Bulls continued to march upwards on Thursday with the sensex rising over 200 points amid gains in financial stocks. The Nifty closed at 13740, while the Sensex ended 0.48% higher at 46,890. At its session high, the Sensex was about seven points shy of crossing the 47000 level for the first time. Both the indexes have posted six consecutive weekly gains, boosted by record
Thursday, December 17, 2020
Monday, December 14, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 15 DEC 2020
The merry run continues across the globe and it’s been nearly one and half months now, markets are just continuing their gravity defying moves. During last week, our markets started on a flat note but immediately resumed its upward momentum. For the subsequent two trading sessions, the rally continued and in the process, Nifty kept posting new record highs one after another. The similar sort of one sided move was missing in the latter half of the week as markets saw some volatile swings to test the 13350 mark. Eventually, due to late recovery on both the occasions, Nifty managed to close tad above 13500 on Friday with weekly gains of nearly 2%.
Thursday, December 10, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 11 DEC 2020
The market failed to show resilience to stay above the Nifty level of 13480-13500. While it is subject to further price action evolution, our research suggests the technical factors are aligned to support a range between 13290 and 13480. Therefore, we advise the short-term traders to use any short-term rally to exit while attempting to buy on dip approach to adopt. The market breadth to deteriorate, indicating the likelihood of higher volatility in the market. Any downwards corrective wave should find buying interest around 13290-13300.
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Resistance: 13550,
13600, 13650
Support: 13450,
13400, 13250
Tuesday, December 8, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 08 DEC 2020
The Indian market ended with modest gains on Tuesday dragged by Sun Pharma and Hindalco. Market closes with minor gains Sensex & Nifty post record close. Nifty gains 37 points to 13393 & Sensex 182 points to 45609. Banknifty advances 50 points to 30262 & midcap index 11 points to 20439.
Wednesday, December 2, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 3 DEC 2020
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Market trimmed losses to end flat on Wednesday led by gains in metal, auto and IT sectors. However, gains were capped by a loss in financials and bank with both the sectors down over a percent each. The Sensex ended 37 points lower at 44618 while the Nifty rose 5 points to settle at 13114.
Thursday, November 26, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 27 NOV 2020
Nifty saw steep selling pressure on Thursday expiry day of November f&o settlement 26 nov 2020 after hitting a record high on Wednesday, as the index ended up forming a 'Bearish Engulfing' candle on the daily chart. The Indian benchmark equity indices, Sensex and Nifty ended 1 percent higher on Thursday led by robust gains in metal and banking stocks. All the sectoral indices ended in the green led by Nifty Metal that rallied over 4 percent. Rally in index heavyweights such as Tata Steel, Bajaj Finance, HDFC twins helped Nifty end the November series above the 12950 level. In an extremely volatile trading session, benchmark indices settled higher with more than 60-65% roll-over of open positions in the December 2020 series. With relaxation in SEBI norms in margin regulations.
Wednesday, November 25, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 26 NOV 2020
After long run bulls took breathe on Wednesday market slumped on Wednesday, reversing Tuesday's record rally, following broad-based selling to lock in profits. All sectoral indices, barring the Nifty PSU Bank index, were deep in the red. India VIX, the fear gauge, jumped 10%. Reversing gains made on Tuesday, Indian indices ended deep in the red today and in the process wiped out nearly 2 trillion worth of market capitalisation of BSE-listed firms. The Sensex ended nearly 1000 points off the day's high and 1.6% lower from previous close at 43828 while the Nifty lost 197 points to settle at 12858. Earlier in the session, Sensex had touched a record high of 44825 while Nifty had scaled13145 as investors cheered positive vaccine trial data and strong FII inflows.
Tuesday, November 24, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 25 NOV 2020
Nifty touched another milestone today as it crossed 13,000 for the first time and settled around the day’s high as well. The bias was upbeat from the beginning, thanks to the news of the successful trial of another COVID vaccine with high efficacy. It hovered in a range in the middle while movement on the stock-specific front kept the participants busy. Markets are celebrating the successful vaccine trials, ignoring the recent spike in the cases. Indications are in the favour of the prevailing up move to extend further but the pace could be gradual. We reiterate our view to focus on the selection of sectors and stocks as we’re seeing rotational buying across the board.
