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Global markets were mixed on Thursday as negative sentiments arising out of expectations of further interest rate hikes by major central banks and the fact that Eurozone has entered recession after its Jan-Mar GDP fell 0.1% was offset by optimism over more Chinese stimulus measures. Nifty closed lower after a volatile June 8 session dragged down by weak global signals. At the close, Nifty was down 0.49% or 91 points to 18634. Investor sentiment deteriorated following the RBI's related policy announcement as the market had higher expectations of a more optimistic revision to the inflation outlook given the recent easing in inflation data. The RBI's decision to cut inflation The rate's drop of just 10 basis points suggests a cautious stance on geopolitical uncertainties, the potential impact of El Niño and a rise in the minimum support price. Volumes on the NSE continued to be higher. India’s southwest monsoon, which waters more than half of India's farmland, has arrived over Kerala on June 8, Thursday, according to the Indian Meteorological Department after a one-week delay.Nifty formed a near Engulfing Bear pattern on daily charts. It could now face resistance from 18780, while 18525 could act as a support. In case the Nifty closes below this support on Friday, it could result in Engulfing Bear pattern on weekly charts and the downtrend could gather momentum.
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Options trading can generate large profits or large losses through financial leverage. Leverage allows investors to protect their portfolio while allowing speculators to increase their profits from price movements. This dynamic creates enticing opportunities that are ever-present in the options market. However, would-be options traders need a clear understanding of how options pricing works, the risks involved, and best practices for choosing the best platform to trade. We've compiled the basics every options trader should know and structured this options trading guide to answer the questions most novice options traders have.
How to Trade Options
Understand the Basics Traders who want to get started with options need to understand the following key topics: The definition of an option and the two types of options: calls vs. putsHow options are priced (in the money vs. out of the money). )How options prices change (as measured by the options greeks)How to open an options account and start tradingHow to avoid losing money.
STOCK SUGGESTION CHECK IN OUR YESTERDAY'S POST TO CHECK VISIT https://niftytipsniftylevels.blogspot.com/2023/06/8-pm-stock-picks-for-tomorrow-8-june.html
OUR STOCK SUGGESTION IS IN TOP LOSER
HINDPETRO DOWN BY 3.50%
ESCORTS ALSO DOWN BY 2.5%
TATACOMM SUGGESTED IN YESTERDAY'S STOCK SUGGESTION POST TO CHECK VISIT https://niftytipsniftylevels.blogspot.com/2023/06/nifty-outlook-free-option-tips-for-7.html
TODAY WE HAVE GIVEN TATACOMM 1440 CALL TO BUY NEAR 23 & BOOKED @ 48
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CANFINHOME
BALRAMPURCHINI
HAL
CIPLA
ESCORTS
NAVINFLOUR
HINDPETRO
MFSL
UBL
NIFTY BANKNIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 8 JUNE 2023
Finally, the Nifty50 saw a consolidation break and closed above 18,700 on June 7 for the first time in the current calendar year ahead of the outcome of a three-day policy meeting of the RBI's Monetary Policy Committee and the weekly expiration is due on June 8. The benchmark index gapped to the upside at 18,666 after a five-day consolidation, gradually extending its uptrend throughout the day to hit an intraday high of 18,739 in late trade. The index jumped 127 points to 18,726, its highest close since Dec. 1, the day of an all-time high.TO GET LIVE TRADING TIPS WHATSAPP YOUR NAME SEGMENT ON 9039542248 OR FILL THE FORM VISIT https://shorturl.at/bCFH4
An option
contract can be a Call Option or Put Option. A call option comes with a right
to buy the underlying asset at a pre-agreed price on a future date, and a put
option gives you the right to sell the security at a specified price on a
specified future date. Simply put - if the price of the underlying stock is
expected to go up in value, then you BUY CALL options. Conversely, if the price
is expected to go down, then you BUY PUT options. This way, you can buy or sell
the underlying stock at a fixed price even if its price goes up or down.
The
options seem slightly confusing to many. Let us elaborate on call option and
put option to reduce the complexity as they appear.
Investors
should know the following three terms to understand the working of an option:
·
Strike price: The price at which the asset will be purchased/sold on
future date
·
Premium: The price that an option buyer will pay to take position
·
Expiration: The expiry date of the option
What are Call and Put Options?
