NIFTY WEEKLY REPORT FOR 02 APRIL TO 06 APR 2018

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10228,10336,10453,10570

PIVOT POINT: 10102

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10048,9994,9931,9868

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10150,10180,10233,10286

PIVOT POINT:10127

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10097,10074,10021,9968

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Sensex opened the week at 33240, made a high of 33269, low of 32523 and closed the week at 32968. Thus the Sensex closed the week with a gain of 372 points. At the same time, the Nifty opened the week at 9989, made a high of 10210 low of 9977 and closed the week at 10120. Thus the Nifty closed the week with a Gain of 117 points. The year 2017-18 saw the bulls losing their steam, with the Sensex rising 12 per cent, compared with a 16 per cent rally in FY17. On the other hand, the Nifty 50 index gained 11% in FY18, as against 18% in the previous corresponding period. India's stocks, bonds and currency markets are closed on Thursday and Friday for Mahaveer Jayanti and Good Friday respectively. Trading will resume on Monday.

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Market continued to trade higher for second consecutive session, with BSE Sensex closed 108 points higher, while NSE Nifty remained unchanged on Tuesday, tracking positive move in global equities. However, caution ahead of expiry of the March derivatives series on Wednesday and a holiday-truncated week limited gains. The nifty rallied more than half a percent in pre-opening trade, tracking positive global cues on easing trade war tensions. Nifty future has opened at 10190 made a high of 10210 & low of 10147 and closed at 10175 up by 25 points.

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Expiry week kicked on robust note and gained more than a 1%. Thesensex & nifty trimmed morning lossses to end sharply higher after reports suggested that the United States and China have quietly started negotiations to improve US access to Chinese markets, thereby easing fears of a trade war between the two economic giants.  Bargain hunting combined with short covering helped the index move higher. Market closed sharply higher as the Sensex was up 469 points at 33066 and the Nifty gained 132 points at 10130.

NIFTY WEEKLY PREDICTION FOR 26 MARCH –28 MAR 2018

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10647,10762,10858,11164

PIVOT POINT: 10531

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10340,10225,10109,9910

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10489,10527,10549,10571

PIVOT POINT:10451

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10429,10407,10369,10331

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Sensex opened the week at 33131, made a high of 33339, low of 33483 and closed the week at 32596. Thus the Sensex closed the week with a loss of 580 points. At the same time, the Nifty opened the week at 10230, made a high of 10265 low of 9960 and closed the week at 10003. Thus the Nifty closed the week with a loss of 235 points. Markets plunged to a five-month low on Friday as jittery investors rushed to sell shares on heightened fears of a trade war after US President Donald Trump announced $50 billion in tariffs on Chinese imports.and banking stocks fell further after CBI filed two more fraud cases involving Union Bank of India and State Bank of India. 

nifty breaked 200 ema; BEAR CRASH THIS WEEK 

EVERY PULL-BACK - A SHORTING OPPORTUNITY

As predicted by us in our last weekly report “nifty will trade CONTINUOUS THE DOWN TREND towards 10000 ” and exactly same happened rally of bears was continuing in this week also. They managed to pull nifty below the support levels of 10125 .and achieved all  the target of 10000 and closed the week with made a low of 9960. And for now nifty will see  9925 as support levels and 10135 as a resistance level. Yesterday, Nifty has closed just above the 200dma and it was broken today. The set-up smacks of strong bearishness and hence one is advised to Sell/Short on any sort of pull-backs.

                        Nifty is still in the negative zone. And still, suggest holding short positions in the market for now with SL of 10135(200 EMA). The market has been downtrend since the last couple of days. So we still suggest hold short positions below 9990 levels and below 9990, negative rally in Nifty would be open for 9960, 9930, 9900, and 9850. On the other hand above(200 days EMA Resistance level) 10135 positive rally in Nifty would be open for 10165, 10195, 10240, and 10300.

The support for the Nifty is 10370-10300-10200-10160-10070 and the resistance for the nifty is 10570-10600-10722-10800 levels.               

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.

          This week, the indices short-term average of 22 dma Nifty – 10305 close above it. The indices continue to remain above the medium term average of 55 dma Nifty – 10415 but above the long-term average of 200 dma Nifty 10135. Thus the trend in the long term has remained bearish whereas the trend in the medium term timeframe continues to remain bearish.

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Snapping its five-session losing spree, The Sensex closed Tuesday's session in the green on gains in metal, pharma, IT, auto and PSU bank stocks.  Nifty fluctuated before finishing modestly higher on Tuesday as traders covered short positions after recent string of losses. The Sensex rose 73 points t to 32996 while the Nifty index ended up 30 points at 10124. Underlying sentiment remained somewhat cautious as investors weighed prospects of a 25 basis point hike in interest rate by the U.S. Federal Reserve this week.

