cues, we are not surprised with it. Despite a strong tail end surge of this week, we avoided longs and had mentioned the configuration of the 'Bearish Wolfe Wave' pattern on the weekly chart. The observation has certainly proved its significance this week; but honestly speaking, this week  correction was nowhere close to a sell-off, rather can only be interpreted as a small profit taking. But having said that we continue to remain cautious and still do not expect the Nifty to surpass the sturdy wall of 11650-11700 soon. Going forward, 11450-11350 would be seen as crucial support and a move below this would trigger some decent correction thereafter. Since US Dollar Index and Equity markets are inversely correlated, any surge in this would lead to correction in our markets. Hence, it is important to take a note of this development as well.

Thursday, September 17, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 18 SEP 2020

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Market closed lower on Thursday following Fed's statement of slow US economic recovery. The Sensex & Nifty erases yesterday's gains to close with a cut of nearly 1% each. Sensex slips 323 points to 38980 & Nifty 88 points to 11516. Nifty Bank falls 253 points to 2,320 & Midcap index 42 points to 17411. The Indian market ended near day's low on Thursday following losses due to losses in metal and bank indexes. Reliance Industries' dragged the market most, ending 1.19 percent lower. Other index heavyweights that dragged the market today are TCS and HDFC twins. Barring pharma, media and IT indexes, all others ended in red. Nifty Realty slipped the most amongst its peers, by 1.68 percent followed by Nifty Metal and Nifty PSU Bank. Dr Reddy, ZEEL, HCL, INFY and Maruti were the Nfity50 top gainers while Hindalco, Tata Motors, Shree Cement, Bajaj Finserv and Adani Ports remained the index top losers. There are currently no fresh triggers for the market and we can expect volatility. Market is more or less in a consolidation phase after a huge rally in the last few months, we believe. Traders are likely to look at global cues to decide the direction of the market. Now index has established an immediate support near to 11450 and 11400 while a hold above 11550 zones could again give an upper hand to bulls to drive the move towards 11600 and 11650-11700 zones.

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Resistance: 11550, 11650

Support: 11450, 11350

Tuesday, September 15, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 16 SEP 2020

After a one-day hiatus, market went back to winning ways on Tuesday encouraged by easing inflation and riding on positive cues from global markets. Hopes of an early vaccine also kept the mood sanguine. European market opened with gains, supporting investor sentiments. Meanwhile, India's retail inflation in August of 6.69% was lower than the 6.73% recorded in July, but it remains above the upper end of the RBI’s target. The Sensex rose 288, reclaiming 39000 level & closed at 39044. The Nifty advanced 82 points to 11522. 

Monday, September 14, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 15 SEP 2020

Monday market closed in red. The Sensex closed the day 98 points lower at 38756 While Nifty closed 24 points down at 11440. . Investors are also monitoring key developments into the race of vaccine to fight virus. The Fed will meet on 15-16th September but the market does not expect the policy makers to change guidance is on how long the rates will stay near zero, still it will be an important event. The US dollar has continued to drift lower hence the outlook for the yellow metal in intraday is positive.The Nifty closed the day near 11450 and formed a bearish candle on daily chart, as the closing was lower than the opening value. Considering the consistent weakness after the recent rally, we advise you to avoid long positions. The Nifty was decisively trading below its 50-day moving average and if it slips into some sort of multi-days downtrend, then corrective swing would get extended into the 11400–11300 zone. For the time being, strength in the index shall not be expected unless it closes above 11500 levels. Traders should avoid long positions and look for some signs of stability around 11550 whereas existing shorts should be squared off if the Nifty fails to close below 11600 in the next trading session.

