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Strong indications in global markets pushed local benchmarks higher as investors bought struggling stocks. Buying was seen in bank, home and auto stocks on hopes that interest rates could remain unchanged in this week's credit policy. The market opened on a gap up note and showed strength throughout the session, closing the session at the 17463 level for a gain of 197 points. While Bank Nifty ended the session at 38610 for a gain of 581 points. Nifty recovered today ahead of tomorrow's weekly expiry. Looking at the charts, the quality of the candle suggests that the market may not expect anything negative ahead of the RBI credit policy. Nifty saw a long green candle to close on the day's high and this candle follows the previous day's bullish hammer. Nifty made a higher low yesterday than the low of the previous January 25, 2022 low. It stands to reason that Nifty should rally above the recent high at 18055 to complete the AB=CD pattern.
The Nifty had tested key short-term supports on February 8th where fresh buying interest was seen. The index had taken support near the 78.6% retracement of the recent rise i.e. 17040 and near the bottom of a triangular pattern found near 17050. The index then started to recover and the recovery continued on February 9th. On the way up, the Nifty has breached its key hourly moving averages, which are close to 17350-17450. This will now act as a near-term support zone and as long as the index trades above this zone it can continue its journey on the recovery path. On the higher side, the index may test 17850 in the short term. Nifty offers a good risk/reward trade-off at current levels. It moves in a symmetrical triangle pattern. In a contracting situation, trend-following volatility indicators do not work and could even be counterproductive. Nifty should rally to 17650-17750 and once that zone is breached there should be further upside to 18050-18100. Currently the index has support at 17250 while resistance is at 17650. On the other hand, Bank Nifty has support at 38500 levels while resistance at 39500 levels.
Resistance: 17500, 17600, 17700
Support: 17400,
17300, 17200
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