Indian markets have made a smart pull-back, supported by the positive global set-up and a decent start to the Q1FY22 earnings season. Markets are clearly rewarding the stocks/sectors where the earnings momentum is strong (such as IT - especially midcap IT, Cement, Metals) or where growth visibility remains good (such as Chemicals, Healthcare, etc.). At close, the Sensex was up 638 points at 52837, and the Nifty was up 191 points at 15824.
Thursday, July 22, 2021
Wednesday, July 21, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR TOMORROW 22 JULY 2021
Market plunged for the third straight session on Tuesday with the sensex falling over 350 points, dragged by metal, banking and financial stocks amid weak global cues. The index fell 355 points to close at 52199; while the Nifty settled 120 points lower at 15632.nDifferent reasons are attributed to this correction: The rising Covid cases in the US and the UK due to the delta variant, inflation concerns, and concerns about growth coming below consensus expectations. It may be all these. The fact is that at high valuations when investors are sitting on big profits, trigger profit booking and correction.
If the
market has run up from 7500 to close to 16000 with just one or two minor
corrections, I would keep my powder dry to buy during a correction. The fall
may last for a couple of months. I will use my buying power to make use of the
fall because it will be a deep correction. It is a long due bull market
correction. It will be a healthy one. I do not see any prudence in putting
money at the moment.
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Resistance: 15700, 15800, 15900
Support: 15600, 15500, 15400
Monday, July 19, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR TOMORROW 20 JULY 2021
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Tracking weak global cues, the Indian equity market benchmarks the Sensex and the Nifty50 fell over a percent each on July 19. The Sensex fell 734 points while Nifty plunged to 15707 in intraday trade as investors fretted about rising inflation and incessant global spread of Delta variant of coronavirus. At close, Sensex was 587 points, down at 52553 while the Nifty settled 171 points, lower at 15752.
Friday, July 16, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 19 JULY TO 23 JULY 2021
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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 16000, 16150, 16300
PIVOT POINT: 15900
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15750, 15600, 15450
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 16000, 16050, 16100
PIVOT POINT: 15950
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15900, 15850, 15800
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
The proceedings for this week started on a pleasant note owing to slightly cheerful mood across the globe. The index then slipped into a consolidation mode in the following hours. Benchmark index was quiet and the broader market was doing well; but all of a sudden post the midsession, market certainly took a nosedive and before anyone could realise, Nifty not only erased all gains but also entered a negative territory in a flash. Fortunately 15650 once again acted as a sheet anchor to restrict the sudden hiccup. Since last few days global markets have become a spoilsport and Tuesday, the gap up opening in our market was provided by the global optimism only to compensate the recent damage. After some initial pause, Nifty continued its northward march to first challenge the 15800 mark and then eventually to conquer it successfully. With this, Nifty reclaimed the first bullish territory beyond 15800 to make it a bit interesting for the forthcoming session. We had a sluggish start on Wednesday on the back of muted global cues. In the initial hour, Nifty corrected a bit to enter the sub-15800 territory. However, the intraday sheet anchor of 15750 provided solid support to the benchmark, which resulted in a sustained up move for the remaining part of the session. A smart surge in heavyweight IT counters had the lion share in lifting the market higher from important supports. Eventually Nifty managed to reclaim the 15850 mark on a closing basis. The Thursday started slightly higher despite mixed global cues. In the initial trades, market had some tentativeness which resulted in a small downtick. However this didn’t last too long as the buyers latched on to this opportunity to not only reclaim the positive territory but also went on to surpass the sturdy wall of 15910 with some authority. There was no bigger extended move after this but Nifty managed to close at record highs by adding nearly half a percent to the bulls’ kitty. Market benchmarks the Sensex and the Nifty ended flat after a choppy trade. Sensex closed 19 points lower at 53140 while the Nifty finished flat at 15923.
NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 15600;
STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 16200
The
market witnessed some lackluster movement and an attempt to hold the support
level around the Nifty 50 Index level of 15650 While sustaining above 15900 is
the key factor from a short-term perspective, maintaining above this level is
important for the market to gain momentum and extend the rally until 16200.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.
It appears to be the week of consolidation on the bourses as Nifty
remained in a narrow range of 100 points everyday by depicting a Hanging Man
kind of candle where as a small bullish candle with 318 point range is
registered on the Weekly charts. Despite this kind of lackluster move it still
looks advantageous to the bulls at this point in time as Nifty managed to
sustain above 15900 levels where as current breakout can be deemed to fail if
Nifty closes below 15850 levels. In that scenario again the indices may slip
into consolidation phase with negative bias. Contrary to this sustaining
above 15900 levels a higher target into the zone of 16200 – 16300 can be
expected. Though price chart is bullishly biased technical oscillator/indicator
set up has not yet improved in favor of bulls. Hence, index traders are advised
to remain cautiously optimistic by maintaining a stop below 15700 levels.
The momentum indicators like RSI and MACD to stay positive and market breadth
to improve, further strengthening a short-term bullish outlook.
Tuesday, July 13, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR TOMORROW 14 JULY 2021
Markets traded upbeat and gained over half a percent, tracking favorable global cues. After the gap-up start, it hovered in a narrow range in the first half and inched marginally higher as the day progressed. We witnessed a lackluster movement in the market in the range 15750-15800. Global cues are upbeat however support from the banking pack is critical for any sustainable up move in the Nifty index. Besides, participants will also be eyeing the results of the IT major, Infosys Ltd, scheduled on Wednesday i.e. July 14. Amid all, we feel it’s prudent to maintain focus on the selection of stocks and managing overnight risk until we see the resumption of the uptrend. 15800 will be a keep resistance level. If the market breaches and sustains above the level, we can witness a positive movement in the market till the level of 16100-16150. On the sectoral front, all the major sectors have been trading in a positive zone. Sun Pharma and ICICI Bank are the top gainers while Adani Ports and HCL Tech are the top losers on Nifty. The Sensex closed 397 points higher at 52769 while the Nifty ended with a gain of 120 points, at 15812.
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Resistance: 15700, 15800, 15900
Support: 15600, 15500, 15400
Monday, July 12, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR TOMORROW 13 JULY 2021
The market witnessed a volatile movement and failed to breach the resistance level of Nifty level of 15800. At close, the Sensex was down 13 points at 52372, and the Nifty was up 2 points at 15692. Market is waiting for one big reason to go upside. it is filled with fear of correction as monsoons have been delayed, crude oil prices are at highest levels and the dollar is getting stronger. Overvalued stocks are witnessing profit booking and the same money is getting shifted to undervalued stocks. Financial stocks received a boost from the Reserve Bank of India's decision to allow reverse mergers of banks older than five years with their holding companies.
Friday, July 9, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 12 JULY TO 16 JULY 2021
WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15800, 15900, 16000
PIVOT POINT: 15700
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15600, 15500,
15400
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15750, 15800, 15850
PIVOT POINT: 15700
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15650, 15600, 15550
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTYLast Friday’s tail end recovery was followed by a gap up opening on Monday to kick-start the new trading week. We clearly shrugged off mixed global cues early in the morning and traded firmly post the opening as well. Although we did not add significant gains after the opening hour, the Nifty maintained its positive posture throughout the session to close tad below the 15850 mark. Amongst the sectoral movers, the overall strength in financial and metal counters propelled the Nifty higher. Our markets started the Tuesday on a flat note as there was no major trigger from the global peers. Subsequently, the buying momentum accelerated in some of the financial stocks, which pushed the index higher towards the record high. There were couple of attempts made post the midsession to register a new high; but this again failed as we saw a complete nosedive at the stroke of the penultimate hour. This sudden profit booking pared down all gains to conclude the session with nominal loss. Nifty started the Wednesday on a flat note and consolidated within a range in the first half of the day. However, it gathered momentum in the last couple of hours and ended the day tad below 15900 with gains of less than half a percent. Nifty started the weekly expiry Thursday marginally negative on back of soft global cues. Post some consolidation in the first hour, the indices witnessed selling pressure and it crept lower throughout the day to end with a loss of about a percent. Nifty ends below 15700 on Friday.
