Friday, November 29, 2024

NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY 2 DEC 2024

 The Indian equity market rebounded strongly on November 29, 2024, erasing some of the previous session's losses. Both Sensex and Nifty indices closed on a high note, bolstered by gains in key sectors like pharma, energy, and auto.


Key Highlights:

  • Sensex and Nifty Performance:

    • Sensex: Gained 759.05 points (+0.96%), closing at 79,802.79.
    • Nifty 50: Rose by 216.90 points (+0.91%), settling at 24,131.10.
  • Market Breadth:

    • Advancing stocks: 2241
    • Declining stocks: 1564
    • Unchanged: 88
  • Volatility Index:

    • India VIX cooled off by 5.12% to 14.43, signaling reduced market volatility.

Sectoral Performance:

  • Top Gainers:

    • Auto, Energy, Pharma, Media: Advanced by 1-2%, leading the day's rally.
    • Key performers: Bharti Airtel, Cipla, Sun Pharma, M&M, Adani Ports.
  • Underperformers:

    • Realty and PSU Bank indices closed in the red.
    • Notable laggards: Power Grid Corp, Shriram Finance, Hero MotoCorp, Nestle, Apollo Hospitals.
  • Indices Movement:

    • BSE Midcap Index: Up 0.3%.
    • Smallcap Index: Increased by 0.7%.

Technical Analysis:

Nifty 50:

  • Reclaimed the 21-Day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA), indicating strength.
  • Formed a green candle on the daily chart, showing potential for further upward momentum.
  • Resistance Levels: 24,350–24,360.
  • Support Levels:
    • Immediate: 24,080 (21-DEMA).
    • Critical: 23,570 (200-DEMA).

Bank Nifty:

  • Closed at 52,056 after initial volatility, consolidating in a narrow range.
  • Resistance Levels: 52,500–52,600.
  • Support Levels: 51,540 (21-DEMA).
  • Technical Indicators: Formation of an inside bar on the daily chart and a doji candle on the weekly scale point to market uncertainty.

Sectoral Insights:

  • Pharma & Healthcare:
    Renewed growth due to strong earnings and moderated valuations.

  • Energy & Auto:
    Continued strength amid robust demand, benefiting from the festive season.

  • IT and Banking:
    Rebounded from recent declines and remain key to determining the broader market direction.

  • Smallcaps and Midcaps:
    Smallcaps showed strong relative performance (+0.7%), while midcaps ended flat (+0.3%).


Global Sentiment:

  • Global market sentiment remained muted due to the yen's appreciation and persistent inflation in Japan.

  • Domestic markets reflected confidence as Q2 GDP slowdown to 6.5% was already priced into corporate earnings.


Investor Strategy:

  • Stock Selection: Focus on large-cap stability and selective smallcap opportunities with strong performance.
  • Profit Booking: Traders are advised to book profits near resistance levels and await fresh breakouts, particularly in the Nifty above 24,360 and Bank Nifty above 52,600.
  • Sectoral Focus: Pharma, auto, and energy sectors remain attractive for short-term gains. IT and banking performance should be monitored closely.

Conclusion:

The broad-based rally, driven by large-cap stocks, signifies resilience in the Indian equity market. With reduced volatility and sectoral strength, investors are advised to adopt a balanced approach, leveraging opportunities in both defensive and cyclical sectors while being cautious at resistance levels.

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