OPTION CALL PUT TIPS & NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 9 OCT 2019

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Bulls are in the grip on bears. Nifty came below 11150 mark. The market ended in the red for the sixth consecutive session as the concerns over weak macroeconomic environment persisted. The Sensex closed 141 points down at 37531.  The Nifty index settled 48 points lower at 11126. 

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A volatile trading session ended on negative note, nifty closed below 11500 mark. The indices ended lower but off days low in the volatile session on September 30. At close, the Sensex was down 155 points at 38667, while Nifty was down 37 points at 11474. Indices were dragged down by declines across banking, auto, metal and pharma shares.

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Bulls are back in action & took nifty above 11800 mark but closed at 11796.  Market sentiments were lifted by gains in heavyweights like Reliance Industries and HDFC. At close, the Sensex was up 311 points at 39434, while Nifty was up 96 points 11796. 

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Today’s session was more like a roller coaster ride, where the index opened positive at 11744, then showed some strength in morning trades & made a high of 11802, but the sentiments turned pessimistic in late afternoon trades and index started drifting lower at nifty went till the low of 11625, however the market regained its momentum in the final hour of trade and finished the day on flat note at 11691.

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A range bound trading session gas ended on negative note. Markets ended Wednesday’s choppy session with losses after registering gains for three consecutive days amid selling in banking and financial services counters. Investor sentiment also took a hit on weak global cues. The Sensex closed at 39757. The Nifty settled at 11906, down 59 points. The Sensex touched an intra-day low of 39623 levels while the Nifty drifted to 11866 levels during the day before staging a partial recovery.

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The RBI’s money policy & Skymet’s prediction of below normal monsoon due to developing El Nino took the market down. On the time of closing the Sensex was down 179 points at 38877, while Nifty closed down 69 points at 11644. The Sensex and Nifty touched record high in the early trade today. The Nifty surged as much as 48 points to an all-time high of 11761 and Sensex climbed as much as 197 points to 39253.  RBI’s strong intent on supporting economic growth under governer Shaktikanta Das, with inflation under control, is evident. It will therefore come as no surprise if the Central Bank chose to cut Repo once again by 25 basis points. But I believe that the RBI should focus only on addressing the liquidity situation in the economy, wherein the real problem lies.

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Bulls were in relaxing mood. After past weeks breaking runs bulls were taking breathe this week. Nifty & sensex ended a little changed on a volatile day. After opening higher market sentiments turned flat. At the close, the Sensex was up 23 points at 38386, while Nifty was down by  11 points at 11521.

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Nifty continued to trend higher. The Bulls kept the momentum going for market as it pushed the index above 11500 in trade on Monday but profit booking at higher levels pulled the index lower towards 11400 but before the closing bulls managed to close nifty above 11450. FII inflows and firm global cues supported the market.

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Lackluster trading session has ended on positive note global cues as political uncertainty in the US and worries about weakening global economic growth weighed on investor sentiment. . Nifty ended the day on a positive note, but ended the session below 10850. At the close of market hours, the Sensex was up 86 points at 36195, and the Nifty up 18 points at 10849.  Some more choppiness could be witnessed in the upcoming session. The recent swing low of 10798 levels could help bears to rule. Now 10750 levels has become an impotent level for nifty. 

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Tug of war between bulls & bears was witnessed in today’s session & bears were the winner. Bears tighten their grip on the dalal street & took the nifty below 10800 mark. nifty failure to respect the crucial moving average in intraday trade as it slipped to sub-10,750 level by afternoon trade.  The index formed a small bearish candle on the daily chart and formed lower lows for the second session. It eventually closed a tad above its 200-day moving average at 10,790 level. The index eventually closed at 10792, down 117 points. The index erased most of the gains that it had made in last four sessions, which gave analysts some worry. 

NIFTY TOMORROW

The 10700 level still looks like a sacrosanct support, a breach of which shall take the Nifty below the 10650 level. A decisive close above the 10850 level should usher in a sustainable uptrend.  Aggressive traders with high risk appetite can consider short positions on the index with a stop loss above the 10900 mark on a closing basis and look for an initial target of 10550. 
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Resistance: 10850, 10900, 10950

Support: 10700, 10650, 10600

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NIFTY TODAY

It’s a rather somber end to the market on the last day of 2018. Global cues kept the market in check. The Nifty ended 2018 below 10,900 mark. At the close of market hours, the Sensex was down 8 points at 36068 and the Nifty up 2 points at 10862. 

