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Type
|
R1
|
R2
|
R3
|
PP
|
S1
|
S2
|
S3
|
Classic
|
17,914
|
18,159
|
18,614
|
17,459
|
17,215
|
16,759
|
16,515
|
Fibonacci
|
17,726
|
17,891
|
18,159
|
17,459
|
17,192
|
17,026
|
16,759
|
Camarilla
|
17,734
|
17,798
|
17,862
|
17,459
|
17,606
|
17,542
|
17,478
|
On
Monday morning, the SGX Nifty pointed to a sluggish start on muted global
indicators. However, during the pre-opening period, the news came out regarding
the merger of two huge companies, HDFC Ltd and HDFC Bank. This led to an
outpouring by these two heavyweights, which then rubbed off on the broader
market. The most important indices, the Nifty and Bank Nifty, took off right
from the start. With the HDFC conglomerate known for its solid reputation, this
news flow gave the rally a much-needed boost. As a result, Nifty zoomed towards
18000 and maintained its stable stance throughout the day despite some small
profit bookings mid-session. The spectacular parade on Monday was followed on
Tuesday morning by a quiet start in the countryside. However, in initial
trading, small gains simply disappeared and the index slipped into
consolidation mode thereafter. Profit booking extended somewhat in the first
half and as it progressed the Nifty tested the 17950 level. Fortunately, buying
resumed as we entered the second half and recouped all losses. However, towards
the end of the fag, the market suddenly became jittery, resulting in a sharp
downtrend that also slipped below the morning low. Finally, Nifty
finished the session convincingly below 18,000, losing over half a percent. The
tail-end profit booking in the previous session was extended at the open itself
on Wednesday when we experienced a jittery start on sluggish global cues.
Barring a mid-session try, the index remained under pressure, hovering around
the bottom for most of the day. As a result, the Nifty ended the session just
above 17800 by losing another eight tenths of a percent. Thursday's session
replicated the previous session as we first saw a gap to the downside on
sluggish global cues and then, despite a mid-session rally, ended the session
close to a daily low. In contrast to Wednesday, however, the trading range was
slightly larger. Finally, the Nifty ended the weekly decline on a negative note
slightly below the 17650 level, losing another percent. Friday market
broke a three-day losing streak to finish higher with Nifty above 17700 after
the RBI's monetary policy committee kept interest rates on hold. Finally, the
Sensex was up 412 points to 59447 and the Nifty was up 144 points to 17784. The
market has been cautious in the last 2-3 days ahead of the RBI meeting and its
future policy stance. Actions in line with market expectations led to a
recovery rally. The focus has shifted to the Q4 earnings season, which starts
next week and is being initiated by the IT and banking sectors. The outlook for
the banking sector is robust on the back of a rapid pick-up in credit growth
and improving balance sheets, while the outlook for IT is mixed as the fourth
quarter is seasonally weak.
NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 17215;
STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 18159
The
benchmark Nifty found support around the previous session's low, leading to a
positive close for the day. On the upside, however, the Nifty found resistance
around the lower band of the rising channel. In the future, the trend could
continue in the short term. On the top end, the index might face resistance at
18159, while on the bottom end, there is support at 17215.
TECHNICALLY
SPEAKING
Markets
ended their 3-day losing streak as investors bought again after the RBI said in
its monetary policy announcement that it would continue its accommodative
stance and stated that inflation would cool going forward. Sentiment was also
supported by a rise in other global indices, boosting investor confidence,
although concerns over rising US bond yields, likely rate hikes and sanctions
on Russia continued to weigh on markets. Technically, after a short-term
correction, on weekly charts the Nifty has formed a doji candlestick formation
that clearly shows the indecisiveness between the bulls and bears. The market
took support near the 10-day SMA and has formed a promising reversal pattern
that is suggesting a continuation of a pullback rally in the near future. We
believe that the bounded texture is likely to persist in the short-term. For
the bulls, 17215 would be the key support zone above which the index could
reach the 17914-18159 level. On the other hand, if the index closes below the
10-day SMA or 17459, it could reach the 17215-16759 levels.