Friday, September 27, 2019

NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 30 SEP TO 4 OCT 2019

SBIN 260 OCT PUT  ALMOST HIT 1ST MADE A HIGH OF 5.25 BUY GIVEN @ 4.3 YESTERDAY 2850 PROFIT 
WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11600, 11700, 11800
 PIVOT POINT: 11500
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11400, 11300, 11200
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY


















DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11600, 11650, 11700

PIVOT POINT:11550
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  11500, 11450, 11400
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
In mere couple of trading sessions, the Nifty has rallied from the low of around 10700 to almost test 11700. Traders and investors have certainly cheered to the steps taken by our FM on Friday and the party continued in yesterday’s session as well. Many of the large cap stocks have participated in the upmove in last couple of sessions and the volumes in this upmove too have been good.  The Nifty started the week on a cheerful note and continued the last week’s optimism as it opened with a gap up of about 270 points. During the day, the index rallied higher to almost test the 11700 mark and then consolidated during later part to end around 11600, adding more gains of over 300 points. Post the sharp upmove in a couple of sessions, the index consolidated in a range on Tuesday and ended around the Monday’s close. On Wednesday markets was trading with a negative bias in morning and in line with the global cues. With open high same scenario, the Nifty breached low of the 'Doji' candle formed on the previous day. Nifty then witnessed a sell-off and it corrected throughout the session to end the day with a loss of around 150 points. On the expiry day of f&o September series index started the day marginally positive and rallied sharply in the first hour of the trade to re-test the 11600 mark. Although the index traded with a positive bias, the intraday volatility remained high. The Nifty ultimately ended the day with gains of over a percent. Post a minor correction for a couple of sessions, the indices resumed the positive momentum in Thursday’s session. On market was trading flat in the volatile trade on September 27 with Nifty hovering around 11550 level.
NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 11350; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @11725
We continue with our advice for traders to trade with a positive bias. Given the sharp up move, it is a bit difficult to time entry now for those who have already missed the bus. But, we believe that this rally has more legs to unfold and hence, one should use buy on declines strategy. The immediate support for the index is placed in the range of 11400-11300 whereas the near term resistances are seen around 11705 and 11800. For intraday, 11539 will be seen as initial support followed by Monday's gap area of 11470-11380. On the flipside, 11655- 11700 is seen as the immediate hurdle on the upside.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.
Nifty has formed a ‘Doji’ candlestick on the charts which indicates indecision amongst the market participants. However, given that the index has rallied very sharply in just two trading sessions, such range bound session should just be seen as a pause within an uptrend. The recent gap area of 11475-11380 acted as a support and the broader markets again witnessed buying momentum. Clearly, since the near term trend is positive, traders and investors have seen this decline as buying opportunity. As of now, the trend continues to be positive wherein the above mentioned range is the immediate support. On the flipside, the swing high around 11725 is the immediate resistance to watch.  Now, although the intraday correction in the Nifty and the BankNifty index looks sharp, but if we look at the weekly chart then this down move post the recent sharp up move just seems to be a correction within an uptrend. Hence, there are no signs of worry as of now and thus traders should look for buying opportunities in this correction. With yesterday's move, the Nifty has ended in the vicinity of the gap area of 11385-11475 which was created on Monday. This gap area, followed by the 38.2% retracement level around 11300 is the key support levels from where the index could again resume positive momentum. On the flipside, 11600-11700 is the immediate resistance zone for the index. We continue with our advice or traders to trade with a positive bias, not to take any contra trades in anticipation of any reversal; rather one should use a ‘Buy on Dips’ strategy and look for buying opportunities. We could see 11700-11750 levels, its sustenance above this level would result in a rally towards 11800. Failure to do so may result in another round of weakness, where markets would trade below the level of 11550 and may retest 11400

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