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Resistance: 11500, 11600

Support: 11400, 11300 

Saturday, September 12, 2020

HOW TO TRADE NIFTY OPTIONS INTRADAY?🤔

Yes, it is possible to trade nifty or stock options call put intraday. Many traders do it by opening a position at the start of the day and closing it at the end of market hours. The process to do intraday trade is similar to making any Options trade. However, keep an eye on two important data: volume and price fluctuation. There should be sufficient volume in the strike price so as to sell it whenever desired. Also, the index needs to have sufficient price fluctuations to make a profit in a day.
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Wednesday, September 9, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & CALLS FOR F&O 10 SEPTEMBER 2020

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Situation is getting worse day by day for the bulls. On a day when the bulls had nothing going for them, with GDP forecast, geopolitical issues and the underperformance of PSU stocks playing against them, we witnessed a spirited comeback in late afternoon trade. Select pivotals led by Reliance took the lead, ably supported by several stocks across sectors, despite the hiccups seen in several cash market stocks. After opening with losses and drifting lower, the benchmark indices recovered towards the latter half of trading but still ended the day with losses.  With Asian markets all ending in losses, the slight recovery seen in the Indian markets mirrored the positive opening in the European markets.  A sell-off in the US tech stocks and a setback to one of the vaccine trials kept markets on edge.  Indian markets are expected to be in sync with the global markets and also react to the ongoing border tensions with China. There are currently no fresh triggers for the market and we can expect volatility. Market is more or less in a consolidation phase after a huge rally in the last few months, analysts believe. In an eventless week, traders are likely to look at global cues to decide the direction of the market. Now index has established an immediate support near to 11150 and 11100 while a hold above 11300 zones could again give an upper hand to bulls to drive the move towards 11350 and 11400-11500 zones.

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Resistance: 11300, 11400

Support: 11150, 11100

Monday, September 7, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & CALLS FOR F&O 8 SEPTEMBER 2020

Indian markets traded with volatility and finally ended the day with a positive bias. Virus infections continued to rise unabated and this fear combined with a sell off seen in the US markets, served to bring in doubts regarding the continuation of the momentum seen in recent times in the market. A rebound is European stocks and development on the vaccine front lifted market sentiment in late trade but gains were checked by lower than expected job growth in the US and weak Asian markets. US employment growth slowed further in August and permanent job losses increased as money from the government started running out, raising doubts on the sustainability of the economy's recovery. Meanwhile, India became the second most affected country from Covid19, surpassing Brazil. The Sensex settled up 60 points at 38417. Nifty was up 21 points to 11355.

Monday, August 24, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 25 AUGUST 2020

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Market built up on its opening gains, with the support of global cues, and ended the day on a strong note. Following more reopening guidelines by the government, the markets chose to ignore the rising cases of infections. Bulls pushed nifty higher on Monday as signs of progress in developing a Covid-19 treatment offset fears about resurgence in virus cases that could risk stifling an economic recovery. China has allowed locally produced vaccines to be used in emergency situations while the US is planning to allow UK-made vaccines. Meanwhile, USFDA approved blood plasma therapy to treat Covid-19 patients. Further ease in lockdown measures also boosted the sentiment back home. The government on Sunday issued guidelines for restarting its entertainment industry even as infections breached the 3 million mark.

Tuesday, August 18, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 19 AUGUST 2020

The bulls have done very well for themselves today & closed the day above 11350 as hopes of higher government spending to help support the economy continued to lift investor sentiment.  This is good news for the bulls. Market ended higher for the second consecutive day on August 18 with Nifty surpassed 11400 level during the day. At close, the Sensex was up 477 points at 38528, and the Nifty was up 138 points at 11385. Grasim was the top gainer, up 6.68% followed by Ultratech Cement and Kotak Mahindra Bank, which rallied 3.30% and 3.15% respectively.

