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Continuing their record-breaking run Nifty kick started the week on a positive note, as it witnessed a sharp rally of more than 150 points in Monday’s trade. The bulls were aggressive from early trade and continued to pull the indices higher as the day progressed. Indian markets hit new milestones today with Sensex registering new intra-day and closing highs, tracking higher global markets. The Sensex ended 529 points higher at 40889, a new closing high. During the day, the Sensex also hit a new intra-day high of 40931.. The Nifty settled 1.3% higher at 12078. At day's high, Nifty raised to 12084, less 20 points away its all-time high of 12103 hit in June this year. Global markets were mostly higher today on fresh optimism over the long-running China-US trade talks after Beijing offered an olive branch on the key issue of intellectual property, while Donald Trump hailed progress on the agreement.

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Encouraging September quarter results, along with optimism over US-China trade deal aided bulls to stay in the driver's seat. Extending their gaining streak into the seventh session in a row, the market settled with nearly 0.5% gains on the 1^st day of the week.  The Sensex added 137 points to end at a record closing high 40301. During the day, the index hit a fresh high of 40483 levels.  The Nifty ended at 11945, up 54 points.

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The Sensex and Nifty rose to 4-month highs on October 29, while Nifty Bank touched 1-month high. Nifty is now 316 points and Sensex is 480 points away from their record highs. Market logged healthy gains as sources indicated that the government is reviewing equity-related tax rate rationalization. 

The market in the near-term is likely to be driven by earnings outcome and auto volume numbers which will be a crucial indicator of the revival in consumer spending. Further, global cues will induce volatility as expectations are high from the ongoing US-China trade negotiations.

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Bulls are back in action..!!! Market reversed all the losses to trade in the positive territory backed by gains in select bank, IT and FMCG majors such as SBI, TCS, Infosys, Hindustan Unilever and ITC. However, losses in shares of HDFC twins, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Reliance Industries are keeping the gains capped. . The Sensex was trading above 39000.-level while Nifty trading over 11600-mark. A selloff across financial, automobile and pharmaceutical stocks deepened, pulling the markets lower in afternoon deals. Tata Motors to report its financial results for the second quarter of current financial year later in the day.

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The market bounced back and resumed its up move after day's pause in the previous session led by gains in Infosys which staged a rebound after witnessing worst single-day fall in over six year. HDFC, ICICI Bank, Tata Consultancy Services, Maruti Suzuki and HCL Technologies also contributed towards gain in the market. For most part of the day, the indices traded firmly higher but turned a bit volatile in the afternoon deals owing to weakness in Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Larsen & Toubro. The Sensex ended 95 points higher at 39059 and the Nifty advanced 16 points to close at 11604.

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Bulls shown resilience and steadily nifty is heading up. Positive global cues & corporate earnings changed the market sentiments. Nifty is back in 11400 zone. Market ended higher for the third straight session driven by a rally in automakers. The Sensex rose 0.76% to 38506 and the Nifty rose 0.77% to 11428 at close.

NIFTY BELOW 11200 MARK ; RBI CUTS FY20 GDP TO 6.1%

RBI's monetary policy committee cuts repo rates by 25 basis points to 5.15 %.

RBI has said that there is space to cut repo rates further.

The reverse repo rate has been reduced to 4.9 %, and the bank rate stands at 5.40%. 

Real GDP growth for 2019-20 has been revised downwards from 6.9 %  in the August policy to 6.1 %. RBI has said that various high frequency indicators suggest that domestic demand conditions have remained weak.

The MPC noted that the negative output gap has widened further. While the recent measures announced by the government are likely to help strengthen private consumption and spur private investment activity, MPC said that the continuing slowdown warrants intensified efforts to restore the growth momentum. 

The CPI inflation projection is revised slightly upwards to 3.4 % for Q2:2019-20 from 3.1 % projection earlier. 

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Bears continued to grip the markets in Tuesday’s session also as crude oil prices continued to gain in the aftermath of drone attacks on Saudi Arabia oil establishments. A poor set of macro data from China also further hit sentiment. Nifty came below 10800 mark. After opening at day’s high level 11000 nifty came down to 10796 & finally closed at 10817 down by 186 points. Sensex tumbled 642 points lower at 36481.

NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 16 SEP TO 20 SEP 2019

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11150, 11250, 11350

 PIVOT POINT: 11000

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  10900, 10800, 10700

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11125, 11175, 11225

PIVOT POINT:11100

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  11050, 11000, 10950

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

The Market started the week marginally negative as the Nifty sneaked below 10900 in the first 15 minutes of the trade. However, this early morning dip was bought into as the index recovered sharply to reclaim the 11000 mark. For rest of the session the index consolidated in a range to end around 11000 mark. Post a mid-week holiday on Tuesday our markets started on a mild positive note on Wednesday. Subsequently, there was no major action in index front and after consolidating in a range for the most part of the session, Nifty eventually ended near the opening levels with gains of 0.30% at 11036. Although the index started the session marginally positive on Thursday, the Nifty lacked follow up momentum during the day. Post noon, the index corrected for rest of the session and ended the day with a loss of about half a percent. On Friday the  Sensex - which switched direction at least eight times during the session after opening higher - moved in a range of 413 points, before settling with a gain of 280 points at 37384 for the day. The Nifty recovered as much as 138 points from an intraday low of 10945 to touch 11084 at the day's strongest level, before shutting shop on Friday at 10982. 

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 11800; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @11300

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11100, 11200, 11300

 PIVOT POINT: 11000

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  10900, 10800, 10700

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11075, 11150, 11225

PIVOT POINT:11000

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10950, 11875, 10800

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

During this week, the index has seen high volatility wherein initially the index recovered sharply from the recent swing low, and has now given up some of these gains in last couple of sessions. However, if we look at the short term charts, it seems that the Nifty has completed its corrective phase during last week and after rallying about 500 points from the low in just three sessions, the index is showing a pullback move.  A slew of announcement from FM Sitharaman on last Friday evening caused massive gap up opening of the week. However, immediately index lost this early morning lead which was a knee jerk reaction of escalated trade war between the US and China. Due to this, index not only erased all opening gains but also went on to sneak well inside the negative territory. Things looked extremely bleak at one point of time, but fortunately, we witnessed enormous buying interest at lower levels which kept on accelerating till the closing point of the day. Eventually, Nifty concluded with a colossal intraday rally of more than 300 points from the low and 200 points from the previous close. After ending on a high note on Monday, the Nifty continued the momentum and opened on a positive note on Tuesday. Post some momentum in initial couple of hours, the index traded a narrow range for rest of the day and ended near the opening levels, marking gains of half a percent over previous session’s close. Although the index traded in a narrow range yesterday, the broader markets witnessed good momentum as the market breadth was clearly in favor of the advances. In last three sessions, the index has gained about 500 points from the low registered on Friday. Post the sharp upmove of about 500 points from the swing low in three trading sessions, the index retraced some of the gains and corrected in Wednesday’s session to re-test the 11000 mark, the index then recovered some of the losses in last half an hour and ended the session with a loss of about half a percent. After retracing about 38.2% of the recent correction, the index corrected back towards the 11000 mark. The benchmark indices opened on a negative note ahead of the F&O expiry of August series on Thursday. The Nifty witnessed selling pressure and registered low of 10922 as some of the heavyweights were seen under pressure. The last couple of hours witnessed significant volatility as the index recovered the losses to retest the morning highs and then again corrected in the last hour to end the session with a loss of about 100 points. Nifty remained highly volatile throughout Friday’s session and traded in wider range of 150 points. It drifted towards 10,880 level in the first half of the day, but recovered sharply from lower levels to extend the gains towards 11,040 and managed to close above 11,000. 

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HAPPY INDEPENDENCE DAY 

The market staged a sharp recovery on Wednesday after posting the worst day of August in the previous session after Washington delayed tariffs on some Chinese imports, bringing some relief to global markets rattled by a bruising trade conflict. The Sensex surged as much as 515 points and the Nifty briefly surpassed 11050 led by gains in metal, energy and banking shares. Hopes of a stimulus package from the government to revive the economy also boosted the investor sentiment, according to analysts. The Sensex ended 353 points higher at 37312 and Nifty climbed 104 points to close at 11029.

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11200, 11300, 11400

 PIVOT POINT: 11100

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11000, 10900, 10800

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR  NIFTY: 11100, 11000, 10900

PIVOT POINT:10900

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  110850, 10800, 10700

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Last week’s mayhem continued as we saw a gap down opening of the week followed by a sustained selling throughout the first half in Monday’s session. This sell off was disheartening because the stable propositions like HDFC Twins and Kotak Bank also finally succumbed to the market destruction. These marquee names have been reluctant to correct since many months and in fact, have propelled index to the record highs. But monday, they looked completely dejected and hence, correction reinforced to test the 11300 mark.

