In the highly volatile session the benchmark indices ended with marginal gains on September 30 supported by the FMCG and IT stocks. The surge in coronavirus infections, an acrimonious buildup to US elections and geopolitical reasons kept volatility high & become a spoilsport. Nifty corrects significantly to stay in the 11000-11500 range.
The volatility is
expected to continue due to the surge in coronavirus infections, US elections
and geopolitical reasons. With the US elections approaching in what will be a
highly contested battle, there is a fair amount of volatility, which may act as
a spoilsport. Locally, a significant deceleration in growth was likely
as the surge in demand related to the reopening of the economy would fade.
India-China tensions were another variable. Valuations, too, were looking a bit
stretched in the absence of earnings growth. Some bit of volatility and
consolidation can happen. However, structurally, we may see decent liquidity
for a good period of time. At times like these, buying on decline is being
a better strategy with a defensive portfolio positioning. However, the level to watch out for
nifty is 11300-11400. We need to get past and close above that price zone. That
would signal that an intermediate bottom has been made and we have entered into
an uptrend. Until then, there is always a possibility of a U-turn from the
current levels and the Nifty might attempt to go and test the 11100 level.
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Resistance: 11300, 11400,
11500
Support: 11200, 11100, 11000
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