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The markets started the week cautiously and ended almost unchanged. After the flat start, the Nifty Index oscillated in a narrow range and eventually settled at the 18,701 level. Meanwhile, a mixed trend on the sector front kept participants busy, with purchases of metal, banking and real estate space capping the downside. The market continued its profit booking trend from the record high as they exercised caution ahead of the RBI policy announcement on Dec 7th. Part of this was also due to the rise in crude oil prices due to OPEC's decision not to cut its production target and an easing of China's Covid policy. Domestic indices traded cautiously ahead of important events coming up this week. Nifty opened positive but soon drifted into the red and remained lackluster throughout the session to finally close flat at 18701. The market expects a rate hike of 35bps compared to 50bps in the previous three sessions in anticipation of a decline in inflation forecast. At the close the Sensex was down 33 points to 62834 and the Nifty was up 4 points to 18701. The momentum in mid and small cap companies is likely to continue in the future. The metals, banking and real estate sectors would continue to experience traction. Bank stocks will be in the spotlight ahead of RBI policy outcome. The reopening of China and the rise in metal prices would keep metals stocks momentum, while strong demand for real estate would keep real estate and building materials stocks buoyant. Even NBFCs could see action as payouts continue to remain healthy. Gold finance companies in particular will continue to be in the spotlight as the gold price surge to an 8-month high makes them a lucrative bet. We expect the market to consolidate over the next few days given Wednesday's RBI policy and Thursday's Gujarat election outcome. Tomorrow we could see a reaction based on data from today's Gujarat exit survey. We think 18650 could act as a sacrosanct zone of support for the market. If the index trades above it could retest 18850-18900 in the near future. On the downside, the index could slip below 18,600 to 18550-18450.
Resistance: 17350, 17450, 17550
Support: 17250, 17150, 17050
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