Monday, July 5, 2021
INFORMATION ABOUT INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN JULY 2021
A new month offers a new round of economic reports, so mark your calendar for the following closely watched releases:
2 July 2021: The labor report for June will detail how many employees
were added to payrolls as well as the unemployment rate.
7 July 2021: Data in the monthly JOLTS (short for: job openings and
labor turnover summary) report is lagging, but the job openings data for May
could be a leading indicator of future hiring plans.
13 July 2021: The consumer price index (CPI) report for June is due
and is one of the key measures of inflation.
29 July 2021: The advance estimate (the first of three) for gross
domestic product (GDP) for the second quarter is scheduled for release.
30 July 2021: The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report for
June is scheduled for release. This is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure
of inflation.
Friday, July 2, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 5 JULY TO 9 JULY 2021
WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR
NIFTY: 15800, 15900, 16000
PIVOT POINT: 15700
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15600, 15500,
15400
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15750, 15800, 15850
PIVOT POINT: 15700
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15650, 15600, 15550
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
Trading
for the week started with an upside gap at new record high. However, since
there was follow up buying missing in the heavyweight constituents, the Nifty
kept correcting gradually after registering a high of 15915 in the opening
trade. For the major part of the day, index consolidated with a mild negative
bias to eventually conclude tad above the 15800 mark by shedding nearly three
tenths of percent. We had a flat start on Tuesday since there was no major
trigger on the global front. In the initial trade, market slid lower and within
no time, Nifty was back to 15750. Around the mid-session, bulls made a valiant
attempt to recover but the selling reappeared after reaching the 15800 mark.
Eventually, Nifty ended the session tad below 15750 by losing more than four
tenths of a percent. Our markets opened slightly higher on Wednesday as
indicated by the SGX Nifty. During the first half,
Nifty continued its northward
march to surpass the 15800
comfortably. However the weaker
banking space dragged the benchmark index lower once again and as a result, Nifty kept sliding
in the latter half to not only erase all gains but also concluded marginally in
the red. For the second straight session, we started the proceedings marginally
higher on Thursday as indicated by the Nifty. However, the buying interest is
still missing and as a result, markets are finding it extremely difficult to
sustain at higher levels. Barring one attempt of recovery at the mid-session,
the index remained under a bit of pressure throughout the session. However the
damage is not big though and hence, the weekly expiry ended tad below 15700
with nominal losses.
NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 15500;
STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 15900
It
was yet another dull week for our markets and the financial space once again
disappoints. After a significant rally we tend to see such consolidation
in key indices,
but generally the action
continues in individual themes. This time, the stock specific action is also
missing and that has been the real frustration for traders. For the coming
session, 15600 – 15500 is to be seen as crucial support zone. If any recovery
has to happen on the weekly expiry session, it should come from the mentioned
supports only and for this, the banking index needs to contribute
significantly. On the flipside, the immediate hurdle remains at 15800 – 15900.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING ON NIFTY BANKNIFTY FUTURE/OPTION
Nifty has continued to move in a
range for successive trading sessions this week and is likely to continue the
trend in the coming week. Overall the Nifty has fallen 1.5% so far this week
sliding from all-time highs. For the coming week Nifty is unlikely to move past
the 15700-15750 zone. A move below 15500 could attract bears. Nifty entered the
July series after gaining consecutively for previous three Futures &
Options series.