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Bulls are back on the driver seat in Tuesday's session Sensex advances 130 pts, Nifty successfully closed above 11900 mark. Market sentiments were boosted on optimism ahead of Budget 2019 scheduled to be presented later this week.  The Sensex gained 129 points to close at 39816 and the Nifty climbed 44 points to 11910 but the market breadth was balanced.

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A lackluster trading session ended on flat note.  Nifty opened on a positive note, but failed to sustain levels above 11900 and corrected in second half of the trading session & closed the day below 11850 at 11841.  Healthy environment was developed ahead of the G20 meet. Today we have a pause in the momentum awaiting its final outcome this weekend. This hope and positive trend will continue in the short-term supported by domestic tailwinds like budget stimulus & Q1FY20 results.

HISTORICAL DAY FOR STOCK MARKET

INDIAN STOCK MARKET IS AT ALL TIME HIGH 

SENSEX ABOVE 40000

NIFTY CROSSED  12000 MARK 

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NIFTY WEEKLY PREDICTION & CHARTS 30 APRIL TO 3 MAY 2019

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11850, 12000, 11200

 PIVOT POINT: 11700

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11600, 11500, 11400

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY 

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11800, 11900, 112000

PIVOT POINT: 11650

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11550, 11450, 11350

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY 

If end well all well.  Late buying helped nifty to close the first day of May series near day's high level with Nifty finished above 11750 mark. On Monday a sudden spike in crude oil prices spooked traders’ fraternity across the globe and we being the most sensitive economy had a massive impact of the same. Our markets began marginally lower but within a blink of an eye, we were off more than 70 – 80 points to sneak below the 11700 mark. It was followed by some consolidation till the mid session; but as the second half underway, the selling intensified across the broader market and hence, yet another bout of sell off eventually dragged the Nifty below 11600 on a closing basis. Tuesday we had a flat to positive opening as indicated by the Nifty early in the morning. This was followed by a gradual up move with lack of momentum for the major part of the day. However, during the penultimate hour, all of a sudden, bundle of heavyweight constituents started facing severe selling pressure and as a result, the Nifty dropped inside the negative territory within no time. Eventually, we ended the session well below 11600 by losing nearly two tenths of a percent. Tuesday’s weak closing was followed by a gap up opening on Wednesday with a very small margin. There were no major triggers on the domestic as well as global front and hence, we slipped into a consolidation thereafter. The intraday range shrunk considerably, resulting into a lack of momentum. However, from nowhere, there was sudden gush seen in the market at the stroke of the penultimate hour and what we witnessed thereafter, was really a jaw dropping development for our market. In last one and half hours, Nifty not only elevated from the key support levels; but also managed to reclaim the 11700 mark with some authority. Wednesday’s spectacular recovery was followed by a flat opening on Thursday with mildly positive bias. The index then continued its northward trajectory towards the 11800 mark. However, we witnessed massive profit taking at higher levels and hence, we were well off from the kissing distance of 11800. This sell off aggravated during the last hour of the day, which led index convincingly below 11700 within a blink of an eye. Eventually, this volatile session ended with a loss of over seven tenths of a percent.

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Bulls are back in action & took nifty above 11700 but nifty close. Indices ended higher but off day's high on Monday with Nifty finished below 11700 level. At close, the Sensex was up 138 points at 38905, while Nifty was up 46 points at 11690.  Market took positive cues from Asian peers, where equities neared nine-month highs on easing of concerns about the US-China trade conflict.  Trade talks between the two countries were approaching a final lap, while strong Chinese export and bank loan data boosted confidence in the global economy.

The index formed a bullish candle on the daily scale and needs to hold above 11700 to extend gains towards 11800, and then 11900 -12000 zone. Overall setup and momentum is positive and a hold of recent zones could extend rally, while support exists at 11650 and then 11600 levels. It has been making higher top and higher bottom formation and supports are gradually shifting higher with medium term support at 11500. 

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Resistance: 11800, 11900

Support: 11650, 11600

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Bulls were in relaxing mood. After past weeks breaking runs bulls were taking breathe this week. Nifty & sensex ended a little changed on a volatile day. After opening higher market sentiments turned flat. At the close, the Sensex was up 23 points at 38386, while Nifty was down by  11 points at 11521.

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Nifty continued to trend higher. The Bulls kept the momentum going for market as it pushed the index above 11500 in trade on Monday but profit booking at higher levels pulled the index lower towards 11400 but before the closing bulls managed to close nifty above 11450. FII inflows and firm global cues supported the market.