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Bears have maintained an upperhand for major part of the session in the week starting Monday as sensex & nifty ended at fresh 2018 lows amid weak global cues.  Indian stock markets continue to slide down due to uncertainty around the banking sector and current political situation given the election schedule this year. This has the potential to derail the sentiment & earnings growth for the next year. Investors looked for cues from the two-day Federal Reserve meeting due later in the week. Continued ruckus at both Rajya Sabha and Lok Sabha for 11th consecutive day, political uncertainties and widened current account deficit in the December quarter also weighed on investor sentiment. The Sensex was down 252 points at 32,923. Nifty future closed below the 200-DMA, falling 109 points to 10122. Nifty future has opened at 10230 made a high of 10235 and low of 10102.

NIFTY WEEKLY PREDICTION FOR 19 MARCH –23 MAR 2018

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10431,10476,10528,10580

PIVOT POINT: 10385

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10333,10281,10236,10093

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10321,10406,10479,10553

PIVOT POINT:10259

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10174,10112,10038,9965

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Sensex opened the week at 33602, made a high of 34042, low of 33221 and closed the week at 33176. Thus the Sensex closed the week with a loss of 131 points. At the same time, the Nifty opened the week at 10331, made a high of 10490 low of 10295 and closed the week at 10238. Thus the Nifty closed the week with a gain of 22 points. Indices declined for the third straight day on Friday due to a major sell-off amid political concerns after the Telugu Desam Party decided to quit the NDA and moved a no-confidence notice against the government.

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The week has ended on bearish note. The indices has came under heavy selling pressure on Friday, Sensex and Nifty, plunging over 1.50 per cent each. The Sensex tumbled 510 points to 33176, while the NSE Nifty slipped below the 10,200 level to 10197 , down 162 points. Very clearly, the political landscape has changed dramatically post Gujarat election and now it is visibly clear that for a single party to get majority is going to be very difficult. I think that scenario is now working in mind of every investor.  The TDP has moved a no-confidence motion against the NDA government on the issue of granting special category status to Andhra Pradesh, according to a PTI report. Already, the YSR Congress' motion against the government is pending.  The government, however, exuded confidence that it has the numbers to ride out the crisis. The motion will be the first such move during the tenure of this NDA government. The nifty future has opened at 10344 made a low of 10197 and closed at 10238. Total 147 nifty future has moved in intraday.

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Volatility is back to haunt markets. The Sensex gave up early morning gains by late afternoon on Tuesday to trade at 33763 with a loss of 154 points. The Nifty future also turned negative and traded below the psychologically crucial level of 10400 & made a low of 10374. Nifty future has opened at 10401 made a high of 10490 and closed at 10426. India’s retail inflation eased to 4.44% in February from 5.1% in January, but remained above the 4% medium-term target of the Reserve Bank of India.

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The market has begun the week on a bullish note, as sensex & nifty rise over 1 percent, backed by strong global cues as well as some factors back home. The Sensex rose over 500 points intraday, while the Nifty future also surged over 150 points to trade comfortably above 10400 mark. Market sentiments were driven by global rally after better-than-expected US jobs data. Investors awaited February CPI inflation and January industrial output data due later today. The market had lost more than 2 percent last week.

NIFTY WEEKLY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 12 MARCH TO 16 MAR 2018

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10401,10560,10701,10842

PIVOT POINT: 10278

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10119,10057,9996,9855

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10281,10344,10451,10558

PIVOT POINT:10237

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10174,10130,10023,9916

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Sensex opened the week at 33820, made a high of 33957, low of 33065 and closed the week at 33307. Thus the Sensex closed the week with a loss of 261 points. At the same time, the Nifty opened the week at 10369, made a high of 10437low of 10155 and closed the week at 10218. Thus the Nifty closed the week with a loss of 224 points.  Sensex and nifty ended largely flat on Friday taking cues from their Asian counterparts.Market opened gap up but could not sustain the rally. Within few minutes bears have attacked the bulls and market turned negative.Among Sectoral indices, the Nifty PSU Bank index ended 1.81% lower led by a fall in the shares of Canara Bank, IDBI Bank and Oriental Bank of Commerce. 

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"NIFTY SELL BELOW 10230 TGT 10180/10120 SL 10300"

As we have predicted yesterday after opening at 10217 nifty future has made low 10155 and high of 10277 and closed at 10233.  The Sensex and Nifty snapped the six-day losing streak on Thursday following a strong Asian market closing on easing fears of a global trade war as the White House signalled it would water down plans for contentious metal tariffs. Short covering also led to the bounce back.