The
outlook for Nifty and Bank Nifty for the upcoming expiry weekly expiry session
is much identical and on similar lines. Nifty had seen the highest CALL OI
concentration at 16000; however this has drifted lower to 15700 followed by the
second highest CALL OI at 15800. For the coming week Nifty is unlikely to move
past the 15700-15750 Zone. The same is the case with Bank Nifty. Bank Nifty has
maximum CALL OI at 35000 and the highest PUT OI at 34500. The index is likely
to stay capped with any major move unlikely on any side. Nifty and Bank Nifty saw their highest rollovers in a decade at
80% and 79% respectively. This was fueled by massive retail participation. Now
the major point to observe is that retail participants are classified as
non-commercial/non-professional investors and they are wrong at major market
tops as history shows it. This is one sentiment indicator and reading of this
data also hints at a formation of a likely top in the market unless the 16000
points is taken out convincingly. It is a complete range-bound
market where option writers are making money. Although the premiums are on the
lower side the decay that we are seeing is pretty fast. As long as 15500 is not
broken on the downside and 15900 is not broken on the upside the consolidation
may continue. The reason for consolidation is the rising dollar index while
rupee is getting weaker and FII are still not in the buy mode in the cash
segment. Broadly till we are trading in the said range it is an option writer’s
market and once the breakout happens that is where the momentum comes in.
Global
cues are fine; only the emerging market kitty is not attracting fresh flows. We
saw a bullish engulfing candle last week which has not repeated this week. Best
thing to do is stick to strength stock. Nifty Open Interest Put Call Ratio fell to 1.12 levels from 1.30
levels. Amongst the Nifty options of 8 july 2021 expiry Call writing was seen
at 15800-15900 levels Indicating resistance is seen around 15900 levels. On the
lower side support is seen in the vicinity of 15600-15700 levels where we have
seen Put writing.
To sum it up short build up in Nifty futures Long unwinding in the Bank Nifty Futures Call writing at 15800-15900 levels and short build up by FIIs’ in the Index Futures segment Indicates that one should remain cautious for the markets. Therefore our advice is to remain cautious and wait for the Nifty to cross 15900 levels for going long aggressively. On the lower side 15600-15700 level will act as an immediate support where Puts have been written. In the Bank Nifty our advice is to remain cautious till it closes above 35000 levels. On the lower side support is seen in the vicinity of 34500-34700 levels. Despite all the volatility IVs continued to remain choppy and no major hedging positions were formed which is pointing towards more upsides in coming days. For the July series highest Call base is placed at 16000 followed by 16200. However in case of any profit booking June series major support of 15600 should provide cushion. We feel short covering should trigger in private banks which should push the Bank Nifty towards 36500. For a major part of the June series Bank Nifty remained laggard and from expiry to expiry bases apart from HDFC bank most of them ended negative. We feel the July series should be the month for banking and outperformance could be possible from the banking space which should push the Nifty towards 16200. No sizable OI additions were seen on the Call side. However Put writing block of almost 15 lakh shares was visible in 35000 strike option for the coming weekly expiry. This level should act as a major support for the coming weekly expiry. Nifty weekly contracts have highest open interest at 15800 for Calls and 15700 for Puts while monthly contracts have highest OI at 16000 for Calls and 15500 for Puts. Highest new OI addition was seen at 15700 for both Calls and Puts in weekly and at 16000 for Calls and 15000 for Puts in monthly contracts. FIIs increased their future index long position holdings by 1.94% and their future index short position by 17.83%. FIIs cut their position in index options by 32.33% in Call longs 46.08% in Call shorts 14.11% in Put longs and 28.49% in Put shorts.
