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In the volatile session, the Indian benchmark indices ended on a flat note on August 10th. At the close the Sensex was down 35 points to 58817 and the Nifty was up 9 points to 17534. Investors were cautious in anticipation of the release of US inflation statistics, which will set the tone for the next Fed meeting. US CPI inflation is expected to remain elevated in July and in line with June inflation levels. This, coupled with strong payrolls data, will force the Fed to continue taking a tough approach to contain high levels of inflation. The Nifty recently surpassed the 78.6% retracement of the April-June decline, which is near 17500. On August 10, the Nifty got off to a positive start, but there were no follow-up purchases. As a result, the index consolidated its recent gains near 17500 for the day. Benchmark indices closed flat amid volatility. Capital goods and metals stocks are seeing strong buying while IT stocks are seeing some selling today.On the technical front, Nifty 50 is showing bullish momentum after the recent consolidation and this momentum could extend to the 17600-17800 level in the near term. On the downside, 17200 could remain an immediate support at Nifty. Immediate support and resistance for Bank Nifty stands at 37750 and 38700 respectively. Although the short-term momentum indicators are weak, the price action is maintaining the uptrend. Minor dips are supported near the 20 hourly moving average.
Markets traded in a tight range with negative bias for most of the trading session as traders followed the global direction and showed caution ahead of the key US inflation data. If inflation picks up only slowly, markets around the world fear that the US Federal Reserve will maintain its hawkish stance and raise interest rates further. The steep curve in US bond yields was also a concern as markets fear it could be a sign of an imminent recession. Technically, support has moved from 17400 to 17500. As long as the Nifty trades above 17500 the uptrend formation is likely to continue and above that the index could rally as high as 17600-17700. However, below 17500 the uptrend would be vulnerable and could retest the 17300-17200 level. As long as the index is trading above the 17350-17250 short-term support zone, it is expected to maintain the short-term positive stance. So the Nifty can test 17600-17700 for a short time. Nifty has confirmed the resilience of the uptrend by closing above the previous congestion high on the daily chart. The key moving averages are comfortably below the current index value, again confirming the uptrend. The trend could remain bullish in the short-term as long as it stays above 17400. However, the rally towards 17400-17200 should generate selling pressure.
Resistance: 17600, 17700, 17800
Support: 17500, 17400, 17300
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