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Nifty will open the doors for testing the level of 10100 at (200dma).

The Sensex has opened at 33279 made a high of 33331 and low of 32991 and closed at 33033 ,loss204 points. The nifty future has opened at 10200 made a high of 10254 and low of 10155 and closed at 10177 with loss71points.Nifty and sensex posted losses for the sixth straight session on Wednesday as global stocks markers declined and PNB fraud investigation widened. 

The primary reason for the current bearish scenario is weak global markets, accompanied by the turmoil being faced in our public sector banks. The inherent weakness in the Banking sector is being reflected in the weak Bank Nifty.Indian markets edged lower on Tuesday to extend losses for the fifth straight session, with banking stocks coming under heavy selling pressure once again. Today, the start of the session is likely to be slightly in green. However, it failed to sustain at higher levels, as the Nifty index slipped from an intra-day high of 10,254 to end the session sharply lower at 10,180 levels, down 1.13%.On a daily chart, the Nifty closed Below its 20 &55days moving average which is placed at 10530 level which shows negative momentum in the niftyand it did drag lower below 10300 levels. Moreover, The daily indicator MACD is trending in negative direction with a negative crossover which sends a signal of negativity.Technically, the markets have closed at the lowest point since almost 3 months, as weakness pulled the markets lower last week to end the fourth consecutive week in range 10450-10500. At the same time, larger degree chart like monthly chart advocates the end of the uptrend in near term with the formation of a bearish engulfing pattern. the lower range of last eighteen sessions around 10300 stands broken and this in a way can push for next leg of downside towards the 10000 in next few months. Intermediate the 200 DMA @ 10100 would act as a SUPPORT.

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The Sensex ended lower by 300 points or 0.88 per cent at 33,746 and the Nifty closed down by 99.5 points or 0.95 per cent at 10,358.85 due to fears over global trade war amid political uncertainty in Italy.Nifty and sensex closed lower for the fourth straight session on Monday following losses in Asia equities amid worries about impact of US President Donald Trump’s proposed import tariffs on steel and aluminium. 

For the coming week, we are keeping a close eye on the10400 mark as we now can see an ‘Upward sloping Trend Line’ converging around this point. Above 10400 some recovery can be seen in nifty towards 10440-10490. A sustainable breach below this crucial support would result into a sharp correction towards 10300 followed by 10250/10110. With a near term view, we continue to remain cautious on the market but ideally we would be convinced to go short only after seeing few days of more such time-correction or a relief rally to retest the higher range of 10640.NIFTY ended holiday truncated week on a flat to negative note. As per the daily chart, NIFTY continued prior daily down-trend and formed an Inverted Hammer Pattern right after an indecisive one (i.e. Doji). Our negative view will remain intact on NIFTY, as major key technical indicators have given a negative cross-over and also, current daily as well as weekly set-up seems bearish. In case of further decline, its prior swing low (placed at around 10,275 level) will continue to work as a strong support for the index. 

NIFTY WEEKLY REPORT FOR 05–09 MAR 2018

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10486,10531,10561,10652

PIVOT POINT: 10470

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10410,10379,10333,10288

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10616,10714,10887,10973

PIVOT POINT:10541

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10443,10406,10368,10195

DAILY CHART FOR  NIFTY 

Sensex opened the week at 34141, made a high of 34278, low of 34015 and closed the week at 33046. Thus the Sensex closed the week with a loss of 96 points. At the same time, the Nifty opened the week at 10400, made a high of 10639 low of 10386 and closed the week at 10442. Thus the Nifty closed the week with a loss of 52 points. On Thursday The Sensex was trading down by nearly 130 points as subdued global market sentiment offset better-than-expected GDP data. The Sensex was trading down 127 points or 0.37 per cent at 34,056.and the nifty down 35  points or 0.34 per cent at 10,456.

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NIFTY is on a SIDEWAYS course, as top end of the band @ 10630, pushes NIFTY on back-foot

The downside rally could test all the way through 10450-10300 levels in the upcoming weeks

On Tuesday, Matching global cues index opened gap up but could not hold the gainsas PSU banks were under selling pressure which overall took away the positive sentiment and Nifty was trading around crucial levels of 10640 which it could not sustain.The Sensex has opened at 34155 made a high of 34302 and low of 34076 and closed at 34184 , loss 162 points. The nifty future has opened at 10495 made a high of 10555 and low of 10466 and closed at 10519 with loss 44pointsThe Sensex ended lower by 162.35 points or 0.47 per cent at 34,184.04 and the Nifty closed down by 61.45 points or 0.58 per cent at 10,492.Domestic sentiment was hit as fears of faster interest rate hikes in the United States hurt investor risk appetite. Traders also remained wary ahead of IIP data for February and December quarter GDP numbers to be published later today.Later the index slipped to sub-10,540 mark and finally after a narrow range oscillation, finished trade with the loss of 28 points at 10,554 level.On a daily chart, the Nifty closed below its 22&55 days moving average which is placed at 10557 level which shows negative momentum in the Index.Today, the start of the session is likely to be on negative side on weak global cues and traders will be eyeing the dataprint for the December quarter GDP and fiscal deficit data that will be announced later in the day. Asian and European markets exhibited mixed trend ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s highly anticipated first congressional testimony later in the day.A break on the lower side 10460 of the trading range will open the doors for testing of 200dma(10090).

