The bears took a breather today as markets staged a recovery rally after coming under pressure for the past few sessions. However, the recovery does not appear to be sustainable as several negative factors are at play. . Sensex and Nifty 50 closed nearly a percent higher on Wednesday, October 12, 2022, a day ahead of the weekly F&O expiration. BSE Sensex closed 479 points higher at 57626 while Nifty settled 140 points higher at 17124. Bank Nifty is up more than 1% to settle at 39119. India VIX, the volatility index, fell 1.5 to 20.18. The domestic market managed to weather the weak signals from global peers as it focused on quarterly earnings. The IT earnings season got off to a strong start, boosting industry sentiment. European markets continued to fall amid escalating geopolitical turmoil and the prospect of a global economic slowdown as the IMF downgraded its forecast for global growth. At the same time, oil prices fell on sluggish demand amid recession fears and tightening restrictions in China, which was positively received by the domestic market. Globally, Asian markets were broadly negative after a recent streak of losses on worries about the slowing global economy and the impact of rising interest rates on corporate earnings. European markets were generally lower as recession fears persisted, with US President Joe Biden acknowledging in an interview on Tuesday that a very mild recession was likely.
Technically, the Nifty took
support near the 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and rallied strongly. As
long as the index trades above the 17100 level, the pullback pattern is likely
to continue. Above that, the index can reach the 17200-17250 level. On the otherside,
the index could slip below 17050 -16950. On the technical front, immediate
support and resistance at Nifty 50 are 17,000 and 17,300 respectively. For
Banknifty immediate support and resistance stands at 38800 and 39600
respectively. OI data shows that on the call side, the highest OI was observed
at 17400-17500 followed by 17,300 strike prices, while on the put side, the
highest OI was at 17000 lay, followed by 16900 exercise prices. Technically,
Nifty formed a bullish candle on the daily chart as it closed above 17100, a
key Fibonacci level. The overall structure shows that the index is likely to
see consolidation and short-term buying in the 17,000-17,300 range. Once it
holds 17,340 levels, we can expect a rally up to 17,500 levels in the coming
days. Indicators like the RSI and MACD are showing some strength to lead higher
on the daily chart. On the other hand, Bank Nifty has support at 38500 while
resistance lies at 40000.
Resistance: 17150,
17250, 17350
Support: 17050, 16950, 16850
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