Monday, August 17, 2020

NIFTY WEEKLY REPORT & VIEW FOR NEXT WEEK 17 AUG TO 21 AUG 2020

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11200, 11350,11500
PIVOT POINT: 11100
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11000, 10900, 10800
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY


















DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11250, 11350, 11430
PIVOT POINT: 11050
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  10950, 10900, 10850
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY


Week kick started proceedings with a decent upside gap, owing to cheerful global bourses. However, in the initial trades, our markets extended gains rapidly and, in the process, not only hastened towards 11300 but also surpassed it convincingly. However, post the initial exuberance; nifty slipped into a consolidation mode since the verdict on Telecom’s AGR dues was awaited. In fact, during the latter half, traders chose to take some money off the table to be on the safer side. Despite all this, Nifty managed to close with precisely half a percent gains to reclaim the 11250 mark. Similar to Monday’s session, Tuesday too we had a gap up opening in the wake of relentless run in Global peers and this time it was on account of Russia claiming the vaccine for COVID-19. Subsequently, our markets cooled off a bit after the initial up move; but once again regained strength in the latter half. Eventually, the Nifty ended the session above the 11300 mark. Tuesday night US markets gave up its sizable gains and eventually ended slightly inside the negative territory. This resulted in some nervous start in our market on Wednesday. However, the recent undercurrent has been extremely strong and hence, with global peers rising this afternoon, our markets too recovered from lower levels to reclaim the 11300 mark on a closing basis. Thursday, we opened slightly higher in the wake of smart rally in global markets previous night. The lead extended marginally in the first half. But all of a sudden, the index dipped lower during the midsession. However the damage was not big as index recovered gradually and then slipped into a consolidation mode. Eventually, the weekly expiry on 13 august 2020 panned out flat precisely at 11300.
NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 11000; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @11400
It is clear that the bulls are not willing to give up; but at the same time, it doesn’t have enough strength to go beyond the sturdy wall of 11350-11400 as well. If we take a glance at the chart, we can now see a ‘Tri Star’ pattern. As the name suggests, it requires three consecutive small body candles in a specific position, where the middle candle is slightly higher than first and third candle. Taking this into consideration, we continue with our cautious stance on the market. If this pattern has to get confirmed, the Nifty needs to break below 11100, which will result in some immediate correction towards 11000-10800.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.
In last couple of sessions, although the undercurrent has been positive, index is clearly lacking the momentum; because the real focus has shifted to the individual stocks, especially from the broader market. In fact, the banking space was the real charioteer as it kept showing sheer outperformance throughout the week. With all due respect to such positivity, we still remain a bit skeptical and would continue advocating caution around current levels. In such kind of euphoric situation, it is hard to take such view but the way overall things are panning out, does not give us comfort at all. In last four months, we never sounded such cautious, in fact strongly advised using all decline to go long; but we do not maintain the similar opinion now. We have been advocating some caution, because Nifty has approached a strong resistance zone of 11300- 11370 and although there is no sign of weakness yet, it will not be easy for the index to overcome this sturdy wall. Only a major trigger on the global or domestic front would be required if we have to unfold the next leg of the rally. Till then better to take some money off the table and wait for further development. Now with Friday’ price action, the chart depicts a ‘Doji’ pattern. This indicates some uncertainty and this clearly reflects what we explained in the above section. But with such price behavior, Friday’s low has now earned some significance. Going ahead, if we sneak and sustain below 11150, this will result in some immediate decline towards 11100 – 11000 - 10900 levels. So till the time, midcaps are offering better opportunities, one should keep capitalising on it; but we reiterate, aggressive bets are strictly not recommended and taking timely profits always makes sense to be on the safer side.

Thursday, August 13, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 14 AUGUST 2020

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Sideways trend continue in the market. On account of neutral global sentiments, the Indian indices trade sideways throughout the intraday trade and closed around 0.10% lower after the closing bell. Bulls tried hard to cross 11360 mark buy failed & closed the day at 11300. The Sensex lost 59 points and closed at 38310 mark. Bank Nifty index went down 67 points and closed at 22196 mark.

