Monday, February 3, 2025

Indian Equity Market Report Trading Suggestion For 4 Feb 2025

 Market Summary: On February 3, Indian equity markets closed on a negative note with the benchmark indices facing losses amid high volatility. The Sensex declined by 319.22 points or 0.41% to settle at 77,186.74, while the Nifty dropped 121.10 points or 0.52% to close at 23,361.05. Market sentiment remained fragile, influenced by weak global cues and sector-specific pressures.

Market Performance Overview:

  • Nifty opened with a gap down and showed consolidation before ending lower.

  • Sensex fell by 319.22 points, closing at 77,186.

  • Nifty declined by 121.10 points, closing at 23,361.

  • The index remained volatile but managed to stay above the critical 21-day EMA.

  • Support is placed at 23,200/23,100, while resistance is at 23,400.

  • Nifty retraced its recent gains and found a support zone at 23,250 – 23,209, aligning with the 20-day SMA and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.

  • The immediate resistance level stands at 23,560 – 23,630.

  • A decisive breakout above 23,500 – 23,600 could open more upside potential.

Technical Indicators & Market Trends:

  • A small green candle with a long lower shadow appeared on the daily chart, indicating a range-bound market with weak downside momentum.

  • The formation of a higher bottom suggests a potential uptrend continuation.

  • If the market holds its support level at 23,200, it could resume an upward movement towards 23,820 – 24,000.

  • In the near term, the uptrend remains intact, with the possibility of a rebound from higher lows.

  • The market is currently volatile and non-directional, making level-based trading a preferred strategy.

  • For day traders, key support levels are 23,270/77,000 and 23,220/76,800, while resistance is at 23,500/77,500 and 23,550/77,800.

  • A breach of 23,220/76,800 could lead to a retest of 23,100/76,500 levels.

Sectoral Performance:

  • Defence Sector: The worst performer, shedding over 5%.

  • Consumer Durables: The only major gainer, up by 0.5%.

  • IT Sector: Rose by 0.7%, showing resilience.

  • Capital Goods: Down 4%, among the biggest losers.

  • Energy, Metal, Oil & Gas, Power, PSU: Fell between 2-3%.

  • Metal Sector: Dropped by more than 1.5%, making it one of the weakest performers.

  • Midcaps & Smallcaps: Midcaps showed recovery, but smallcaps ended at their lowest levels of the day.

Top Gainers & Losers:

  • Gainers: Bajaj Finance, M&M, Wipro, Shriram Finance, Bajaj Finserv.

  • Losers: L&T, ONGC, Bharat Electronics, Tata Consumers, Coal India.

Market Outlook: The Indian stock market faced selling pressure due to weak global sentiment, including concerns over tariff-related trade wars. The broader market indices exhibited disparity, with midcaps showing resilience while smallcaps underperformed.

The market found support at the 21-day DMA (23,280), signaling potential for a recovery. If this support holds, Nifty could aim for 23,550 in the coming sessions. However, a fall below 23,200 could trigger further downside towards 23,100.

Given the current scenario, traders and investors should adopt a cautious approach, focusing on key support and resistance levels while monitoring global market cues for further direction.

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