NIFTY OUTLOOK & BEST OPTION TIPS FOR 30 MAY 2023

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The Nifty started the week strongly, rising more than half a percent on May 29 to 18599. It followed positive Asian signals after the preliminary agreement on the US debt ceiling and a new high for the domestic banking index. All sectors, apart from information technology and oil & gas, the index supported the daily high of 18641, also its highest level this calendar year. After opening above 18600, the index ranged between 50 and 60 points. It closed 99 points higher at 18599 and formed a doji candle on the daily chart, indicating indecisiveness between the bulls and bears. However, the mood remains positive. The Nifty is nearing 18650-187750 and possibly 18,887, its December all-time high, though not without some consolidation, experts say. Support on the downside has emerged at 18,400 level. After a long-awaited period, the Nifty bank is now breaking new ground. We expect the Nifty index to follow suit, testing the all-time high of 18,887 and possibly even higher in the near future. The recent sharp price advance that has caused short-term indicators to enter the overbought zone and subdued intraday moves may slow the Nifty's advance. It would be prudent to use downturns to go long and take profits at higher levels. The resistance around 18400-18200 will now serve as support, while the 18800-18,900 area will serve as immediate resistance. On the options up front, the maximum open call interest was at 18800 strikes, followed by 18700 and 18600 strikes, with sensible ones Call writing on similar strikes in a similar order. On the put side, the maximum open interest was 18400 strikes, followed by 18300 strikes and 18200 strikes. with writing at 18700 strikes, then 18600 strikes. The data shows that 18600-18800 is likely to be the resistance zone and 18500-18300 support zone for the index. Bank Nifty opened a gap to the upside at 44,277 and extended gains to hit a fresh intraday high of 44,483 but then consolidated in a tight 150 point range. It closed 294 points higher to a new closing high of 44,312. The index formed a bullish small-bodied candle with a long upper shadow on the daily scale, suggesting profit-taking at higher levels. Now it needs to continue holding above the 44150 level to make an upward move towards 44,500 and then a new life high of 44,750 while on the downside support is expected at 44150 and then 44,000. India VIX, the volatility indicator, rose 3.34% to 12.30 from 11.90.

Resistance: 18600, 18700, 18800

Support: 18500, 18400, 18300