NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TRADING TIPS FOR 15 APRIL 2024

Stocks to watch for Monday 15 Apr

GNFC,GODREJCP,HAVELLS,IRCTC,M&MFIN,MARUTI,SYNGENE,SUNPHARMA,NTPC,TCS TECHM,VOLTAS ALKEM,APOLLOHOSP,ASIANPAINT,BATAINDIA,BPCL,BRITANNIA,CIPLA,COFORGE,

On Friday, Indian benchmark indices concluded on a downtrend, with the Nifty hovering around 22,500 amidst widespread selling across sectors. The Sensex closed down by 793 points at 74244, while the Nifty was down 234 points at 22519.

Market Analysis:

The Nifty started the day with a gap down and continued to slide throughout the session, closing approximately 234 points lower. Technical analysis indicates weakness as the index breached and closed below the lows of the previous three trading sessions. The market sentiment was negative from the outset, with pressure on heavyweights across sectors. Pharma, FMCG, and banking sectors were among the top losers, while broader indices displayed some resilience.

Nifty 50 report Today10 April ; Indian Benchmark Indices Surge to Fresh Highs

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Overview:

Indian benchmark indices continued their upward trajectory on April 10, 2024, with the Nifty reaching a fresh record high. The markets displayed resilience and bullish sentiment, driven by positive global cues and rotational buying across sectors. Both the Sensex and Nifty witnessed gains of approximately 0.47% and 0.49% respectively, settling at 75,038.15 and 22,753.80.

Market Performance:

• The Sensex surged by 354 points to reach 75038.
• The Nifty climbed by 111 points to achieve 22753..
• Market breadth remained positive with 1761 shares advancing, 1617 declining, and 81 unchanged.

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Nifty Report: Trading tips for April 9, 2024

STOCKS TO WATCH FOR 9 APR

RECLTD

BSOFT

EXIDEIND

INDIACEM

JUBLFOOD

LICHSGFIN

NAUKRI

OBEROIRLTY

PIIIND

TATACHEM

PNB

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Indian benchmark indices are expected to continue their bullish momentum on April 9, following the positive sentiment from the previous trading session. The Nifty 50 and the Sensex surged to record highs on April 8, supported by favorable global cues and strong buying interest in key sectors such as auto, realty, and oil & gas. Despite some profit-taking in select stocks, the overall market outlook remains optimistic, driven by expectations of political stability and robust growth momentum.

Key Highlights from April 8:

• Sensex closed up by 494 points at 74742, while Nifty ended up by 152 points at 22666.
• Nifty Bank index also reached a record high, crossing the 48700-mark for the first time, driven by renewed investor optimism ahead of the Lok Sabha Elections in 2024.
• Top Nifty gainers included Mahindra & Mahindra, Eicher Motors, Maruti Suzuki, and Reliance Industries, while losers were Wipro, LTIMindtree, Adani Ports, Nestle India, and Apollo Hospitals.
• Majority of sectors contributed to the bullish momentum, with auto, energy, and realty among the top gainers.
• Market sentiment remained buoyant, supported by robust global cues and strong domestic fund flows.

Expectations for April 9:

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Overall Market Performance:

• The market ended flat on April 5 after the RBI's Monetary Policy Committee decided to keep key rates unchanged.
• Sensex closed at 74248, up by 20 points (0.03%), while Nifty closed at 22,513, down by 1 point.
• Midcap and smallcap indices continued their upward trajectory, gaining between 0.5% to 0.8%.
• Sectoral performance was mixed, with realty, FMCG, and banking sectors being among the top performers, while IT and energy sectors traded dull.

Key Observations:

Q4FY2024 Results Announcements: TCS, Infosys, HCL Technologies Dates Revealed

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As the new fiscal year begins, investors eagerly anticipate the release of the fourth quarter (ended March 2024) financial results from major tech companies. Among the first to unveil their performance are Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), Infosys, and HCL Technologies. These announcements provide valuable insights into the performance of the IT sector and the broader market.

Key Dates:

1. Tata Consultancy Services (TCS):

   • Date: April 12
   • Details: TCS Board of Directors will convene to approve audited standalone and consolidated financial results for FY2023-2024, and recommend a final dividend. The earnings call will take place at 19:00 hrs IST on the same day.

2. Infosys:

Title: HDFC Bank Shares: Target Prices Post Q4 Update

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HDFC Bank's recent Q4 business update has elicited varied responses from analysts, reflecting on the bank's performance and its future prospects. While deposit mobilization has remained strong, concerns persist regarding the bank's loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR) and its impact on medium-term loan growth. Here's a summary of analyst opinions and target prices for HDFC Bank post the Q4 update:

Analyst Insights:

1. Nomura India: Reiterates 'Neutral' rating with a target of Rs 1,625, citing downside risks to loan growth despite a 15% loan CAGR over FY24-26F.

2. HSBC: Sets a target of Rs 1,750 on the stock.

3. Morgan Stanley: Projects a target of Rs 1,900.

4. Macquarie: Sets a target of Rs 2,000.

5. Nuvama: Notes strong deposit growth but soft loan growth as part of the bank's consolidation strategy, suggests a target of Rs 2,000.