Wednesday, August 12, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 13 AUGUST 2020

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Fund raising by the lending firm encouraged bulls to take nifty more up but unfortunately settled in red because global sentiments become neutral from green. The sensex touched a high of 38414 and a low of 38125 to finally settle at 38369 while nifty has managed to sustain above 11250. Nifty after opening gap down showed a labored rise during the day but failed to close in the positive.  Nifty lost 14 points and closed at 11308 levels while Bank Nifty lost 36 points and closed at 22264 mark.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 12 AUGUST 2020

Bulls become enthusiastic after the hope of new Covid-19 vaccine developed by Russia. The Sensex and the Nifty ended higher on Tuesday after touching five-month high during intraday trade as metal and select banking stocks witnessed buying. The Sensex ended 224 points higher at 38407 while the Nifty settled 52 points higher at 11322.Positive Asian shares amid signs of a recovery in Chinese economic activity powered gains in metal stocks, while less worse-than-feared domestic earnings reported by companies helped sentiment. 

Monday, August 10, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 11 AUGUST 2020

The bulls continued to dominate as Nifty started the week above 11250 mark and headed towards 11340 levels. However, it failed to surpass recent swing high of 11341 and remained rage bound with the support at opening gap of 11230 marks. It closed positive and has been making higher lows from last five trading sessions which indicates overall bullish stance. Nifty managed to end with healthy gains of 0.5% at 11,273 levels. At close, the Sensex was up 141 points at 38182. Markets would react to the SC hearing on AGR dues and stocks especially from telecom and banking pack will remain in limelight. And since we’re closely following the global markets, US-China trade tension, currency and crude oil movement would also be actively tracked.

Friday, August 7, 2020

NIFTY WEEKLY REPORT & VIEW FOR NEXT WEEK 10 AUGUST TO 14 AUGUST 2020

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11300, 11400,11500
PIVOT POINT: 11200
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11000, 10900, 10800
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY



















DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11250, 11350, 11430
PIVOT POINT: 11150
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11100, 11000, 10900
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY





Nifty started the trading for the week marginally negative above the 11050 mark. However, it corrected from the opening ticks itself and crept lower throughout the day to end below 10900, with a loss of over 180 points. The index started Tuesday’s session marginally positive in line with the global cues. However, the initial dip in first 15 minutes of trade was bought into and the index then rallied higher throughout the day to end with gains over 200 points. We had a v-shaped recovery on Tuesday to recoup Monday’s entire losses. Since the broader market was on a recovery mode; courtesy to decent rebound in banking stocks, the stage was all set for a positive start on Wednesday. Very much in-line with this, our markets opened higher and then continued its move northwards to surpass the 11200 mark in initial hours. However, all of a sudden, the Nifty took a complete nosedive not only to wipe off gains but also to sneak inside the negative terrain. After this, the market kept gyrating in a band of 90 points with some volatility to conclude on a flat note at 11100. We had a gap up opening on Thursday citing favorable cues from the global peers. Subsequently, the market slipped into a consolidation mode ahead of the RBI Monetary policy. The RBI eventually maintained its status quo and since there was no negative announcement, markets took it positively. Around the mid-session, strong buying emerged across the broader market and in the process, the Nifty went on to surpass the 11250 mark. However, once Nifty approached the sturdy wall of 11300, the bulls chose to take money off the table and due to weekly expiry, the volatility increased thereafter. Within no time, markets were significantly off highs. Fortunately, the selling got absorbed and the Nifty ended the weekly expiry precisely at 11200. Market ended flat on Friday as domestic coronavirus cases topped two million, taking the shine off market optimism following the central bank's relief measures for the economy. Most of the 11 major sectors saw moves of less than 1% in subdued trading, a day after a sharp rise thanks to the Reserve Bank of India's one-time loan restructuring scheme aimed at companies battered by the Covid-19 pandemic. India's coronavirus infections jumped by a daily record of 62,538 on Friday to 2.03 million, the world's third biggest caseload after the United States and Brazil.

