NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALLS FOR 14 JAN 2020

New week new high !!! Nifty hits fresh record high & closed above 12300 mark supported by positive global and domestic cues. The Sensex scaled fresh peak of 41899 in the early morning trade today. It, settled the day at record closing high of 41859 level, up 259. The Nifty too, hit a record high of 12337, surpassing its previous high of 12311 hit on Friday, January 10. At close, the index was at 12329 level, up 72 points. The official signing of Phase-1 of US-China trade deal, scheduled for January 15, coupled with recovery in the industrial production data lifted the market sentiment. Besides, healthy December quarter numbers by IT bellwether Infosys and appreciation of rupee to a one-month high kept sentiment buoyed.

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Bulls continued their record-breaking run. The Nifty surpassed the 12250-mark for the first time after reports that China has exempted tariff on US products. The Sensex gained 115 points to close at 41673 after hitting a record high of 41685. The Nifty was up 38 points to close at 12259. The index hit intraday high of 12261. The Nifty found hit a new peak and closed higher for the third consecutive session on 19 December 2019, driven by buying in select majors such as Reliance Industries, TCS, and Bharti Airtel. The index remained in a intraday range of 77 points before ending at record closing high again. After opening flat, the Nifty saw some consolidation but gained strength in late morning deals and extended the rally as the day progressed. The index hit an intraday record high of 12268 in the late trade and closed 38 points higher at 12259.

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New day new high..!!! Market breaks all the record in Tuesday’s session ahead of the crucial GST Council meeting. The Sensex gained rose 206 points to close at 41558. The Nifty gained 56 points to close at 12221. The market hit record high on the expectations of measures from the Centre to support the economy. Metals & IT stocks traded higher on hopes that easing trade tensions could ensure global growth and increase the order intakes. With the budget around the corner, the government is planning to steer the ship by bringing measures to boost consumption. 

NIFTY PREDICTION & OPTION CALLS FOR 17 DEC 2019

After hitting a new record high of 41185 points, Sensex ended 71 points lower at 40938 today. The Nifty, on the other hand, lost 26 points to 12060 points. In the opening session, Sensex had jumped over 175 points to a new record high of 41185 while Nifty Bank had also hit a new high. The Nifty index remained volatile and swung both ways between the level 12134 high  & 12046 low before ending lower at 12053 below 12100 mark. The Nifty has been struggling to clear the 12150–12200 zone. Looking at the chart of the Nifty, it can be construed that the index is trading in the 11900–12150 range, which is similar to the previous week. The short-term trend would be dented only on a breach of the 11900 mark.

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Bulls made a strong comeback in the market & crossed 12000 mark. The Sensex ended 169 points, higher at 40581.Similarly; the Nifty settled 61 points, higher at 11971. Domestic investors were following cues from global markets which advanced on the US Federal Reserve's dovish outlook. The Federal Reserve policy changed the market sentiments. The Federal Reserve made no change in interest rates in an effort to maintain the economic growth. Investors are also awaiting factory output data scheduled to be released later in the day.  

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Bulls are on back foot bears continued to grip the markets in Tuesday’s session also…!!!! Nifty came below 11900 mark. After opening at 11950 nifty made a high of 11953 & came down to 11844 & finally closed at 11856 down by 80 points in intraday. The Sensex ended at 40239 level, down 247 points. Profit-booking continued at the bourses as weak domestic and global economic scenario kept investors on the sidelines. Selling in domestic market accentuated as investors turned more cautious over double whammy of inflationary pressure and weak growth. Another factor which is impacting market is the likelihood of maintenance of status quo on rates by both US Fed and ECB. Given domestic premium valuation of key indices, market is highly susceptible for near term volatility.

NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 9 DEC 13 DEC 2019

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12100, 12200, 12300

 PIVOT POINT: 11900

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11800, 11700, 11600

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12000, 12050, 12100
PIVOT POINT: 11900
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11800, 11750, 11700
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

The index has undergone a corrective move in three out of four trading sessions so far this week. Even the market breadth remained in favor of declining counters, which indicates profit booking in individual stocks. At this juncture, it is trading this week with a loss of around 0.31 percent. On the other hand, the Nifty Bank index too suffered some selling and is trading with a loss of 0.73% from its previous week’s close.  Monday morning, the global cues were excellent and were ideal to have a head start for the first week of December. In line with this, we had a gap up opening with a fair margin; but it was merely a formality to remain in sync with the Asian traders. Within a few seconds, the lead got disappeared and we were back below 12100. After this, the Nifty made one more attempt to inch higher but once again this short up move got sold into. During the remaining part of the day, market consolidated with no major movement and eventually ended the session with a negligible loss on Monday. Similar to Monday’s session, the early morning gap up opening was merely a formality as we saw index giving up all gains in few minutes of trade. In fact, the selling aggravated as the day progressed and in the course of action, Nifty was at a kissing distance from 11950. At one point, things looks extremely bleak; but fortunately for us, patient buyers entered on declines which helped index recoup some portion of its losses at the close. On Wednesday once again the escalated concerns over Sino-US trade war spooked the market participants across the globe. Fortunately for us, we did not react so negatively to this development as some of the global peers did. After seeing a marginal cut at the opening, the index picked up strong momentum in the upward direction in first 30 minutes of trade. In the process, Nifty managed to reclaim the 12000 mark. However, the selling recurred at higher levels; resulting into a nosedive below 11950 at the midst. By the grace of god, traders / investors were given yet another opportunity to smile as we witnessed not only a v-shaped recovery but also a convincing break above morning high to end the session by adding over four tenths of a percent to the bulls’ kitty On Wednesday, we had a strong last hour surge in our market, which probably was the reflection of hopes built for yet another rate cut by RBI. In line with this, the market was trading with a positive bias ahead of the monetary policy; but ‘Status Quo’ from RBI clearly disappointed market participants and as a result, the Nifty gave up all gains and slipped into a negative territory. The most sensitive index, Bank Nifty tumbled from morning highs and remained under pressure thereafter. Eventually, the day ended with some cuts on indices as well as the broader market.

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A volatile trading session ended on flat note as losses in auto and private bank stocks offset rally in telecom counters. The sensex closed marginally higher by 8 points at 40802, it swung between a high of 41093 and a low of 40707 during the day. Nifty settled 7 points down at 12048.

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Nifty opened with an upside gap for the fourth consecutive session and remained in the positive territory throughout Thursday’s session. Continuing their record-breaking streak, markets hit new highs today. The Sensex settled 109 points higher at 41130, a new closing high. Intra-day it rose to a new high of 41163. The Nifty also settled at a new closing high of 12154.

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New day new high!!!! Bulls continued to rule the street. Continuing their bull run, market ended at fresh closing high on Wednesday, led by buying in financial, auto and metal counters. Optimism surrounding the signing of the first phase of a US-China trade deal also boosted investor sentiment.  The Sensex climbed 199 points to end at 41021, - its fresh closing peak. It was the first time that the index settled above the crucial 41000-mark.

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Bulls were gun-gho and pushed the nifty to all-time highs in today’s session. Indian markets hit new milestones today but failed to hold on to gains and ended moderately lower. Sensex off 300 points from day’s high & nifty ended 68 points lower below 12050 mark. The Sensex hit 41000 for the first time today, rising to 41120 at day's high before settling 68 points lower at 40821. The Nifty also hit a new intra-day high of 12132 today but settled 0.30% lower at 12037. The Nifty Bank index today hit a new high of 31850 and ended 0.50% higher at 31718.  Nifty finally managed to touch new high today on the back of strong global cues, FII buying and improvement in market sentiments post slew of Government reforms. While the initiatives taken by the government and RBI will take time to work on the ground and reflect in numbers, the market is focusing on long-term reforms (Tax cuts, potential Disinvestment/Privatization, further stimulus/ reforms, etc.). Improvement in global cues (easing of the US-China trade war, range-bound crude oil prices, monetary easing by the US Fed, US equity markets at new high) is also aiding sentiments.

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Bulls are back in action & took nifty near 12000 mark. Bulls continued to show resilience as buying activity continues. Banking is taking leadership during this phase of consolidation, which is a good sign. Market breadth was a tad negative, but nothing alarming. 

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The Sensex and Nifty shrugged off weak domestic and global cues to end on a firm note amid hopes that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will cut interest rates for the sixth straight time in December meet despite surge in retail inflation. The Sensex gained 170 points to end at 40286 with ICICI Bank (up around 3%) being the top gainer and Vedanta (down around 3%) the biggest loser. During the day, the index witnessed a swing of around 322 points. Nifty ended at 11870, up 30 points.