Friday, November 20, 2020
NIFTY WEEKLY PREDICTION & NIFTY TIPS FOR 23 NOV TO 27 NOV 2020
WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 13000, 13100,13200
PIVOT POINT: 12800
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 12700, 12600, 12500
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12900, 13000,13100
PIVOT POINT: 12850
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 12800, 12700, 12600
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
Nifty started the new Samvat & the new week with a gap up opening well above 12900 mark. It came off the opening high and then consolidated within a range of about 80 points throughout the day to end with gains of about three-fourth of a percent. Nifty started Wednesday on a flat note and witnessed a minor dip in the first couple of hours. The index managed to find support tad above the 12800 and then it witnessed upmove at the end to post gains of half a percent at close. Nifty started Thursday with a gap down following the negative global cues. However, the index recovered the losses post opening and even surpassed Wednesday’s high till noon. But then, the index again witnessed a gradual sell off and it breached the morning lows to end the day at the lowest point with a loss of more than 160 points. The market rebounded sharply on Friday, though could not recoup all its previous day's losses. The benchmark indices as well as broader markets participated in today's run up. On Friday Nifty closed at 12859, up 87 points and Sensex jumped 282 points to 43882
NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 12700; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @13100
After respecting the short term support of 12750, the Nifty clawed back from negative territory in a jiffy. We notice inclining volumes when markets are rising which is testament to a strong upside momentum. There is every possibility that we will achieve 13100 next week.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.
Thursday, November 19, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 20 NOV 2020
After long run bulls took breathe on Thursday. The increasing virus infections raised fears of additional restrictions and considering its impact on global economic activity, global market sentiments turned negative. This was in spite of the optimism surrounding the advanced stages of vaccine development. Market also witnessed profit booking from recent highs, as investors turned cautious. Deep cuts in the shares of Coal India (down 4.41%), SBI (down 4.40%), ICICI Bank (down 3.61%), JSW Steel (down 3.24%) and UltraTech Cement (down 3.15%) dragged the Nifty on Thursday, as nifty tanked 142 points to trade at 12796.
Friday, November 13, 2020
NIFTY WEEKLY PREDICTION & NIFTY TIPS FOR 17 NOV TO 20 NOV 2020
WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12800, 12900,13000
PIVOT POINT: 12700
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 12600, 12500,
12400
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY
DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12750, 12850,12950
PIVOT POINT: 12650
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 12580, 12530, 12450
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
Monday’s gap up open around record highs was clearly a cheerful reaction to the final verdict that came over the last weekend. Post the initial opening, markets extended the lead marginally and then witnessed some profit booking for nearly a couple of hours. However, since the overall undertone is still so strong, this small intraday dip was bought into to drive the Nifty to a new high of 12474. With Monday’s up move, Nifty has added another one and half a percent to the bulls’ kitty. Monday evening, global markets, especially Dow futures, just blew out after the news of advancement of COVID - 19 vaccines. At one point, NIfty was indicating levels beyond 12800. But this euphoria subsided towards the close of US markets and hence, tracking some nervousness early in the Tuesday morning in DOW futures, our market was less excited at the opening. We still managed to open nearly eight tenths of a percent higher and ended the session well above the 12600 mark. Quite similar to the recent trend, our markets started Wednesday on a positive note however after the first hour of trading the broader markets started witnessing profit booking that pulled Nifty lower into the negative territory. Eventually, this dip got bought into for Nifty to retest its morning highs and to end with gains of 0.93% tad at 12750. Thursday morning, the global peers looked a bit nervous and hence, we had a sluggish start to the trade. Till the midsession, markets corrected marginally but it was more of a sideways movement with mildly negative bias. However, as the Finance Minister’s press conference started, we witnessed some weakness to sneak below the 12650 mark. Fortunately, the market started to rebound from a kissing distance of 12600 post the press conference and eventually, ended the session with less than half a percent cut.The benchmark indices rebounded after a day of profit booking and closed marginally higher on November 13, ahead of muhurat trading tomorrow. Nifty closed friday above 12700 mark.
NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 12500;
STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @13000
This week we had a breakout with a ‘Breakaway Gap’ which
is followed by two back to back gaps, which can be termed as ‘Runaway Gaps’.