Call Options
Call
options are contracts that provide the trader with the right, not the
obligation, to purchase the security at a pre-defined price on the expiry date.
A buyer of call option speculates that the security prices will rise,
therefore, they take position at a lower strike price and make profit when the
securities’ price rises.
Put Options
Call
options are contracts that provide the trader with the right, not the
obligation, to purchase the security at a pre-defined price on the expiry date.
A buyer of call option speculates that the security prices will rise,
therefore, they take position at a lower strike price and make profit when the
securities’ price rises.
Call Option in Share Market
Suppose
you purchased a call option for 100 shares of company BHEL at Rs.120 per share
(strike price) for Sep. 1 (Expiry Date). You can exercise the right to buy the
shares at Rs. 120 regardless of the prevailing stock price on 29 JUNE 2023
In the
above case, the trader would expect the stock price of company BHEL to rise,
thereby allowing them to buy it at a lower cost than its market price. If the
market price of share is lower than the strike price locked by the option
buyer, they can choose to not exercise the right. They will only lose the
premium they paid for the option.
Another
example is buying a call option for Rs.200 premium (premium of Rs. 2 per share
for 100 shares), which expires in two months. The strike price is Rs.40 per
share, and the stock is expected to go to Rs.50 in two months. If the stock
price rises to Rs.50 on the expiry date, you can exercise your right and buy
the shares at Rs.40 per unit. The special thing about trading in options is
that you are not obligated to exercise the contract, so if the share prices do
not stay in your favourable range, you can choose not to exercise the contract
and the loss on the trade will only be the premium amount you have paid, i.e. Rs. 200.
Selling/ Writing a Call Option
The key
consideration for a call option writer/seller is the declining asset price and
the option's expiration date. It is used to hedge against a possible drop in
underlying stock price. The option seller keeps the premium paid by option
buyer as profit. Option seller must pay a higher margin compared to option
buyer to take position. The ideal time considered by traders to sell a call
option is when the underlying asset price is not expected to rise before the
expiration. Call options are sold as:
·
Covered Call Option - When the seller possesses the underlying
asset.
·
Naked Call Option - When the seller sells the option without
possessing the underlying asset.
Put Option in Share Market
For
example, you own 100 shares valued at Rs.100 per share. You analyse that the
stock can decline to Rs.90 over the next two months. You invest in a put option
with the right to sell those 100 shares at a strike price of Rs.100 on the
expiry date, which is two months later. If on the expiry date, the share price
falls below Rs.100, you can choose to exercise the option.
Put Option Buying
Buying
puts appeals to traders expecting a decline in the underlying asset price. It
protects you from losses against a small amount of premium.
You need
to choose the strike price first, i.e., the price at which you will sell the
asset on the future date. Choose an expiration date.
You can
monitor the stock prices to gauge if the option contract is helping you hedge
the risks. You can let the option unused if the stock price does not stay in
your favourable range. There will be no profit, but your losses will not be
more than the option premium.
Put Option selling
Put
Option sellers expect a rise in the value of the underlying asset. They have to
pay the margin to take position. Also, option seller must settle the daily
Mark-to-Market (MTM) basis the change in option prices.
Summarizing Call & Put Options
Thus, the call and put options are the opposite of each other. Where buying a call allows you to buy an underlying security at a fixed price on expiration, when price of underlying is expected to rise. A put option is bought when the asset price is expected to go down and it gives the right to sell the underlying stock at predefined price on expiration.
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IEX
INFY
MARUTI
MPHASIS
PERSISTENT
AARTIND
CHAMBLFERT
BHEL
LTTS
TATACOM
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NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 7 JUNE 2023
Markets remained volatile and ended almost unchanged on mixed signals. After a weak start, Nifty fell throughout the day, but a sharp recovery in the last half hour reduced all losses. To finish, the Sensex was up 5 points, to 62792 and the Nifty was up 5 points, to 18599.While markets ended flat, buying in interest rate sensitive stocks like banks, autos and real estate was spotted ahead of the RBI's MPC meeting later this week. Amid growing expectations that the central bank could again pause its rate hike, hopes of continued firm interest rates sparked optimism in interest rate-sensitive markets. Technically, the market is sticking to a higher bottom formation across the board. For traders, 18500 would be the trend-deciding level. Above that, the index could rise to 18700-18800. On the downside, the uptrend below 18500 would be vulnerable and below that the market could retest the 18450 level. Any further correction could drag the index to 18400.
