NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 5 MARCH 2020

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Coronavirus fear continued on D- Street.  Bulls gave a tough fight to bears but lost the battle. Nifty started the day from 11351 made a high of 11356 and came down to 11082 & closed the day above 11250 at 11251 down by 50 points. Mounting coronavirus cases, foreign institutional investors exodus, RBI playing the waiting game to provide stimulus has prompted investors to exit the market. Volatility to continue in coming sessions and the strength is possible only if the index closes decisively above 11400 levels, the upper end of consolidation range. Nifty appears to be on a consolidation mode as it almost revisited recent low of 11,036 levels before smartly recoiling. As of now, it appears that index may spend some time with a consolidation in the zone of 11400– 11,036 levels before witnessing a clear cut directional move. Near term strength in the index can be expected on a close above 11400 levels and in that scenario, it can extend to 11475. On the downside, the index needs to protect the ascending trendline, which is in progress from the October 2018 lows of 10,004, whose support for next trading session is placed around 11000 levels. As the index bounced back on two occasions in the last 3 days after testing the said trendline, breach of this on closing basis can open up bigger downsides for the index. For time being, traders should remain neutral for couple of sessions, and index long positions if any shall be squared off on a close below 11100.

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Bulls have shown some strength to taken nifty back to recovery zone & finally closed the day above 11300 mark. Market took positive cues from the speculations that policymakers around the world would move to ease the economic fallout due to rapidly spreading coronavirus, ahead of a conference call by Group of Seven heads. Finance ministers from the group are expected to hold a conference call today. Efforts on developing drugs for treating Covid-19 are showing some results. Drugs to treat the novel coronavirus could be available by this summer or fall, US Vice President Mike Pence said on Monday. The Sensex rallied 480 points to settle at 38623 while Nifty ended at 11303, up 170 points. Nifty started the day from 11217 made a high of 11342 and low of 11152. 

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NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 27 FEBRUARY EXPIRY 2020

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Bears continued to grip the market. Market was off bit because of F&O expiry tomorrow 27 Feb. 2020 also tracking weakness in global peers amid concerns about the prospect of the coronavirus outbreak affecting world economy. The Sensex ended with losses of 392 points at 39889 and the Nifty ended at 11679, down 119 points from the previous close.

Investors awaited official macroeconomic data due by the end of the week for any signs of revival in economic growth. The government will release data on GDP or gross domestic product in the October-December period on Friday evening.

NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 26 FEB 2020

The Nifty opened higher as an attempt to rebound after 2 percent correction seen in the previous session, but turned volatile for the rest of the session and finally settled moderately lower on February 25. Traders remained concerned over the spread of the coronavirus in other parts of the world outside of China, including Italy, Iran, Kuwait, etc.The index closed a tad below 11,800 levels and formed a bearish candle on daily charts as closing was lower than opening levels. Stocks witnessed a lacklustre trade on Tuesday amid lack of any

NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 24 FEB TO 28 FEB 2020

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12150, 12250,12350

 PIVOT POINT: 12050

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  12000, 11900, 11800

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12100, 12150, 12200

PIVOT POINT: 12075

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  12050, 12000, 11950

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Cheers for bears... Week started on a negative note. Nifty came down to  12037 below 12100 mark  dragged down by banking stocks exposed to telecom operators after the government ordered mobile carriers to immediately pay the adjusted gross revenue (AGR) dues.Tuesday also Bears continued to cheer & took nifty near 11900 mark. Telecom sector issue, lower economic growth, unexpected quarterly earnings & threats of disruptions in business due to the coronavirus rife in China helped bears to growl. Nifty started the day from 12028 made a high of 12030 & low of 11908 & finally managed to close the day below 12000 mark at 11992 down by 53 points. Wednesday Nifty shown some recovery from coronavirus. Bulls cheered the reopening of factories in China. Finally bulls shown some strength & took nifty above 12100 mark. Nifty started the day from 12090 made a high of 12134 and low of 12042 & finally closed at 12125. On Thursday After a one-day blip, benchmark indices once again slipped into the negative territory on Thursday, pulled down by heavyweights such as Reliance Industries (RIL), HDFC Bank, TCS, HUL and Asian Paints. Further, investors awaited more clarity on US President Donald Trump’s statement ahead of his visit to India that the two countries were working on a major trade deal. Nifty ended the session at 12081, down 45 points. Thursday was  the last trading session of the week on account of a holiday on February 21 for Maha Shivratri.

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Bears continued to cheer & took nifty near 11900 mark. Telecom sector issue, lower economic growth, unexpected quarterly earnings & threats of disruptions in business due to the coronavirus rife in China helped bears to growl. Nifty started the day from 12028 made a high of 12030 & low of 11908 & finally managed to close the day below 12000 mark at 11992 down by 53 points.