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A flat trading session ended on negative note Nifty came below 11850 mark. Disappointing IIP figures for September, cautiousness ahead of the release of CPI inflation data for October and growing worries over US-China trade deal talks sent the market over half a per cent lower on Wednesday. Besides, CLSA's statement that India's GDP may slip to 5%  in FY20, too. The Sensex was down 229 points at 40116, while Nifty was down 73 points at 11840.

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The Sensex and Nifty ended on a flat note on Monday as gains in banking heavyweights like ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank and State Bank of India were offset by losses in Reliance Industries, Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, Maruti Suzuki and ITC. For most part of the day, the benchmarks traded lower however, buying in banking shares which pushed the banking sub-index - Nifty Bank index above 31000-mark, helped the Sensex and Nifty close with a positive bias. The Sensex had ended November 11 with a marginal gain of 21 points at 40345, while the Nifty was up 5 points at 11913. 

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Bulls continued their record breaking run in sync with firm global peers as risk appetite improved on the back of progress in US-China trade deal talks. Real estate reforms on the domestic front also kept sentiment upbeat.  The Sensex was up 183 points to end at 40653, a new closing high, the Sensex also hit a new high of 40682. The Nifty ended 0.40% higher at 12012. Better-than-expected Q2 earnings season, corporate tax rate cut, measures by the government to boost economic growth and a rally in global markets has boosted the market sentiment. The government on Wednesday announced a ₹25,000 crore fund for completion of stalled residential projects, including ones that have been declared NPAs or admitted for insolvency proceedings, as it looks to boost growth by steering consumption in real estate and associated sectors.

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11950, 12050, 12150

 PIVOT POINT: 11850

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11750, 11650, 11550

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12000, 12050, 12100
PIVOT POINT: 11900

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11850, 11800, 11750

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Markets traded lackluster and settled almost on the flat note, taking a breather after the recent surge. A truncated one-hour 'Muhurat' trading session ended on Sunday on a positive note with gains of 0.37% at 11627. After Monday holiday the new SAMVAT started with a bang as most of the global uncertainty seems to have subsided in last few days. After the Muhurat trading day, we had a gap up opening with a small margin. However, right from the word go, bulls dominated the position and in fact, the momentum accelerated as the day progressed. Eventually, the cheerful Tuesday ended tad below the 11800 mark, adding nearly one and half a percent to the bulls’ kitty. Tuesday’s strong broad based rally was followed by a decent bump up at the opening on Wednesday. However, it was merely a formality as we immediately witnessed index correcting back to its previous close. Fortunately, the correction was restricted within first half an hour and thereafter, index continued its gradual march towards the opening point. Despite some small hiccups in the latter half, index managed to close well inside the positive territory. Thursday morning, the global cues were excellent and the set up was just ideal to have a good head-start for the day. In-line with this, the Nifty opened higher by nearly half a percent and within first 10 minutes of trade, 11900 was on the screen. After this, we had a gradual up move for the major part of the day. However, precisely at the stroke of the penultimate hour, market started giving up its gains rapidly and eventually we pared down decent portion of it to conclude the October series tad below the 11900 mark.

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The Sensex and Nifty rose to 4-month highs on October 29, while Nifty Bank touched 1-month high. Nifty is now 316 points and Sensex is 480 points away from their record highs. Market logged healthy gains as sources indicated that the government is reviewing equity-related tax rate rationalization. 

The market in the near-term is likely to be driven by earnings outcome and auto volume numbers which will be a crucial indicator of the revival in consumer spending. Further, global cues will induce volatility as expectations are high from the ongoing US-China trade negotiations.

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Bulls are back in action..!!! Market reversed all the losses to trade in the positive territory backed by gains in select bank, IT and FMCG majors such as SBI, TCS, Infosys, Hindustan Unilever and ITC. However, losses in shares of HDFC twins, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Reliance Industries are keeping the gains capped. . The Sensex was trading above 39000.-level while Nifty trading over 11600-mark. A selloff across financial, automobile and pharmaceutical stocks deepened, pulling the markets lower in afternoon deals. Tata Motors to report its financial results for the second quarter of current financial year later in the day.