NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 17 JULY TO 21 JULY 2023

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 19600, 19800, 20000

PIVOT POINT: 19500

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  19400, 19200, 19000

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

Indian equities saw general weakness on 10 July 2023 but the benchmark was able to stay slightly positive with support from strong buying in heavyweight stocks. The weakness was led by IT stocks as the sector is expected to start the Q1 earnings season with weak earnings. In addition, signals from US markets are unfavorable as concerns about another rate hike linger despite expectations of a quick cool down in future US CPI inflation data. Benchmark indices ended the volatile session on July 10th with modest gains. At the end the Sensex was up 63 points to 65344 and the Nifty was up 24 points to 19355. Profit-taking in late trade wiped out most early gains as major indices ended a volatile trading session with modest gains. Hiccups were seen ahead of the US monetary policy meeting later this month. There are enough signs that the Fed will target a rate hike this month to keep inflation under control. On 11 July 2023 Domestic stocks traded in positive territory after an encouraging handover from their global peers. Nifty opened higher and held steady throughout the session to close up 84 points (+0.4%) at the 19,439 level. Auto, FMCG, pharmaceuticals and consumer discretionary were the biggest gainers, each up more than 1%. The defense sector was in the spotlight on the eve of the Indian Prime Minister's visit to France, where several deals are likely to be signed, including a technology transfer agreement. Market now awaits Q1 results, IT sector starts tomorrow with expectations muted and focus on maintaining margin and improving long-term guidance. The upbeat sentiment is also supported by expectations of China's stimulus to shore up economic growth and hopes for a softening US inflation data. India's overall score is slightly above its long-term average, which is reasonable given strong earnings expectations for fiscal 2024. Pressures in the banking sector limit the upside while others are doing their best to propel the markets higher. While it may further delay the trend's resumption, sentiment is likely to remain positive. The Indian equity markets started the12 july 2023 session on a mild note, but the benchmark index refrained from continuing its northward journey and witnessed a small bout of profit booking during the initial half of the session. The bulls recouped some of the losses from the intraday lows of 19400 but succumbed to the strong selloff in the penultimate hours and slipped below Tuesday’s low. Amidst the whipsaw moves, the Nifty50 index concluded the day in negative terrain with a cut of 0.28 percent and settled below 19400 level. Tracking the positive global bourses, the Indian indices witnessed a buoyant start on 13 july 2023, wherein the benchmark index soared to uncharted territory and kept momentum during the initial half of the day. However, bulls failed to sustain the higher grounds and lost their grip during the second half of the session, which pared down a significant portion of gains. Eventually, post the volatile day of trade, the Nifty50 index concluded the session around 19400 levels, procuring 0.15 percent from the last closure. The market continued to post record highs on July 14, mostly led by information technology stock. At close, the Sensex was up 502 points at 66060, and the Nifty was up 150 points at 19564.

NIFTY: STRONG SUPPORT& STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL

For the trend following traders now, 19400 would be the trend decider level and could move up till 19800. Below 19400 , we could expect a one quick correction till 19400-19200.

 TECHNICALLY SPEAKING

The market seems to be flooded with strong FII inflows, and with US inflation moderating investors are hoping for a rate hike pause by the Federal Reserve later this month. On daily and weekly charts, Nifty has formed a bullish candle along with a breakout formation on intraday charts, which supports a further uptrend from the current levels. For the trend-following traders now, 19400 would be the trend-decider level and could move up to 19800. Below 19400 , we could expect one quick correction till 19,400-19,300. For Bank Nifty, the 20-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) or 44,500 would be the trend decider level. Above the same, the index could retest the level of 45200 -45600. On the other side, below 44600 the Bank Nifty could slip to the 50-day SMA or 44,000.