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12200, 12300, 12400

 PIVOT POINT: 12100

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  12000, 11900, 11800

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12150, 12200, 12250

PIVOT POINT: 12110

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  12075, 12035, 12000

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Nifty Started the week on negative note. Sensex falls 162 points. Nifty50 remained in the negative terrain for the second consecutive session on February 10 as fast-spreading China's coronavirus raised fears over global growth. The index managed to defend 12,000-mark, but closed below 50-day exponential moving average (which placed around 12,054) and formed a bearish candle on charts as closing was far lower than the opening price.On Tuesday Bulls staged a smart comeback after 2 days of resting. Positive outlook by the principal economic adviser also aided domestic sentiment.  There have been some encouraging signs with respect to the spread of coronavirus as news reports suggested that the epidemic could plateau in the next few weeks. However, it continues to remain one of the key monitorable for global markets, including India. On the domestic front, the last leg of earnings announcement would induce stock-specific volatility. Further, key macroeconomic data like CPI, IIP and WPI would also be actively tracked by the investors and traders. The Sensex snapped 2-day losing spree & went up by 237 points at 41216 & Nifty reclaims 12100 up by 76. Though the market movements would be linked to global market sentiment in the short run, the ultimate direction would be decided by domestic earnings. On Wednesday Bulls come back strongly and pushed above 12200 mark tracking gains in Asian markets, on hopes that the worst of the coronavirus in China may have passed. Positive commentary from the government and some encouraging data from Reserve Bank of India also helped the market sentiments to get raised. The Sensex rose 350 points to close at 41566, while Nifty climbed 93 points to settle at 12201. On Thursday Bulls looked little scared as investors reassessed the scope of the coronavirus outbreak after China's Hubei reported a record rise in the death toll. A Surprise drop in industrial output for December and a rise in January inflation to a six-year high also dampened the sentiment. The Sensex dipped 106 points, to 41460 levels. The Nifty gave up the 12200 mark to settle at 12175, down 27 points. Indian indices were trading at day's low in final hour of Friday's session as banks and telecom stocks remained under pressure after the Supreme Court rejected the plea seeking new schedule of AGR payments and ordered contempt proceedings against Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea. The Sensex was trading 230 points lower at 41230 levels. The Nifty hovered around the 12100 levels, down 67 points & finally closed the week at 12113.

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 12000; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @12300

NIFTY PREDICTION FOR 14 FEB 2020

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Bulls looked little scared today as investors reassessed the scope of the coronavirus outbreak after China's Hubei reported a record rise in the death toll. A Surprise drop in industrial output for December and a rise in January inflation to a six-year high also dampened the sentiment. The Sensex dipped 106 points, to 41460 levels. The Nifty gave up the 12200 mark to settle at 12175, down 27 points.

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Bulls come back strongly and pushed above 12200 mark tracking gains in Asian markets, on hopes that the worst of the coronavirus in China may have passed. Positive commentary from the government and some encouraging data from Reserve Bank of India also helped the market sentiments to get raised. The Sensex rose 350 points to close at 41566, while Nifty climbed 93 points to settle at 12201.

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Bulls staged a smart comeback after 2 days of resting. Positive outlook by the principal economic adviser also aided domestic sentiment.  There have been some encouraging signs with respect to the spread of coronavirus as news reports suggested that the epidemic could plateau in the next few weeks. However, it continues to remain one of the key monitorable for global markets, including India. On the domestic front, the last leg of earnings announcement would induce stock-specific volatility. Further, key macroeconomic data like CPI, IIP and WPI would also be actively tracked by the investors and traders. The Sensex snapped 2-day losing spree & went up by 237 points at 41216 & Nifty reclaims 12100 up by 76. Though the market movements would be linked to global market sentiment in the short run, the ultimate direction would be decided by domestic earnings. So far, the quarterly results have been better than expected.

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Nifty Started the week on negative note. Sensex falls 162 points. Nifty50 remained in the negative terrain for the second consecutive session on February 10 as fast-spreading China's coronavirus raised fears over global growth. The index managed to defend 12,000-mark, but closed below 50-day exponential moving average (which placed around 12,054) and formed a bearish candle on daily charts as closing was far lower than the opening price.

