WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR
NIFTY: 17600, 17800, 18000
PIVOT POINT: 17400
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 17200, 17000,
16800
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 17550, 17650, 17750
PIVOT POINT: 17450
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 17350, 17250, 17150
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
In the midst of the mixed global cues, our markets started
the week on a flat note. After the initial volatility, Nifty managed to find a
clear direction; but unfortunately it was southwards. As the day progressed, the
selling aggrandized across the broader market to break all intraday supports
one after another. Eventually, bulls surrendered the psychological level of
17000 convincingly to mark lowest daily close in last three months. Despite
positive global cues, our markets had a terrible session on Monday as Nifty
marked the lowest close in last three months. But we could not neglect the
extended recovery in global peers on Tuesday. All key indices started the
session with a decent upside gap and as the day progressed, the upward move
kept accelerating to recoup all previous day’s losses. Eventually, Nifty ended
the session tad below 17200 with over one and half a percent gains. Tuesday’s
smart recovery was followed by a decent bump up at the opening on Wednesday and
cheerful mood across the globe provided impetus for this head start. This gap
up might have caught so many overnight traders on the wrong foot and hence,
there was a complete gush seen in the initial hour to cover shorts. As a
result, all key indices extended their relief rally and remained steady post
the RBI monetary policy, which turned out to be a non-event.In last couple of
sessions, our markets have witnessed a remarkable recovery from sub-17000
territory. This positivity was carried over Thursday at the start as we
witnessed a gap up opening with a small margin above 17500. However, in the
initial hour, we witnessed a strong bout of profit booking to not only erase
opening gains but also went on to slide below 17400. Fortunately the initial
nerves settled down immediately which resulted in a complete recovery during
the remaining part of the day to conclude the weekly expiry on a positive note
tad above the 17500 mark.
NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 16800;
STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 17800
If we
take a glance at the overall price movement in last 7 – 8 sessions, markets has
been gyrating in a slightly wider range where both ends got tested with immense
volatility. So market has decided to take some breather after nearing the
cluster of resistance i.e. 17500 – 17600 – 17700. For the coming session, 17200 followed by 17000
are to be seen as immediate supports.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING
Overall this week our market managed to close in the positive terrain; but it was certainly a challenging week for both counterparties. Market was clearly unsure of its direction for the most part of the week. If we look at it from a technical point of view, market is respecting the levels precisely. At the beginning, the Nifty started rebounding after reaching the price target of ‘Head and Shoulder’ pattern of 16800 and on Friday, it became nervous after nearing a stiff resistance zone of 17500 – 17600. Direction wise, we continue to remain cautious and there is no doubt we are still in a ‘Sell on rise’ kind of market. This view will remain intact as long as Nifty does not surpass 17900 which is the confluence point of two key trend lines. Also sooner or later we expect the recent low around 16800 is to be breached soon; but it will happen immediately or after some more consolidation in the range of 16800 – 17500; we need to assess the situation in the coming week. Meanwhile, traders can continue with a stock specific approach and we may see trades on both sides if Nifty remains in a consolidation mode. But it would be a prudent strategy to keep booking timely profits and considering the volatile nature of global markets, carrying aggressive bets overnight should be strictly avoided. As far as levels are concerned, 17350 – 17500 – 17600 are to be considered as immediate hurdles; whereas on the flipside, 17000 – 16800 should be treated as a cluster of support.
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