NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY 16 APRIL 2015

After managing a steady recovery during the course of the day, the market fell like a pack of cards. The market snapped its seven-day winning streak after all round selling in the last hour of the day dragged the indices lower. The Sensex shed 245 points, while Nifty slipped 84 points. Nifty slipped below 8800-level by falling 83 points to close at 8750. Intraday, it hovered between 8840 and 8722. For the most part of the day, the Indian benchmark indices traded in a choppy fashion.

NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR NEXT WEEK 13 APRIL TO 18 APRIL 2015

NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY 10 APRIL 2015

“BUY NIFTY FUTURE @ 8790 TGT 8830/8870 SL 8840” 

Market extended its winning run to the fifth session today. In volatile movements,, Nifty index spurted by 63 points, to close at 8778. During the session, it shuttled between 8785 and 8682. We believe this move will extend further in the coming sessions also.

NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY 9 APRIL 2015

Rcom Future call  given yesterday achieved 1^st Target. 
SSLT not executed 
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The market maintained its northward journey for the fourth consecutive session on Wednesday with the Nifty conquering 8700 level. Sensex jumped 191 points to 28707 and the Nifty shut shop to 8714 supported by technology, FMCG, Coal India and Reliance Industries.

After finding support near 8300 levels, Nifty has rebounded sharply and is continuously trading in the range of higher high and higher lows on the charts. Markets may consolidate in the near term as the markets have seen a good rally from the low levels it recently saw and the Nifty is likely to face resistance around 8750-8800 levels.

RBI Rate cut policy ; Bank Nifty Volatile On 7 April 2015

After two wasted rate cuts, should the RBI go for yet another? 
Rajan has already surprised the market twice with out of turn rate cuts on January 14 and March 4. In the intervening schedule policy on February 3 he refused a cut on the grounds that the rate cut had happened just 20 days before on January 14. Consequently this time don't expect a rate cut. After all Governor Rajan gave one just a month ago on March 4. The markets have bounced back from the bottoms and the rate cuts have not percolated down to the economy. Reductions in key interest rate by the RBI have not helped stimulate investment in the manufacturing sector, a poll ahead of the Reserve Bank's policy review on Tuesday. RBI has lowered interest rates by a total of 0.50 per cent since January, but banks are yet to pass on the benefits to borrowers. "Interest rates or cost of finance continues to be sticky. Interest rates paid by the manufacturers range from 9.5 per cent to 14.75 per cent with average interest rate at 12.2 per cent. Banks will wait till RBI's next monetary policy review on April 7 before deciding on interest rates. It is the last weekend before the credit policy. Traditionally this is the most important policy – considering this is the first in the new financial year. The markets and the economy will not only watch for the rate action but also for RBI's assessment of the New Year, its growth and inflation forecasts. So all eyes would be on the RBI and the likely steps it may take to further boost the liquidity, However in case there is no action tomorrow, the markets can sell off a bit more. This being the first policy of the year, the market is also watching for RBI’s growth forecasts. This is a tricky issue for RBI after the CSO while revising the base year from 2004 to 2011 revised the FY16 growth forecasts to 7.5 percent from much lower levels earlier. We Expect RBI to forecast a 7.6-8 percent gross domestic product (GDP) forecast this year i.e. FY16. Most of us are expecting a gradual growth recovery, so given that output gap is going to gradually start to close in the next two years what is the base line assessment on inflation. Second, in a sense the March cut sort of already implies this, but some more clarity on what the RBI really thinks about the new gross domestic product (GDP) numbers, Perhaps potential growth is a bit higher because we have seen lower inflation despite supposed upward revisions in growth numbers, so their assessment on where we are on growth and more also on potential growth on the economy.

NIFTY WILL CONTINUE THE BULL RIDE

"NIFTY TECHNIQAL REPORTS FOR UPCOMING WEEK 06 APRIL 2015" 
While analyzing the Daily charts of “NIFTY”, we found that the Nifty is in “Bull Market”. Looking at the very big picture, the red channel can't be overlooked as it contains the whole secular bull market. Irrespective of the diametric scenario coming true or not, Whenever Nifty touches the lower red trendline, we can expect a major multi-year rally. But a fall to the lower red trendline does not appear at all likely at the moment. The long term possibility of the Indian equity markets suggests continuation of the Indian Growth story in the coming years. This Nifty weekly Log chart shows a pronounced uptrend within the blue channel trendlines. The contracting triangle in the 2014 period at the bottom of the chart is compared with the contracting triangle seen in current period since 2015. The market is in the process of confirming a bullish break above the triangle and a new bull market might just be getting born. Although there are risks associated with the current up move in the Nifty (especially from the global market in India), and although this is not a roaring, secular bull market, the study of historical Time-and-Price patterns below suggests there is room for continued bullishness.

Foreign Direct Investment in Indian Stock Market

Developing countries always need financial support in order to achieve stability in economy. Similarly, India being developing country is looking forward for foreign direct investment in order to move in a direction to become a developed economy. We all know that Indian economy is a fast growing economy and it holds highly strong position in global hub as Indian economy registers high growth figures of economy when globally there was a heavy financial meltdown. Due to this growth, investors of overseas are confident and interested to invest in India which is giving a boost to Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in India.

Foreign Direct Investment in Indian Stock Market has increased the development of Indian stock market to many folds. FDI has helped Indian economy to grow, develop and attain financial stability globally. Foreign Direct Investment in India has helped India in overcoming many of the problems which our economy was suffering and in facing the global challenges from the global economy. Money from FDI has helped to boost those sectors of economy which needed financial motivation or boost. Indian stock market has always attracted the world’s powerful and major investors to come and invest in Indian economy. India has always tried to promote the business environment which is healthy and favourable for foreign investors and provoked them to invest in our Indian economy. Presently, FDI is allowed to invest in financial services which include banking also along with financial sector which does not include banking services. Expanding markets of India from business point of view is attracting large number of foreign investors to put their money in Indian stock market. Indian government is supporting Foreign Direct Investment in India by giving liberty to foreign investors in trade policies. Government is also trying to loosen restrictions on foreign investment which is a benefit for foreign investors and is giving them a golden opportunity to invest in Indian stock market. Technological development in India along with strong telecommunication networks is helping the foreign investors to reap benefits from Indian stock market.

NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR NEXT WEEK 06 APRIL 2015

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The market staged spectacular performance on first day of the financial year 2015-16. It was a strong start to the new financial year 2015-16 on Wednesday as the market rallied more than 1 percent led by banking & financials, ahead of RBI policy (scheduled to be held on April 7). The Sensex closes first day of the new fiscal year 302 points, at 28260, while the Nifty gained 95 points, to end at 8586.