Friday, June 25, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 28 JUNE TO 2 JULY 2021
WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15900, 16100, 16300
PIVOT POINT: 15800
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15600, 15400,
15200
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15900, 15950, 16000
PIVOT POINT: 15850
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15800, 15750, 15700
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
The U.S. markets ended with deep cuts on Friday and the Asian bourses too were trading in red ahead of our market opening. In line with the global cues, the SGX Nifty hinted at a negative opening and hence, Nifty started with a gap down of more than 150 points. However, indices recovered gradually throughout the day and ended the monday with gains of four-tenths of a percent around 15750. Our markets started the tuesday on a positive note and the index again approached the 15900 mark. However, around that recent swing high, we saw some tentativeness and a sell-off in the banking space in the last hour dragged the markets lower and Nifty ended the day marginally in the green. Nifty started the Wednesday marginally positive, but it consolidated in a range for most part of the day. However, we saw some sell-off in that last hour of the trade and Nifty ended the session with a loss of over half a percent. Nifty opened marginally higher and traded with a positive bias during the day. The index managed to end tad below 15800 with gains of over 100 points. Markets inched marginally higher in continuation to Thursday’s rise and settled around the day’s high on week ended Friday. After opening on a positive note, the benchmark witnessed profit taking and turned flat in no time. However, healthy buying in banking, metals and auto stocks supported the markets to regain some strength as the session progressed. Consequently, the Nifty closed at 15860 levels, up by 0.4%.
Monday, June 21, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR TOMORROW 22 JUNE 2021
The market clawed back above day’s low and closed in the green as the market expects a faster economic recovery owing to the PM's announcement on free inoculation for all citizens. PSU Bank was the top sectoral performer on reports of the government finalizing Central Bank of India and IOB for privatization.
Friday, June 18, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 21 JUNE TO 25 JUNE 2021
WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15800, 15900, 16000
PIVOT POINT: 15700
WEEKLY
SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15600, 15500, 15400
WEEKLY
CHART FOR NIFTY
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15750, 15800, 15900
PIVOT POINT: 15715
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15675, 15625, 15575
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
Our markets started the fresh week on a flat note; however, before anyone could realize Nifty was down around 200 points within the first half an hour to test the levels of 15600. This was followed by a bounce back and then consolidation for the major part of the first half. Subsequently, in the second half bulls again picked up momentum to erase all the morning losses and ended marginally in the green tad above 15800 levels. We had a gap up opening on Tuesday despite SGX was indicating a flat start. In the initial hour, Nifty reached yet another milestone of 15900; courtesy to banking space. During the remaining part of the day, Nifty remained in a slender range by maintaining its positive posture. Due to minor profit taking towards the end, Nifty ended around the midrange by adding nearly four tenths of a percent to the previous close. Markets had a nervous start Wednesday owing to sluggish cues from the global bourses. In the initial trade, it attempted to move higher but failed to sustain as it approached the 15900 mark. This led to a decent profit booking in the subsequent hour. The corrective move seemed to have arrested around the midsession and in fact, market made one more attempt to rebound in the latter half. However, a tail end correction across the board dragged Nifty at its lowest point of the day. Eventually, Nifty ended the session with more than half a percent cut to close tad above 15750. Market ended lower for the second consecutive day on June 17 amid weak global cues after US Fed signaled higher rates in 2023 in its policy outcome on Wednesday. At close, the Sensex was down 178 points at 52323, and the Nifty was down 76 points at 15691. On Friday markets fell sharply today with financials and metal stock leading the losses. The Sensex was down over 700 points when it hit 51601 at day's low while Nifty breached 15500 levels. This fall in the market can be attributed to the combination of these two reasons — Fed changing its stance on interest rate earlier this week and China announcing to use its metal reserves to check metal price rise
NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT
WILL BE @ 15700; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 16000
15700 was a crucial support for the index which on a closing basis was disrespected yesterday. This definitely affects the short-term trend of the Nifty. It is also important to note that this break of 15700 has happened on the back of high volumes. There is every possibility the markets correct till 15200-15300. We would need to evaluate the medium-term trend thereafter. The resistance is now at 15800 and any bounce can be used to short the market.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.