Resistance: 18600, 18700, 18800
Support: 18500, 18400, 18300
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Any options trade of less than 2,00,000 rupees is called small capital. And since low capital can be used to implement low capital strategies, we will only consider buying options, which can be both calls and puts. Options trading, unlike futures or cash market trading, is very complex and we are therefore listing some quick fixes that you should know for a guided start.
POSITION
SIZING
Let's start with how
much capital you should invest. Generally, newbie traders make the mistake of
treating options like stocks. Options are asset-wasting and have a very short
shelf life, typically a month in Indian markets, as expiration periods beyond
that are illiquid. This means that deploying all of the capital would
mean blowing up all of the capital in just a few months and unfortunately this
is the case when most traders blow up their accounts within 6 months.
Therefore, it is important to know how much capital to put in each trade.
Consider this example to understand why we need position
sizing. Suppose we toss coins to predict the outcome of heads or tails. We know
that given enough iterations it will ultimately be 50/50, but what if you
predict tails and heads come up 5 times in a row? Do you have enough capital to
sustain this bet? This is where position sizing helps.
For small accounts I recommend an allocation per trade of 5%
with a total allocation of 10% at any point. This means that with a capital of
2,00,000 rupees one should not allocate more than 10,000 rupees per trade and
two parallel trades can be opened at the same time. This will help you absorb
consecutive losses.
SPECIFYING
THE HOLDING PERIOD
Trading individual options should have a defined maximum
holding period. A common mistake newcomers make is holding the trade for too
long, which worsens the probability of making money as theta decay outweighs
the probability of winning. Single option trades should be extremely
short-term, so participating in breakout/collapse zones and exiting the trade
quickly should be the intent. If you want to conduct trades, the maximum
holding period should be 3 days, but in expiration week it should be up to
intraday. So one must follow the time, stop the loss and get out without
relying on hope.
CALCULATE
STOPSLOSS AND TARGET IN ADVANCE.
Prognostic studies are generally conducted using the
underlying instruments. It is extremely important to align your option trades
with these targets and stops. Using an options calculator, which is widely
available online, can help convert your underlying stops and targets into
options stops and targets. Pre-calculate option levels based on underlying
forecast levels and time. This helps your trades avoid whiplashes due to
inaccurate calculations.
AVOID STOCKS
IN THE NEWS.
New investors often jump into the trade, i.e. in stocks that
are breaking the news. Because the market has a unique ability to predict the
impact of news, positive sounding news may have been factored into the price,
or the market may have some other prediction method that pushes the price in
the opposite direction. Stock valuations don't play a huge role in options
trading because the timescales for these trades are extremely short term and
things are driven by demand and supply on the shorter term.
AVOID
UNKNOWN EVENTS.
Another common mistake is trading events whose outcome is
unknown, which is very close to gambling. Remember that most people lose at a
casino when they enter with the intention of playing and having fun. If you
treat your trade like a business, you will never want to enter into a trade
that results in a gamble. Therefore, it is generally a good idea to avoid event
days such as monetary policy, upcoming stock results, fiscal policy, etc. In
such cases, volatility can make you lose even if your predictions are correct.
LIMIT THE
NUMBER OF OPEN TRADES.
Managing multiple trades at the same time is a difficult
task. So before adding a trade, always ask yourself if there is an open trade
that can be replaced. If so, opt for a replacement rather than a total bet
increase. I recommend not holding more than 2-3 open trades at a time.