For the coming session, 10600 – 10640 would continue to act as immediate resistance; whereas, 10460 - 10380 remains to be an important support zone. However, in case of further decline, its 200-day moving averages (placed at around 10,090 level) will continue to work as key reversal point.Nifty continues to move in a range (10400-10640). This can be termed as a Consolidation with a bearish bias. A narrow range seems like a precursor of a bigger move which is likely to follow. A break on the upper side of the range will lead the Nifty to test 10670-10700; whereas a bearish  breakout to the trading range will lead the Nifty towards the Flag target of 10400/10290.

Resistance: 10600, 10640, 10670, 10700

Support: 10500, 10470, 10400,10290

NIFTY PREDICTION FOR 28 FEB 2018

BULLS WERE UNABLE TO BREAK THE RESISTANCE 10650 TODAY.

We may see nifty trading above 10650 tomorrow

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Bulls tight end grip on Dalal St reet ; Nifty reclaims 10,550 mark

Benchmark indices closed lower on Tuesday, snapping a two-day winning streak, dragged by bank stocks. The Nifty PSU Bank index declined 3.5% following Punjab National Bank’s disclosure that the amount of fraudulent transactions could be as much as Rs12,700 crore.The Sensex has opened at 34558 made a high of 34610 and low of 34314 and closed at 34346 ,loss25 points. The nifty future has opened at 10616.15 made a high of 10639.70 and low of 10540.55 and closed at 10564 with loss99 points.Today, the start is likely to be on positive side as investors keep an eye on the GDP data for December quarter due on Wednesday.GDP probably rose 7% in three months to December year-on-year, according to a Bloomberg survey, versus 6.3% in the previous quarter. 

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NIFTY IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW UPWARD MARCH IF IT CROSSES THE HURDLE OF 10650
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NIFTY follow the Key Resistance @ 10640AND Support @ 10505

Sensex closing over 300 points higher and NSE’s Nifty 50 closing at 10,582,gains for a second straight session on Monday, shares were boosted by gains in auto and realty stocks, offsetting losses in IT and Tech. The gains come after stock markets fell on worries over the fallout from a $1.8 billion fraud at Punjab National Bank. Nifty is now trying to move up from this low but seems to lack strength. Nifty needs to decisively move beyond 10630-10640 levels to strengthen the bullish momentum and take nifty higher to 10670 and 10730 levels. A strong support is at 10505. If nifty break below this level, nifty would befall to 10460 or even 10400.

NIFTY WEEKLY REPORT FOR 26 FEB–02 MAR 2018

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10487,10593,10696,10798

PIVOT POINT: 10388

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10335,10282,10183,10181

 

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 10510,10551,10597,10662

PIVOT POINT:10468

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  10445,10422,10381,10275

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Sensex opened the week at 33832, made a high of 34167, low of 33832 and closed the week at 33142. Thus the Sensex closed the week with a gain of 868 points. At the same time, the Nifty opened the week at 10480, made a high of 10504 low of 10316 and closed the week at 10494. Thus the Nifty closed the week with a gain of 11 points. Benchmark indices ended higher by over 1 per cent, tracking gains in global equities, as investors bought the shares of recent underperformers such as pharma and financials.

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NIFTY follow the Key Resistance @ 10430-10500 AND Support @ 10330,10090; intermediate bounce back possible if sustains above 10430

Snapping its three-day losing streak, the Sensex ended higher by over 140 points on value-buying by domestic investors in IT, banking, FMCG and oil and gas stocks amid a firm trend in Asian bourses.The Sensex has opened at 33813 made a high of 33911 and low of 33702 and closed at 33844 , up 141 points. The nifty future has opened at 10405 made a high of 10409 and low of 10341.4 and closed at 10390 with up 50 points.On Tuesday, NIFTY witnessed decent rebound post a flat opening, but later failed to surpass the intraday resistance of 10,430 level during the day, where a narrow range consolidation failed to save index from extending losses. Finally, NIFTY closed the session near its day’s low of 10,390marks, with cut of 50 points.