Technically,
not much has changed from Friday’s close and in fact, the Nifty has been
hovering around the 15800 mark for the last one week. If we observe the
intraday hourly chart, the Nifty is gyrating within a range where 15600 is
acting as strong support whereas on the higher side some tentativeness is seen
around the 15800 levels. The bulls are still adamant as one or another sector
is holding the markets up and dips are getting bought. However, we continue to
have a view that if the benchmark has to test the levels of 16000 and beyond
then the banking space needs to participate which has been an underperformer
recently. However, if it fails then we may continue to see lethargic moves in
the Nifty.
Technically too, the trend remains intact till Nifty holds above 15,700 for an
up move towards 16k mark. Globally, investors would cautiously track what
action does other Central Banks take following Fed hawkish announcement.
Domestically, monsoon, opening up of the economy in a phased manner and the
pace of vaccination going forward would decide the further direction of the
market. Most of the positives (easing of COVID-19 restrictions due to fall in daily infections) are already factored in by the market. It still looks to be a buy-on-dips kind of market. So, at lower levels, we might see some buying coming in and that could give a support to the market,
Monday, June 14, 2021
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 15 JUNE 2021
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After a volatile session, Nifty formed a hanging man sort of candle pattern on the daily chart. Strong strength has been seen in Nifty from lower levels, which suggest bulls managed to grab the opportunity from lower levels. Going forward, immediate base is coming near 15750-15700 zone. Any dip near the said levels will be a buying opportunity for the overall targets of 16000 mark. The immediate hurdle is coming near 15900-16,000 mark; the said levels will be profit booking levels on the higher side.
Friday, June 11, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 14 JUNE TO 18 JUNE 2021
WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15900, 16000, 16100
PIVOT POINT: 15800
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15700, 15600,
15500
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15850, 15900, 15950
PIVOT POINT: 15750
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15700, 15650, 15600
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
Nifty started the week on a positive note and continued its
exercise of making new records and marked a high of 15773 yesterday. The
trading range for the day was not much large and the index posted gains of
about half a percent and ended around 15750. Nifty started the Tuesday session
marginally positive but it corrected from the opening level and entered sub
15700 in the first hour of the trade. However, the index then recovered from
its lows and ended the day marginally in the red around 15740. Nifty started
the Wednesday’s session marginally positive and inched higher towards the 15800
mark around noon. The market breadth was positive and just when it looked that
the index is geared to surpass that hurdle, it took a U-turn and declined
sharply. Before anyone could realize, Nifty corrected almost 200 points from
the high and then even entered sub15600 level. With a mild recovery from
intraday low, Nifty ended the day with a loss of over 100 points at 15635. Post
the volatility ahead of the weekly expiry session on Wednesday, the indices
showed some pullback in Thursday’s session and managed to end the day tad below
15750 with gains of over 100 points.
NIFTY BANKNIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @
15600; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 16000
Markets have moved from resilience to exuberance as bulls
continue to march towards mount 16,000 in Nifty with sector rotation and
earnings keeping the momentum alive. Falling US bond Yields along with
supportive global cues are ensuring Nifty doesn't break key support levels.
Good monsoon, improving Covid situation and falling VIX should keep markets
driving higher.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.
Markets have moved from resilience to exuberance as Bulls continue to march towards mount 16,000 in Nifty with sector rotation & earnings keeping the momentum alive. Falling US Bond Yields along with supportive global cues ensure Nifty didn’t break key support levels. Good monsoon, improving Covid situation & falling VIX should keep driving markets higher. The Nifty was fine this week - it is heading towards 15900-16000. A buy on dips is a better strategy to adopt as opposed to buying at the current market level. This is because the risk is to reward ratio is more favorable when traders accumulate positions on dips. The risk is lower and the targets are higher. The index has good support at the 15600 levels and until we do not disrespect this level on a closing basis, the overall trend remains bullish.