Such development happens in an extremely optimistic environment and hence, the
rally is likely to continue first towards 12800 – 13000. On the flip side, the
immediate support shifts higher around 12600 – 12400.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.
Finally, after eight days of marathon rally, the market ended its winning streak. One shouldn’t be too wary about it, because most of the events are behind us and technically, markets were a bit overstretched. So, some sort of breather was very much on cards. In fact, with reference to our previous article, we had mentioned how Nifty precisely met with its initial target of ‘Bullish Flag’ pattern around 12800 – 13000. But by no means, we expect a big price correction from here on, rather any decline is an opportunity to go long with a short to medium term view. Market generally experiences either ‘Time’ or the ‘Price’ correction. Looking at the recent development, we would rather expect the first scenario where we may see benchmark spending some time in a band of 400 – 500 points before resuming its northward trajectory. As far as levels are concerned, 12800 – 13000 remains to be immediate levels in the upward direction; whereas on the lower side, 12600 followed by 12400 are likely to provide decent support for the coming session. Market continues its spectacular run and this recent rally from 11500 has its own unique characteristic. It sailed through smoothly in the midst of the uncertainty, such a huge event effortlessly and this is very seldom to experience. Fortunately, we stood firmly and were hopeful around recent swing lows and in fact as we progressed last week, things were pretty clear in the latter half that the market is not going to stop soon.
Thursday, November 12, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 13 NOV 2020
Wednesday, November 11, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 12 NOV 2020
Market continued the record journey on the third consecutive day with eight straight session gains on November 11 supported by the metal, pharma and auto names. At close, the Sensex was up 316 points at 43593, and the Nifty was up 118 points at 12749. Indices witnessed a significant bout of volatility today but ended very much in the green buoyed by key pivotal across sectors. Metals & select Pharma names saw buying interest while investors bought into insurers in the broader market.
Monday, November 9, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 10 NOV 2020
Bulls went on a rampage today at the start of the week which promises everything right from Bihar Election results to Factory Output. A 200 point salute to the Nifty also brought about positive vibes across a host of Small & Midcap stocks in the broader markets. Markets started the week on robust note and made a new record high, taking cues from the global indices. The reaction was mainly in response to the news of Joe Biden winning the US presidential elections. Besides, noticeable buying in index majors especially from the banking pack further boosted the sentiment. Consequently, the Nifty index closed at 12461 levels, up by 1.6%.
Saturday, November 7, 2020
Thursday, November 5, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 6 NOV 2020
The bulls continued to dominate for the third successive day and posted noticeable gains, thanks to upbeat global cues. Nifty opened above the psychological hurdle of 12,000 in early trade and gradually inched higher as the session progressed. It finally settled at 12,120 levels; up by 1.8%. Nifty closed above the 12050 levels, which is bullish break out level for the market. Nifty has spent 175 days below the psychological level of 12000. It is the fastest recovery from the panic lows in the history of Indian markets. Rise in the US markets and fall in the dollar has helped the market to surpassed and closed above the level of 12000. Nifty is 300 points away from all-time highs and now we have to be more careful as traders make maximum mistakes near the highs.
Wednesday, November 4, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 5 NOV 2020
The Sensex gained 355 points to settle at 40616 levels while Nifty ended at 11908, up 95 points. A close contest in the US election spiked volatility in the global market after yesterday’s strong rally. However, the Indian market was not as volatile as the outcome is not expected to change the country’s strategic outlook. The election results are unlikely on the election night and it could possibly take much longer for the final results to come out.