STOCK SUGGESTED BY YSTERDAY EVENING TO CHECK VISIT https://niftytipsniftylevels.blogspot.com/2023/06/8-pm-stock-picks-for-tomorrow-6-june_0928596108.html
BEL UP BY 2% & BEL 120 CALL GIVEN BY US TO BUY @ 2 & BOOKED @ 2.6
L&TFH UP BY 1.57%
OFSS DOWN BY 2.18%
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Below are Stocks which as per Our Research are
likely to be Outperformers Tomorrow Friday 2 June 2023 . To get specific
CALL/PUT Recommendations contact us on 9039542248
DEEPAKNTR
HINDALCO
IBULHSGFIN
BEL
L&TFH
OFSS
LUPIN
M&M
TATACHEM
PVRINOX
SUNTV
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In today's trading session, the Nifty posted a
significant gain, fueled by hopes for a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve
during the upcoming FOMC meeting on June 14th. This positive sentiment led to a
new uptrend on Dalal Street. Looking ahead, the key support level for the Nifty
lies at 18417, while the main obstacles lie at 18664. If the Nifty surpasses
18664, it could trigger a major rally towards its all-time high of 18888. These
developments suggest positive market sentiment as investors anxiously await the
outcome of the FOMC meeting and the key support levels and keep a close eye on
resistance levels for further market direction. Global sentiment improved
after the US reported impressive jobs data, fueling hopes of a Federal Reserve
pause in interest rate hikes at its upcoming meeting. Meanwhile, OPEC+ has
decided to cut overall production targets by another 1.4 million barrels per
day (bpd) through 2024, which could keep crude prices steady. Nifty opened
higher and stayed in positive territory throughout the session to close up 60
points at 18,594 points. The journey north continued in mid and small cap
stocks. Most sectors ended in the green except for FMCG, IT and PSU Bank. Auto
and private banks were the biggest gainers among sectors. Markets would react
to the services sector PMI data, which would be released worldwide later today.
Nifty is slowly approaching its lifetime highs, helped by the heavyweights of
the Smart Gains Index. Auto and financial stocks are likely to be the focus
ahead of this week's RBI monetary policy meeting and look set to remain
buoyant. Nifty is expected to trade in a range with strong support at 18400 and
a strong hurdle at 18800. Bank Nifty has closed below its previous breakout
range of 44150 for the third straight day with weakness seen in HDFC Bank. The
index is expected to trade in a range with 21ema at 43600 providing strong
support and 44000 remaining as immediate resistance.
Resistance: 18650, 18750, 18850
Support: 18550, 18450, 18350
INDIACEM is up by 3.22% suggested by us to check visit https://niftytipsniftylevels.blogspot.com/2023/06/8-pm-stock-picks-for-tomorrow-5-june.html
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DLF
IGL
GODREJPROP
NAVINFLOUR
POLYCAB
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COFORGE
CUB
APOLLOHOSP
INDIACEM
MANAPPURAM
NAVINFLOUR
VOLTAS
KOTAKBANK DOWN BY 4.24%
BHARTIAIRTEL DOWN BY 2.71%
DIXON UP BY 3.72%
INDUSTOWER UP BY 3%
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Despite challenges in global economies, the domestic market
posted better-than-expected earnings growth in Q4, as well as FY23 GDP growth
of 7.2%, buoying the market throughout the week. However, the market closed
today on a slightly negative bias, resulting in banks posting strong profit
bookings. Investors became cautious on anticipation of inflationary pressures
in the US after the US debt ceiling was raised. US 10-year bond yields edged
up; The market looks at the development of US interest rates for more
transparency. The benchmark indices Nifty & Sensex ended the weekly
F&O phase-out session lower. Towards the end of the session, Bank Nifty
fell 400 points to hit a daily low of 43706 and Nifty hit an intraday low of 18464.
The Nifty slipped 46 points, to settle at 18487, and the Sensex fell 193
points, to 62428. Among industry indexes, Bank Nifty was down 337 points, to 43790.
Nifty experienced rangebound movement and stayed within a
certain range throughout the day. However, there was strong selling pressure at
closing. Overall market sentiment is expected to remain negative until the
Nifty Index manages to scale above 18475. If the index fails to bounce back
above this level, it could potentially lead to a market correction. On the downside,
support is expected in the 18425 -18350 area. Conversely, expect resistance at
the upper end around 18550-18650.
Resistance: 18500, 18600, 18700
Support: 18450, 18350, 18250
IN OUR 8 PM STOCK PREDICTION WE HAVE SUGGESTED THE KOTAKBANK,MARUTI,BHARTIAIRTEL ARE IN TOP LOSER
State Bank of India Dividend : Book closure date from :
01/06/2023 to : 01/06/2023 1130
Aditya Birla Capital Ltd. Board Meeting : Preferential issue of
shares
Ester Industries Ltd. Board Meeting : Final Dividend
Sky Gold Ltd. Board Meeting : Final Dividend
Hindustan Organic Chemicals
Ltd. Board Meeting : Others
We Win Ltd. Board Meeting : Others