Wednesday, June 9, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 10 JUNE 2021👇
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Market Slips From Record High To Close In The Red Amid Volatility.Nifty Slips 105 Points To 15635 After A Trading Range Of 233 Points. The Sensex Falls 405 Points To 51871 & Banknfity 285 Points To 34801. Nifty declined sharply for the day as Nifty was not able to hold on to the gains seen in last couple of weeks. Nifty saw a long red candle and the way Nifty has declined it bears to reason that one must take precautions to at least reduce some open trades.
Saturday, June 5, 2021
WHAT WILL HAPPENED IN STOCK MARKET ON MONDAY 07 JUNE 2021 ???
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On the week ended Friday 04 June 2021 nifty formed a small bearish candle on the daily chart. The candle had a long lower wick, similar to the ones seen in the last couple of sessions, suggesting buying at lower levels. On the weekly scale, the index formed a bullish candle, third in a row. This was the fourth week when the index formed a higher high-low candle. Some indicators are sending out overbought signals and suggesting a lack of strength in this case index could face strong resistance at around 15750-15850 levels. Yesterday’s candle resembled a 'Hanging Man' pattern, which suggests the market is stretched on the upside. Some of the momentum oscillators on the weekly charts are in the overbought zone. Indicators like weekly RSI have failed to maintain a pace in line with the price chart, indicating negative divergence and a lack of strength in upward momentum. Even if the bulls managed to get past 15750, it can hardly add 150-200 points, as critical resistance seems to be placed around 15850 level. On Friday, the index closed at 15,670, down 20 points. On the weekly time frame, an MACD 'Hook' occurred. RSI has also moved above 60 and this underlying trend is strong. Weekly charts point out towards trend continuation to the 15750-15850 zone on the way towards 16200 as an achievable target. A MACD Hook occurs when the signal line attempts to penetrate or penetrate the MACD line and turns at the last movement. The level of 15650-15550 will act as good support. Any dip near the range will be buying opportunity for the immediate bounce towards the 15850 level, which will pose as an immediate hurdle zone. Any decisive close above that can quickly push the index towards the 16,000 mark.
Friday, June 4, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 7 JUNE TO 11 JUNE 2021👇
WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15700, 15850, 16000
PIVOT POINT: 15500
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15350, 15200, 15000
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15650, 15750, 15850
PIVOT POINT: 15600
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15500, 15400, 15300
We had
a flat start to the week on Monday morning and in fact, in the initial trade,
there was some mild negativity seen in the market. But similar to the recent
trend, market absorbed the pressure and then resumed its upward momentum, once
again led by the giant RELIANCE. As the day progressed, the buying momentum
continued to first reach the new milestone of 15500 and in the final hour 15600
became the reality as well. Eventually, the Nifty ended the session with nearly
a percent gains. Tuesday session started higher to post a new high beyond
15600. However in the absence of few heavyweights’ contribution, market could
not extend the lead; in fact, we saw some minor profit taking in the first
half. This was followed by a complete lull for the remaining part of the
session. Eventually Nifty ended the session slightly below 15600 with
negligible losses. Wednesday’s session started on a sluggish note owing to
mixed global cues. As the day progressed, the index extended its losses a bit
due to some profit booking in the few heavyweights. However post the
mid-session, the sudden buying emerged at lower levels which pulled the index
higher to conclude the session with a negligible gain in Nifty. Markets opened
higher on Thursday at new highs as suggested by the SGX Nifty early in the
morning. During the first half, market came off marginally but reversed from
midway after partially filling up the opening gap. The buying momentum
accelerated in the final hour of the session to reach yet another milestone of
15700. Eventually the weekly expiry panned out tad below this by marking daily
gains over seven tenths of a percent.
Wednesday, June 2, 2021
JUNE 2021 AN ACTION PACKED MONTH 🎬🎬
2 June 2021 MPC Will Start A 3-Day Conference, Sundaram Finance Holdings Close The Rights Issue.
4 June 2021 RBI Will Announce Its Credit Policy.
11 June 2021 April IIP Numbers Are Expected. On The Same Date, The Supreme Court Will Hear On The Term Loan For The Interest-Free Moratorium.
