Friday, March 15, 2024

NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 18 MARCH TO 22 MARCH 2024

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Weekly Market Report (March 15 - March 19, 2024)

Overview:

The Indian stock market witnessed a mixed performance during the week ending March 19, 2024. While the benchmark indices struggled to maintain momentum, certain sectors experienced notable volatility. Here are the key highlights from the week:

1. Performance of Benchmark Indices:

The Sensex closed the week at 72643, marking a decline of 453 points.

The Nifty ended the week at 22,023 down by 123 points.

2. Market Breadth:

Among the shares listed, 1724 advanced, 1939 declined, and 113 remained unchanged.

Sectoral indices exhibited mixed performances, with the telecom sector being the only gainer, while others like oil & gas, auto, capital goods, and healthcare faced declines ranging from 1% to 2%.

3. Sectoral Performance:

Notable losers on the Nifty included BPCL, M&M, Tata Motors, Coal India, and L&T.

Gainers on the Nifty comprised Bharti Airtel, UPL, Bajaj Finance, HDFC Life, and Adani Enterprises.

4. Midcap and Smallcap Indices:

The BSE Midcap index witnessed a decline of 0.5%, whereas the Smallcap index ended on a positive note.

5. BankNifty Performance:

The BankNifty index experienced a volatile trading session, forming a doji candle indicating market indecision.

Immediate resistance for the BankNifty index is noted at 47200-47500, coinciding with the 20-day moving average (20DMA).

Lower-end support is positioned at 46800-46200, with bulls attempting to defend this level.

6. Market Sentiment and Outlook:

Cautiousness towards mid & small caps persisted, influencing broader market sentiment.

Despite challenges, factors such as moderation in global commodity prices and an upward revision of India's GDP for FY25 are expected to highlight robust domestic demand.

Bargain opportunities may continue to emerge in mid- and small-cap stocks with strong fundamentals, once broader market stability is achieved.

7. Nifty Technical Analysis:

The Nifty closed below the rising trendline, indicating weakness in market sentiment.

The momentum indicator suggests bearish momentum in the near term.

Immediate support is situated at the 50-day moving average (50DMA), currently at 21800-21600.

Resistance is observed in the range of 22,200-22500.

Conclusion:

The Indian stock market encountered volatility amid mixed performances across sectors. While challenges persist, positive indicators such as domestic demand resilience and bargain opportunities in certain stocks offer optimism for potential rebounds. Continued monitoring of global and domestic factors is advised for informed investment decisions.

This report provides a comprehensive overview of the key developments in the Indian stock market during the week ending March 19, 2024, incorporating both fundamental and technical analyses.

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