NIFTY CHART & NIFTY WEEKLY REPORT FOR UPCOMING WEEK 04 APRIL 2016

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 7759, 7813, 7849, 7886

PIVOT POINT: 7705

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  7668,7632,7578,7524

WEEKLY CHAT FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 7761, 7780, 7820, 7844

PIVOT POINT: 7742

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  7727, 7693, 7674, 7606

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Sensex opened the week at 25345, made a high of 25474, low of 25130 and closed the week at 25269. Thus it closed the week with a loss of 302 points. At the same time the Nifty opened the week at 7715, made a high of 7778, low of 7597 and closed the week at 7740. Thus the Nifty closed the week with a gain of 40 points.

NIFTY FUTURE AS PER TECHNICAL

This week, both the indices managed to stay and close above the short term average of 22 dma Nifty – 7640 and even the medium term average of 50dma Nifty – 7516. and Nifty still continue to remain well below the long term average of 200dma Nifty – 7840. Thus, the trend in the short term and medium term timeframe is positive. As we have mentioned last week that the support for the index lies in the zone of 7800 to 7900 where 100 & 500 Daily SMA is lying. If the index manages to close below this levels then the index can seen to the levels of 7400 to 7500 where short term moving averages are lying. During the next week the index manages to hit a level of 7846 and bounce to close the week around the levels of 8025. Support for the index lies in the zone of 7750 to 7800 where 100 & 500 Daily SMA is lying. If the index manages to close below this level then the index can drift to the levels of 7400 to 7500 where short term moving averages are lying.

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The market turned lackluster at the start of the new financial year as the dragging manufacturing data in euro zone forced investors to book profit. The Nifty futures April contract started the session on a negative note at 7754 and continued to trade in the negative territory. After marking an intra-day high at 7772, the contract began to decline experiencing selling pressure. Moreover, the contract witnessed selling pressure in intra-day rallies. Nifty closed the first day of fiscal 2017 in red on account of profit booking amid weak global cues. The Sensex ended with a loss of 72 points at 25270. The Sensex opened at 25302 touched an intra-day high of 24355 and low of 25119. The Nifty closed with a loss of 25 points at 7713. The Nifty opened at 7718 hitting a high of 7740 and low of 7666.

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Sensex and Nifty ended today's session on a flat note amid volatility due to expiration of derivative contracts for the month of March. The Nifty futures started the March derivatives expiry session on a negative note at 7734. and subsequently entered positive territory. It breached a key resistance at 7,750 and recorded an intra-day high at 7777. However, after witnessing selling pressure, the contract began to decline gradually, trimming its intra-day gains. Trading was however volatile owing to the expiry of monthly derivatives. Rollovers of contracts were strong as of mid-afternoon, suggesting investors expect the momentum to continue.  The Sensex closed 3 points higher at 25342 and Nifty rose 3 points to settle at 7738.
In the month of March, the and the Nifty rallied 10%  posting biggest monthly gains in over four years In intraday deals, the Sensex today touched high of 25480 and low of 25223 and Nifty moved in a band of 75 points.

Nifty rollover is quite strong, indicating that the market is looking for positive surprises going forward. Even rollover cost has risen as traders are looking at carrying forward long bets, which broadly indicates that market participants, largely foreign investors, are positive and upside trend is likely to continue. As long as the contract trades above the support level of 7700, the near-term outlook remains positive and the contract can retest 7780 levels. Next resistances are at 7800 and 7850.

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It's broadly a liquidity-driven push, which has come from the global market. Earlier there were apprehensions that there will be tightening of liquidity, but Fed comments show it's not in hurry to do so. Sentiment turned bullish after other Asian markets rose following a strong Wall Street closing, as the US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen signalled that a rate hike was not likely to come before June. Moreover, covering-up of short positions before tomorrow’s expiry of March series in derivatives segment and hopes of a rate cut by Reserve Bank at the monetary policy review on Tuesday, accelerated buying further. The Sensex after opening on a strong footing to recapture the crucial 25000-mark, continued upward journey and hit the day’s high of 25358 points before settling 438 points or 176 per cent to close at 25338, its highest closing since January 6. The NSE Nifty reclaimed the 7700-mark by gaining 138 points to 7735. Intra-day, it shuttled between 7741 and 7643.

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Market sentiments remained downbeat with private report that state governments are likely to run wider fiscal deficit in financial year 2016-17 because of higher interest bill and wage hike pressures. The market ended in a slightly negative note as investors are looking forward to the FEDs speech later today for clues on the economy and the direction of rate hike. But it is encouraging to note that FIIs continue to be positive which should reinforce stability in the market post the F&O expiry.

The Sensex slid 66 points and the broader Nifty retreated below the key 7600-mark on Tuesday. Finally, Sensex ended with a loss of 66 points at 24900. The Sensex opened at 24957, touched an intra-day high of 25079 and low of 24835. The NSE Nifty closed with a loss of 18 points at 7597. The NSE Nifty opened at 7607 hitting a high of 7653 and low of 7582.

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The week has started on a positive note. Nifty future opened above the 7700 level but before the closing it came down below the 7611 level. Nifty future has made a high of 7730 & low of 7634 & it has closed above the level 7650 at 7659.  The Sensex and the Nifty fell nearly one per cent as market men remained circumspect ahead of derivatives expiry on Thursday. Also, weak global cues dampened the domestic sentiment.

NIFTY CHART & NIFTY WEEKLY REPORT FOR UPCOMING WEEK 28 MARCH 2016

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 7572, 7610, 7700, 7802

PIVOT POINT: 7522

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  7490,7455,7385,7280

WEEKLY CHAT FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 7652, 7695, 7720, 7820

PIVOT POINT: 7592

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  7555, 7490, 7452, 7455

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Sensex opened the week at 25007, made a high of 25381, low of 24988 and closed the week at 25337. Thus it closed the week with a loss of 385 points. At the same time the Nifty opened the week at 7619, made a high of 7728, low of 7617 and closed the week at 7716. Thus the Nifty closed the week with a gain of 112 points.

NIFTY HALTS AT RESISTANCE ZONE.

Both the indices continued their upward march and managed to test and close within the Bearish Falling Gap between Nifty 7674-7721. Even though the short term and intermediate term trend remains positive, it seems that the indices are getting fatigued and might consolidate first before continuing further. In such a scenario, the small and midcap stocks are more likely to outperform the chief indices in the near term.

NIFTY FUTURE AS PER TECHNICAL

The Pull-Back has got extended, so besides reaching primary Gap Theory Target of Sensex 25370 and Nifty 7718 as mentioned above, both the indices have also concurrently run into higher Bearish Gap between Sensex 25230-25357 and Nifty 7674-7721. This Gap is now acting as strong Resistance.

MARKET SUMMERY FOR 23 MARCH 2016

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Today on Wednesday the market was in a holiday mood and investors took a cautionary approach ahead of the long weekend. The foreign inflows are coming back to India post budget. The Sensex and Nifty pared their day’s losses in the last half hour of trade and settled flat as investors remained cautious ahead of the extended weekend. The Sensex