Thursday, August 22, 2024

NIFTY OUTLOOK & FREE TRADING TIPS FOR 23 AUG 2024

Market Overview:

Indian benchmark indices concluded the trading session on a positive note, with the Nifty closing above 24,800. The Sensex gained 147 points, closing at 81053, while the Nifty was up by 41 points, closing at 24811.

Sector Performance:

  • Top Gainers:

    • Consumer, Metal, and PSU Banks: These sectors saw significant buying interest, driving the market upwards.
    • Top Performing Stocks:
      • Grasim Industries
      • Tata Consumer Products
      • Tata Steel
      • Bharti Airtel
      • Apollo Hospitals
  • Top Losers:

    • Selective IT and Energy Stocks: These sectors experienced intraday profit booking at higher levels, leading to marginal declines.
    • Underperforming Stocks:
      • Tata Motors
      • Dr Reddy's Labs
      • NTPC
      • Wipro
      • M&M
  • Sectoral Indices Performance:

    • Power Index: Declined by 1%.
    • Pharma, Oil & Gas, Auto, IT: Ended marginally lower.
    • Bank, FMCG, Metal, Realty, Telecom: Gained between 0.5% and 1.4%.
    • BSE Midcap and Smallcap Indices: Both rose by 0.5%.

Technical Analysis:

  • Nifty:

    • The Nifty opened with a gap-up but faced intraday profit booking, leading to the formation of a small bearish candle on the daily charts, indicating indecisiveness between bulls and bears.
    • The index encountered resistance at the previous downside gap zone of 24,850-25,000, closing just below this range.
    • Immediate support is seen at 24,720, with key resistance between 24,900-24,950.
    • The short-term trend remains positive, but overbought conditions could lead to range-bound activity. A decisive breakout above the resistance could push the Nifty towards 25,100 in the near term.
  • Bank Nifty:

    • Bank Nifty continued its positive momentum, closing above key daily moving averages. The daily momentum indicator shows a positive crossover, signaling a potential upmove towards 51,500-51,900. A stop loss of 50,400 should be maintained for long positions.

Global Cues:

  • The domestic market's modest gains were influenced by positive global sentiments. Weakness in the US non-farm payroll data has increased the likelihood of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in September, boosting investor sentiment.

Market Outlook:

  • Trading Strategy:

    • Given the current market conditions, a "buy on dips and sell on rallies" approach is recommended.
    • Traders should monitor the key support zones of 24,750-24,700 (Nifty) and 80,800-80,650 (Sensex). A breach below these levels could change market sentiment, leading to a potential exit from long positions.
  • Market Sentiment:

    • Despite the gains, the market exhibited a lackluster movement at higher levels, closing with modest gains. The narrow range movement suggests consolidation, with no significant reversal patterns emerging at the highs.

Conclusion:

The Indian equity market continues to show resilience with positive momentum. However, with the Nifty nearing critical resistance levels and showing signs of consolidation, traders should remain cautious and adopt a strategic approach to capitalize on potential market movements in the coming sessions.

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