Monday, August 3, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 4 AUGUST 2020

Week started on bearish note. Selling in financial counters took the nifty below 11000 mark. The Nifty closed the day near 10900 and formed a bearish candle on daily chart, as the closing was lower than the opening value. Considering the consistent weakness after the recent rally, we advise you to avoid long positions. The Nifty was decisively trading below its 50-day moving average and if it slips into some sort of multi-days downtrend, then corrective swing would get extended into the 10850–10800 zone. For the time being, strength in the index shall not be expected unless it closes above 11000 levels. Traders should avoid long positions and look for some signs of stability around 11100 whereas existing shorts should be squared off if the Nifty fails to close below 10900 in the next trading session.
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Resistance: 11000, 11100
Support: 10850, 10750

Friday, July 31, 2020

NIFTY WEEKLY REPORT & VIEW FOR NEXT WEEK 3 AUGUST TO 7 AUGUST 2020

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11200, 11350,11500
PIVOT POINT: 11100
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11000, 10900, 10800
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY


















DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11250, 11350, 11430
PIVOT POINT: 11050
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  10950, 10900, 10850
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY



Trading for the week started marginally higher owing to favorable global cues. However, within a few moments, the lead disappeared to decouple with global peers first. After this what we witnessed was one of the rarest actions in our market. The Nifty and Bank Nifty looked completely divergent. The direction was similar (downwards) but the proportion of the decline was extremely wide. Looking at Nifty, it appeared as if markets are consolidating with mildly negative bias; but looking at banking index, it appeared as if there is no tomorrow. Yes, many times we see Bank Nifty underperforming the benchmark but Monday’s divergence was something different. Fortunately, Reliance and heavyweight IT counters were the saviors in case of Nifty, otherwise, taking their contribution out, the Nifty also would have closed with severe cuts. Tuesday too our markets opened higher as indicated by the SGX  Nifty; but unlike Monday, the lead was there to stay this time. After  a positive start, markets extended gains in the initial hour; but all of  a sudden, the banking index once again took a nosedive, resulted in  erasing of some gains in benchmark. However, post the midsession,  the entire market just took off and the smart recovery in banking  space added fuel to the spectacular rally to eventually reclaim the 11300 mark for the first time in last four months. Tuesday's tail end surge was followed by a flat start on Wednesday. As expected, in the initial trades, we witnessed a strong optimism to head towards the 11350 mark. Subsequently, the index consolidated with a hint of mild profit booking throughout the first half. However, post the mid-session, the selling aggravated in some of the heavyweights like Reliance, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and selective IT names. This resulted in a sharp decline to sneak below the 11200 mark. Due to some modest recovery at the end, the Nifty ended the session with a cut of nearly 100 points. After seeing a reality check on Wednesday, our markets started the Thursday slightly higher and then went on to extend the gains in the first half. However, around 11300, Nifty was unable to display similar strength and hence, the weak attempt eventually resulted in a sharp decline in the latter half. The selling augmented after breaking all important intraday supports one after another to test the 11100 mark. In the process, the July series expiry panned out on a disappointing note. The domestic stock market ended Friday's volatile session in the negative territory, weighed down by heavyweights Reliance Industries (RIL) and the HDFC twins. The Sensex ended 129 points lower at 37607 while the Nifty gave up the 11100-mark to settle at 11073, down 29 points.

Tuesday, July 7, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 8 JULY 2020

Bulls win the street to the fifth day in a row. Nifty hit 10800 mark & close the day at 10799. Including today's close, the indexes have gained around 5% over the last five sessions, and more than 40% from four-year lows hit in March when virus fears had pummeled markets. Markets were mostly lower in Asia on Tuesday as expanding coronavirus outbreaks dimmed hopes for a global recovery. Government stimulus and hopes for an economic turnaround have so far kept investor sentiment upbeat.

Monday, May 25, 2020

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 26 MAY 2020


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Through the last week, the Nifty recovered close to 370 points from its last Monday’s low of 8806. But the indices pared some of its gains to close at 9039 on Friday after the Monetary Policy Committee cut repo rate by 40 basis points in a second emergency move, citing “severe” impact of the virus outbreak on the Indian economy. The Indian markets will open tomorrow on 26 may 2020, and on opening, they will adjust to a global trade setup that will transpire on Monday 25 may 2020. In any case, however, no significantly wild opening on the higher side is expected. This week will see the levels of 9160 and 9240 acting as overhead resistance points.