Friday, October 30, 2020
NIFTY WEEKLY PREDICTION & NIFTY TIPS FOR 2 NOV TO 6 NOV 2020
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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11700, 11900,12100
PIVOT POINT: 11600
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 11500, 11400,
11300
WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY
PIVOT POINT: 11625
DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY: 11550, 11500, 11450
DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY
Our markets started the
proceedings for the October expiry week on a muted note owing to sluggish
global cues. However, as the day progressed, the trend became cautious on the
back of global jitters, especially from Europe. Due to the broad based selling
for the major part of the session, the Nifty went on to almost kiss the 11700
mark. Fortunately, the fall got arrested in the last hour to restrict
correction slightly over a percent. Tuesday Bulls took centre stage today led by Financials as Kotak Bank
led from the front buoyed by MSCI review. Afternoon trade witnessed FMCG taking
control ably supported by cement stocks. Broader markets also saw participation
across select counters. Benchmark indices regained some of the
previous session losses and ended higher with Nifty above 11,850 supported by
the Bank Nifty and Pharma names. At close, the Sensex was up 376 points at
40522, and the Nifty was up 121 points at 11889. Wednesday the
Sensex plunged below the 40,000 level and the Nifty50 index broke the 11,800
level. The benchmarks underperformed due to the heavy selling in the
financials. Index heavyweights HDFC and ICICI Bank remained the top
contributors behind Nifty's fall today. Both stocks traded over 3% lower. Thursday market ended lower for the day but
gained in the October expiry series. The Sensex ended 173 points to 39749 while
the Nifty50 index ended at 11670, down 59 points. Friday the Sensex dipped 250
points to 39520 levels. The index hit an
intra-day high and low of 39988 and 39242, respectively. The broader Nifty also gave up
the 11600-mark.
NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 11500;
STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @12000
we witnessed some choppy moves but the overall bias remained positive. In fact, we had mentioned how multiple technical indicators are in favour of bulls. All those observations still remain valid as long as we hold strong as well as crucial support zone of 11500 - 11300. Below this the short term trend reverses and hence, one should avoid aggressive longs in the market thereafter. Till then interpret this as a reaction to global development and stay hopeful for recovery. For the coming session, 11800 followed by 12000 would be seen as immediate resistances.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.
let’s dig into a bit of technical’s
and understand why 11500 – 11300 is considered to be a strong as well as
crucial support zone. If we connect all major highs from record highs in a
descending order, the trend line / pull back support comes around this level,
which coincides with the 20-day EMA as well. Hence, as long as this support is
not violated, one should adopt a buy on dips strategy. A close below 11500 –
11300 would result in a short term trend reversal and hence, traders should
start lightening up positions after it. Before this, intermediate supports are
at 11820 – 11775. Now, we are tad below 12000 and if we have to pre-empt any
direction, we expect the Nifty to surpass 12000 – 12050 levels in coming days
to head towards 12200 – 12400. If we are anticipating this to happen then there
has to be some technical evidences to back this hypothesis and they are as
follows: 1) The ‘RSI-Smoothened’ for Nifty on weekly time frame chart has
started moving northwards after entering a bullish territory above the 70 mark,
which is likely to provide impetus, 2) After a long underperformance, banking
started to show inherent strength and as we all know when financial starts
participating in any rally; it is to be considered the robust one. To add to
our conviction, the ‘ADX 14’ indicator on the daily chart is moving northwards
after surpassing the 25 mark. This development generally unfolds a big trended
move, 3) The undercurrent is strong and we are seeing different sectors
participating one after another and the way midcap index is poised, another
percent up move from hereon would confirm a strong breakout in ‘Nifty MIDCAP
50’ index. So, considering all this, odds are very much in favor of the bulls.
But since we are approaching a mega global event (US Presidential election), we
may see some volatility increasing and hence, keep a regular tab of all above
mentioned levels.
Tuesday, October 27, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 28 OCT 2020
Bulls took centre stage today led by Financials as Kotak Bank led from the front buoyed by MSCI review. Afternoon trade witnessed FMCG taking control ably supported by cement stocks. Broader markets also saw participation across select counters. Benchmark indices regained some of the previous session losses and ended higher with Nifty above 11,850 supported by the Bank Nifty and Pharma names. At close, the Sensex was up 376 points at 40522, and the Nifty was up 121 points at 11889.
Monday, October 26, 2020
NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 27 OCT 2020
Bears took the charge of Dalal Street on 26 October 2020 which pulled the Nifty below 11800 and Sensex by 500 points. Market saw more than 1% cut today as several countries in the European Union are slated to go into a lockdown. At close, the Sensex was down 540 points at 40145, and the Nifty was down 162 points at 11767. Auto stocks were pounded today on apprehensions of a softer festive season and the late afternoon selling in Metal stocks pushed Indices into red during the earnings season. Value Buying was witnessed today in Insurance companies and Midcap Cement.