Monday, December 6, 2021

NIFTY & BANKNIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 07 DEC 2021

Markets plunged sharply lower and lost over one and a half percent on Monday 6 December 2021 , in continuation to Friday’s fall. After the flat start, weak global cues and updates on the new COVID variant started weighing on the sentiment as the day progressed. Consequently, the Nifty ended near day’s low to close at 16912 levels. The sectoral indices traded in tandem and mostly ended in the red wherein IT, auto, FMCG and pharma were among the top losers. The rise in COVID cases has again started haunting the global markets and the situation may deteriorate further in near future. Besides, the upcoming MPC’s policy review outcome and macroeconomic data (IIP and CPI inflation) would keep the volatility high. Keeping in mind the scenario, we reiterate a cautious stance and suggest continuing with a hedged approach. Nifty is continuing its corrections after a minor pullback where it has again slipped below its 100-DMA. The selling can be attributed to rising cases of omicron variant in India along with other countries whereas FIIs are also continuing to hold their hand on the sell button. There was a sharp selling on Tech stocks in the USA in Friday's trading session and the same was replicated in our market where the Nifty IT index ended with a cut of 2.7%, however there was broad-based selling because there was no sectorial index that ended on a positive note. The market may continue to remain volatile amid news flow related to the omicron variant.
Technically, 16850-16750 is a critical support zone for the Nifty where we can expect a bounce back while below this zone, 16500 will be the next important support level. On the upside, 17000 will act as an immediate intraday resistance for tomorrow while 100-DMA of 17175 will be the next hurdle; above 100-DMA, we can expect a short covering move towards the 17250-17350 zone. Bank Nifty still manages to close above its 200-DMA that is currently placed at 35725 level. If it starts to trade below this level then we can expect further weakness towards the 35000 level otherwise it may witness a bounceback. On the upside, 36400 will be immediate and intraday resistance while 36600/36800 will be the next resistance levels.

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Resistance: 17250, 17350, 17450

Support: 16950, 16850, 16750

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