14 June 2021, The CPI And WPI Numbers Will Be Released
15 June 2021, Mandatory Hallmarking On Gold Jewelry Will Be Applied
18 June 2021, The Changes In Closing On FTSE Global Index Will Take Place
18 June-1 July 2021 Emphasis To Start The Open Offer.
21 June 2021 the Sensex, To Implement The Rebalancing. In A Major Reshuffle, Gunjan Shah Will Take The Charges As CEO In Bata India From 21 June.
24 June 2021 the June series will expire and from the July series, F&O will make the changes in the Nifty lot size. Instead of 75, the new lot will be 50 from July 2021.
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Monday, May 31, 2021
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 1 JUNE 2021
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Fresh breakouts, fresh highs and fresh closing seen in today’s session as index managed to closed a day at 15575 with gains of nearly one percent. Benchmark indices continued the gaining momentum on May 31 with Nifty hitting fresh record high of 15606. intraday session supported by the metal, energy and banking stocks. The Nifty50 hit a fresh record high on Friday but the Sensex is still 1000-point away from its last high of 52516, recorded on February 16, 2021.
Friday, May 28, 2021
NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 31 MAY TO 04 JUNE 2021👇
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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR
NIFTY: 15550, 15750, 15950
PIVOT POINT: 15000
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15350, 15150,
15000
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15500, 15600, 15700
PIVOT POINT: 15450
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15400, 15300, 15200
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
Nifty today finally managed to breach its previous all-time high of 15,431 made in Jan’20 - touched new all-time high of 15455. On Monday staring of the week market ended marginally up, after trading flat for the most part of the session. The Sensex gained 111 points at 50652, while the Nifty settled just below 15200 on fag-end buying. On Tuesday Market witnessed a positive opening following reports of next set of stimulus measures and declining covid cases while a selling streak in banking stocks forced the market to shed its morning gains and close flat. As per the reports, the central government is preparing the next set of support measures to minimize the second wave's economic impact, especially for worst-hit sectors. Double rejections at 15250 yesterday, one each at the opening hour and the closing hour, had raised the possibility of a pullback today. So, even though, opening burst took Nifty shortly past 15250, it could not sustain, lending a weak bias through the first half of the day. This was mostly led by banks. However, positive global cues, as well as expectations of sectoral stimulus, held Nifty together, with metals as well as IT leading the charge. Market ended with little change on May 25 in the highly volatile session with selling seen in the financial names. At close, the Sensex was down 14 points at 50637, and the Nifty was up 10 points at 15208. Market ended higher Wednesday boosted by IT, auto and financial stocks as continued fall in domestic COVID-19 cases improved investor risk appetite. Positive Asian market also lifted sentiment. The Sensex gained 380 points to end at 51017, while the Nifty settled 93 points higher at 15301. Nifty started the day on a positive note and maintained a bullish bias throughout the day. Although it did not post any huge gains, the broader market was buzzing amidst which Nifty managed to end tad above 15,300 with gains of six-tenths of a percent.
NIFTY BANKNIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @
15200; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 15600
We are expecting the Nifty to move towards 15800-16000 zone
in the coming weeks. While major support is now placed at 14900 and 14600 zone.
Crucial support for the banking index is placed at 33200 and then 32000 zone.
On the flipside, immediate resistance can be seen around 36500 and 37700 zone.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.
The
overall structure of the market remains positive as investors are upbeat about
unlocking of economy in June which will help revive commercial activities.
Technically, Nifty is poised towards an up move to life time high of 15431 and
15500 zones while on the downside support exists at 15200- 151000 zones. Hopes
of further stimulus by government is bolstering investor confidence. As the 2nd
Covid-19 wave continues to recede in India and pace of vaccination expected to
pick up from next month, we expect the long term fundamentals to remain intact.
Rising global inflation is a worry but is unlikely to hurt India, unless energy
prices start picking up.