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WEEKLY
RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15800, 16200, 16500
PIVOT POINT: 15500
WEEKLY SUPPORT
FOR NIFTY: 15300, 15100, 14800
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15750, 15850, 15950
PIVOT POINT: 15650
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 15500, 15400, 14950
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
Our market started the week on June
20, 2022 on a muted note amid weakness in Asian stock markets and followed a sluggish
movement throughout the day. The benchmark index, the Nifty50, had a lackluster
trading day, spending most of its time in a tight range with no clear
direction. However, at the bottom of the tipping point, some traction was seen
in the index, resulting in a positive close for Nifty with a gain of just 0.37%
at the 15350 level. On Tuesday, June 21, 2022, the rise in global stock markets
helped the domestic market become buoyant, with the benchmark index seeing a
major move since the opening bell, lifting overall sentiment. The action
certainly shows the urge of the D-Street bulls amid favorable conditions. The
Nifty50 Index finally ended the day higher with gains of 1.88%, slightly below
the 15650 level. On Wednesday 22 June 2022, weak
Asian signals led to a subdued start in our home market, with the benchmark
index having a gap-down open. The Nifty50 index continued to slide lower
throughout the day and all of the pure pullbacks during the session were sold
by the bears. Finally, the index ended the day slightly above the 15400 level
with a fall of over 1.44%. On June 23, 2022, the Indian stock market
experienced an immensely volatile weekly expiration session, with the benchmark
index starting the session on an upbeat note. The index's initial brisk move
was sold aggressively, pulling it towards the daily lows, but it soon rebounded
from the lows, again buoying general sentiment. With all the days of
rollercoaster rides, the Nifty finally ended the day in green with gains of
nearly a percent, a bit above the 15550 level. Benchmark indices ended
higher for the second consecutive day on 24 june 2022 with Nifty ending just
shy of 15700. The Sensex closed 462 points higher at 52728, and the Nifty ended
142 points at 15699.
NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 15300;
STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 16200
Equity benchmarks behaved contrary to
our expectations as bearish global signals followed fears of rising global
inflation and interest rate hikes weighed on investor sentiment. The pace of
the decline accelerated on the break of the 15700 March low and continued to
drift towards the 15200 level. We expect the index to gradually resolve higher
in the coming months, extending the pullback towards the 16600 region, with a
strong Support is placed near the 14800-14600 zone, which we expect to hold as
it is an 80% retracement of the CY-21 rally (13596 -18604), at 14600. Hence,
dips should be exploited, to build a portfolio by accumulating quality stocks
in a staggered manner.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING
After the correction of the past few
weeks, equity markets ended this week with positive returns. Major key indices
and most sector indices advanced over the week. The auto sector led the
recovery amid softening commodity prices. On the other hand, the BSE Metal, BSE
Energy and BSE Oil & Gas indices underperformed the broader markets. The
correction in crude oil prices from the recent peak and the decline in
commodity prices provided some relief to markets in an otherwise high global
inflationary environment. The progress of the monsoon is an important factor to
watch as a good monsoon would allay food inflation concerns. Equity markets are
expected to continue reacting to news related to inflation, monetary policy and
commodity price movements in the short term. Nifty ended the week with an
inside candle. We see a bullish Harami pattern on the weekly chart. Since the
pattern is a bullish reversal pattern, we can expect Nifty to see some upside
in the coming days. Also, on the weekly timeframe, we see the candle close at
the high of the weekly range. This is a bullish development. Meanwhile, Nifty
failed to make a new low on the daily charts on June 16, 2022. This market
reluctance to trade below the lows even after six days suggests that the market
is in no mood to trade lower immediately. Nifty needs to break above 15900 to
signal a rally to 16200-16500. Support in Nifty stands at 15500. A break below
support and there might be a further drop to 15300-15000.
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