NIFTY TOMORROW

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NIFTY TODAY

Bears tighten their grip on dalal street & took nifty below 10600 mark & made a low of 10562 but at the end nifty managed to close at 10600 down by 56 points.  Market traded on a weak note despite a positive opening in European markets and further fall in oil prices. Rebound in PSU banks due to extension of full implementation of Basel III norms and pharma stocks helped the market trim some losses in early hours of trade. However, continued selling in IT stocks on account of strong rupee restricted any recovery.

NIFTY TOMORROW

BANKNIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK & TIPS FOR 7 MAY TO 11 MAY

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR BANKNIFTY: 25842, 25973, 26325, 26677

PIVOT POINT: 25621

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR BANKNIFTY :  25490,25269,24917,23565

WEEKLY CHART FOR BANKNIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR BANKNIFTY: 25774, 25823, 25958,26093

PIVOT POINT: 25688

DAILY SUPPORT FOR BANKNIFTY : 25639, 25553, 25418,25283

DAILY CHART FOR BANKNIFTY

Stop-long positions at 25,500. Stop-short positions at 25,830. Big moves could go till 26,150, 25,350.

Bank Nifty opened the week at 25401, made a high of 25753, low of 24752 and closed the week at 25724. Thus it closed the week with a gain of 256 points. As the bank nifty is managing to trade above its 22 and 55&200 days moving averages with the RSI of 64, one may expect the targets of 25800/25900/26200 in the bank nifty if it manages to sustain above the immediate support level of 25500/25400.

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Market continued to trade higher for second consecutive session, with BSE Sensex closed 108 points higher, while NSE Nifty remained unchanged on Tuesday, tracking positive move in global equities. However, caution ahead of expiry of the March derivatives series on Wednesday and a holiday-truncated week limited gains. The nifty rallied more than half a percent in pre-opening trade, tracking positive global cues on easing trade war tensions. Nifty future has opened at 10190 made a high of 10210 & low of 10147 and closed at 10175 up by 25 points.

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Nifty will open the doors for testing the level of 10100 at (200dma).

The Sensex has opened at 33279 made a high of 33331 and low of 32991 and closed at 33033 ,loss204 points. The nifty future has opened at 10200 made a high of 10254 and low of 10155 and closed at 10177 with loss71points.Nifty and sensex posted losses for the sixth straight session on Wednesday as global stocks markers declined and PNB fraud investigation widened. 

The primary reason for the current bearish scenario is weak global markets, accompanied by the turmoil being faced in our public sector banks. The inherent weakness in the Banking sector is being reflected in the weak Bank Nifty.Indian markets edged lower on Tuesday to extend losses for the fifth straight session, with banking stocks coming under heavy selling pressure once again. Today, the start of the session is likely to be slightly in green. However, it failed to sustain at higher levels, as the Nifty index slipped from an intra-day high of 10,254 to end the session sharply lower at 10,180 levels, down 1.13%.On a daily chart, the Nifty closed Below its 20 &55days moving average which is placed at 10530 level which shows negative momentum in the niftyand it did drag lower below 10300 levels. Moreover, The daily indicator MACD is trending in negative direction with a negative crossover which sends a signal of negativity.Technically, the markets have closed at the lowest point since almost 3 months, as weakness pulled the markets lower last week to end the fourth consecutive week in range 10450-10500. At the same time, larger degree chart like monthly chart advocates the end of the uptrend in near term with the formation of a bearish engulfing pattern. the lower range of last eighteen sessions around 10300 stands broken and this in a way can push for next leg of downside towards the 10000 in next few months. Intermediate the 200 DMA @ 10100 would act as a SUPPORT.

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The Sensex ended lower by 300 points or 0.88 per cent at 33,746 and the Nifty closed down by 99.5 points or 0.95 per cent at 10,358.85 due to fears over global trade war amid political uncertainty in Italy.Nifty and sensex closed lower for the fourth straight session on Monday following losses in Asia equities amid worries about impact of US President Donald Trump’s proposed import tariffs on steel and aluminium. 