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12150, 12250,12350

 PIVOT POINT: 12050

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  12000, 11900, 11800

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12100, 12150, 12200

PIVOT POINT: 12075

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  12050, 12000, 11950

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Nifty started the week at all time high level 12400 marks but all this ecstasy did not last too long. The markets started giving up right from the word go and before anyone could realize, we were significantly off the opening highs to enter a negative territory. In fact, things worsened as the day progressed and eventually, Nifty and Bank Nifty concluded the Monday’s session with severe cuts. Post the sell-off in Monday's session, the index opened Tuesday’s session marginally negative following the global cues. Nifty traded within a range of 70 points and ended the day with a loss of almost half a percent. The Nifty started trading for the Wednesday’s session on a positive note above the 12200 mark. However, it failed to show any follow up move post opening and corrected for the rest of the session to end with a loss of another half a percent. The Nifty opened marginally positive on Thursday and traded with a positive bias on the day of the weekly F&O expiry. It ended the session tad below 12200 mark with gains of six tenths of a percent. Shrugging off a weak start, Indian markets posted strong gains on Friday. The Sensex ended 226 points higher at 41613 while the Nifty ended the week 0.5% higher at 12248. Traders/Investors are now keeping a close watch on the February 1 budget for clues on the government's move to revive economic growth, which has slipped to a more than six-year low. Halting its four-day gaining streak, equity market ended in the negative territory on Friday amid worries over economic damage from the coronavirus outbreak and profit-booking in some of the recent outperformers. The  Nifty ended at 12086, down 51 points. 

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 12000; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @12250

Next week is likely to see a muted start, with 12100 and 12200 levels acting as strong resistance. Support may come in at 12000 and 11900. In the event of any consolidation, we may see the trading range getting broader than usual. In line with this, initial part of the week, index remained sideways and was clearly bucking the trend by not correcting as much as our benchmark did.

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.

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Bulls continued their forth March after the Reserve Bank of India policy announcement. Nifty closed above 12100 mark as mentioned in yesterday’s post. Nifty started from 12120 made a high of 12160 and low of 12084 & closed the day at 12137 up by 48 points.  MPC of Reserve Bank of India keeps the repo rate unchanged at 5.1%. With status quo on repo rate, the MPC also decided to continue with the accommodative stance as long as it is necessary to revive growth, while ensuring that inflation remains within the target. Here, GDP growth for 2020-21 is projected at 6 percent, in the range of 5.5-6 per cent in H1 and 6.2 percent in Q3.

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Nifty crossed 12000 mark like Indian cricketer “Rohit Sharma’s” sixer. As rohit Sharma hit the ball easily with his bat for hitting sixer in the same way nifty crossed nifty 12000 very easily & smoothly. It’s nature of market that every time it over reacts like it has done in the budget, now budget is over same consolidation what we were expecting is happening in the market now. Tracking higher global equities The Sensex rose about 350 points to 41142 while the Nifty settled at 12090 just a kissing distance away from 12100.

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After Saturday’s disappointed performance bulls shown some strength to comeback on ground. In range bound trading session nifty managed to close above Monday above 11700 mark up by 46 points. Nifty started the Monday session from 11627 made a low of 11614 and high of 11749. The Sensex settled 136 points, higher at 39872. It hit an intra-day high of 40014 and a low of 39563.After the Budget presented in last week 1 Feb 2020, investors are now looking forward to the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) February bi-monthly policy outcome. The central bank’s monetary policy committee (MPC) will begin its three-day meeting tomorrow, and will announce its decision on 6 Feb 2020. Most expectations are the central bank to maintain a status quo on Thursday, even as they remain divided on whether the central bank will continue to retain the 'accommodative' stance as regards the tone of the policy. The RBI  may maintain status quo on February 6, but sees the stance changing from ‘accommodative’ to ‘neutral’. Besides, the apex banks extend the pause to, at least, one more MPC meeting due to prolonged inflationary pressures.  The average inflation in Q4FY20 at 5.6%, and expect the RBI to revise upwards its inflation target for the next three quarters.

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Bears continue to grip the market in the 2nd day of Jan series expiry week!!! The Nifty came down below 12100 mark. The Sensex plummeted 188 points to end at 40966 level. The Nifty held the psychological mark of 12000, and ended marginally above the level at 12055 -mark, down 63 points. The key lower support area of previous opening upside gap of 9th Jan has been filled completely at 12045 and the Nifty failed to show any sustainable upside recovery from that gap support. It closed just above the lower gap area. This is negative indication.

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NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALLS FOR 23 JAN 2020

Blood bath on D-street!!! Nifty came below 12100 mark. Today, the markets witnessed a technical sell-off below the level of 12160 on weakness in banking stocks and sluggish corporate earnings report. Along with the rise in Asian markets, Nifty opened up with a gap of 50 points but failed to hold on to its initial gains and started trading below the psychological support of 12200. Below the level of 12160, Nifty fell to 12120/12100 levels.