For the coming week, we are keeping a close eye on the10400 mark as we now can see an ‘Upward sloping Trend Line’ converging around this point. Above 10400 some recovery can be seen in nifty towards 10440-10490. A sustainable breach below this crucial support would result into a sharp correction towards 10300 followed by 10250/10110. With a near term view, we continue to remain cautious on the market but ideally we would be convinced to go short only after seeing few days of more such time-correction or a relief rally to retest the higher range of 10640.NIFTY ended holiday truncated week on a flat to negative note. As per the daily chart, NIFTY continued prior daily down-trend and formed an Inverted Hammer Pattern right after an indecisive one (i.e. Doji). Our negative view will remain intact on NIFTY, as major key technical indicators have given a negative cross-over and also, current daily as well as weekly set-up seems bearish. In case of further decline, its prior swing low (placed at around 10,275 level) will continue to work as a strong support for the index. 

NIFTY PREDICTION FOR 28 FEB 2018

BULLS WERE UNABLE TO BREAK THE RESISTANCE 10650 TODAY.

We may see nifty trading above 10650 tomorrow

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Bulls tight end grip on Dalal St reet ; Nifty reclaims 10,550 mark

Benchmark indices closed lower on Tuesday, snapping a two-day winning streak, dragged by bank stocks. The Nifty PSU Bank index declined 3.5% following Punjab National Bank’s disclosure that the amount of fraudulent transactions could be as much as Rs12,700 crore.The Sensex has opened at 34558 made a high of 34610 and low of 34314 and closed at 34346 ,loss25 points. The nifty future has opened at 10616.15 made a high of 10639.70 and low of 10540.55 and closed at 10564 with loss99 points.Today, the start is likely to be on positive side as investors keep an eye on the GDP data for December quarter due on Wednesday.GDP probably rose 7% in three months to December year-on-year, according to a Bloomberg survey, versus 6.3% in the previous quarter. 

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"BANKNIFTY 27200 1 FEB PUT ACHIEVED 1ST TGT 215 MADE A HIGH OF 237.70"

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR BANKNIFTY: 27534, 27642, 27720,28170

PIVOT POINT: 27426

DAILY SUPPORT FOR BANKNIFTY : 27348, 27270, 27162,26868

DAILY CHART FOR BANKNIFTY

HIGHEST WEEKLY CLOSING FOR bankNIFTY.

Bank Nifty opened the week at 27637, made a high of 27639, low of 27170 and closed the week at 27468. Thus it closed the week with a loss of 21 points. As the bank nifty is managing to trade above its 22 and 55&200 days moving averages with the RSI of 80, one may expect the targets of 27700/28000 in the stock if it manages to sustain above the immediate support level of 27000/26800.

banknifty Still In Positive Momentum, Hold Long With Strict Sl 26800

Technically, BANKNIFTY is still in positive zone but, Market would Highly Volatile on Union Budget day.Some profit booking can be ruled out at this point of time. But overall market is positive until it holds 26800 levels for BankNifty on closing basis. Risk-averse traders can book profits near 27600 to avoid risk of volatility.BANKNIFTY would be considered weak below 26800 levels for bank Nifty. BANKNIFTY would see reversal if it is closes below 26800 levels. Overall, it is strong for long-term and Investors can go long at every dip. Bank Nifty may see some further temporary correction but traders should initiate short only below 26800 levels until then, every downfall is an opportunity to go long in the Bank Nifty. Ifbank nifty managed to close above 27500 levels.Or breaching this level.bank nifty would force it to move towards 27700-27900-28000-28300 levels.

NIFTY AND BANK NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 08 NOV 2017

The Sensex plunged 360 points to close at 33,370 due to negative domestic and global cues. Profit-booking by funds and retail investors, rising crude oil prices.Similarly, Nifty closed lower by 101 points or 0.97 per cent at 10,350sensex touched a high of 33,865 and a low of 33,341 against the previous close of 33,731. Except IT stocks, which rose over 2%, all other indices ended lower with PSU Bank and Nifty Pharma falling 3.92% and 4.29%, respectively. Energy, consumer durables and realty indices fell more than 2%.