6. InCred Equities: Highlights improved credit-to-deposit ratio and expects stable margins, suggests a target of Rs 2,000, citing confidence in the bank's asset quality profile and potential positive surprises in operating leverage.

7. Motilal Oswal Securities: Suggests a target of Rs 1,950, emphasizing the anticipated rise in deposits despite moderate loan growth. Expects stable margins and asset quality for the merged entity in the March quarter.

STOCK PICKS FOR TOMORROW 5 APRIL 2024

EVENT FOR TOMORROW: RBI CREDIT POLICY

STOCKS TO WATCH TOMORROW

INDIAMART

IPCALAB

BANDHANBANK

BHARATFORGE

EXIDEIND

FEDERALBNK

HINDPETRO

IDEA

LICHSGFIN

POWERGRID

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Nifty Report & Outlook for Trading on 5 April

The Indian benchmark indices experienced a volatile trading session on April 4, with the Nifty surpassing the 22,500 mark amidst fluctuations. The Sensex gained 0.47%, closing at 74,227, while the Nifty climbed 0.36%, settling at 22,514. Analysis suggests a potential bearish reversal, indicated by the formation of a hanging man candlestick pattern at all-time high levels. However, a breakout of a rounding bottom pattern with significant volume offers a contrasting perspective. Moving forward, attention should be given to crucial support and resistance levels for strategic trading decisions.

Technical Analysis:

• Nifty:

  • The Nifty encountered selling pressure during the initial trading hours but managed to rebound, closing with gains.
  • Daily chart analysis indicates a potential bearish reversal signaled by a hanging man pattern.
  • Immediate support levels: 22,300 and 22,200.
  • Resistance levels: 22,600 and 22,650.
  • Momentum indicators suggest continued upward movement.
  • Short-term perspective: Minor pullbacks towards support zones offer buying opportunities.

"Pre-Market Prediction: AUBANK Identified as Top Gainer in Banking Sector"

Before today's market opening, we projected that the banking sector would dominate, with AUBANK, RBLBANK, and BANDHANBANK emerging as top gainers. Furthermore, in our pre-market stock analysis, we pinpointed AUBANK as a standout performer(Top Gainer)...To check visit https://niftytipsniftylevels.blogspot.com/2024/04/stocks-to-be-in-your-watchlist-for-04.html

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Title: Indian Equity Indices End Flat Amid Volatility on April 3

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In a day marked by considerable volatility, the Indian equity market closed on a relatively flat note on wednesday April 3rd. Despite opening with a downward gap due to weak global cues, the market showcased resilience as select heavyweights led a swift recovery, trimming early losses. However, the indices failed to sustain the momentum and eventually settled marginally lower. Here's a comprehensive report on the day's market performance:

Key Market Metrics:

• The Sensex closed down by 27 points at 73876.
• The Nifty saw a decline of 18 points closing at 22434.
• Market breadth was mixed with 2623 shares advancing, 914 shares declining, and 82 shares remaining unchanged.

Gainers and Losers:

• Major gainers on the Nifty included Shriram Finance, NTPC, TCS, Axis Bank, and Tech Mahindra.
• Among the losers were Nestle India, Bajaj Auto, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Britannia Industries, and Dr. Reddy's Laboratories.

Sectoral Performance:

• The Realty index experienced a decline of 2.5 percent, while the Auto index slipped by 0.4 percent.
• Conversely, the Power and PSU Bank indices surged by 1 percent each, and the Information Technology and Media indices saw gains of 0.5 percent each.

Midcap and Smallcap Movement:

• The BSE midcap index rose by 0.6 percent, while the smallcap index gained 1 percent.
• Buying traction persisted in the broader markets, with mid and smallcaps registering further gains.

Market Analysis:

Bharti Hexacom IPO Analysis and Review

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Bharti Hexacom, a subsidiary of Bharti Airtel, is set to launch its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in the market. The company focuses on communication services primarily in Rajasthan and northeastern states of India. This report aims to provide an analysis of the IPO, including key details, subscription status, Grey Market Premium (GMP), and a recommendation on whether to subscribe or not.

Key Details of the IPO:

IPO Dates: April 3rd to April 5th, 2024.

Price Band: ₹542 to ₹570 per share.

IPO Size: ₹1,924 crores raised from anchor investors.

Lot Size: 26 equity shares, with multiples of 26 thereafter.

Reserved Portions: 75% for Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs), 15% for Non-Institutional Investors (NIIs), and 10% for retail investors.

Offering: The IPO consists solely of an Offer-for-Sale (OFS) by Telecommunications Consultants India, selling 15% of the company's equity shares.

Subscription Status:

Overall Subscription: 5% as of the first day of subscription.

Retail Portion: Subscribed at 21%.

NII Portion: Subscribed at 6%.

QIB Portion: Yet to be subscribed.

Grey Market Premium (GMP):

Daily Stock Picks: IRCTC and SAIL Shine Again!

Just like every other day, today, the stocks IRCTC and SAIL, which we suggested yesterday, are among the top gainers. For more details, please visit:  https://niftytipsniftylevels.blogspot.com/2024/04/stocks-to-be-in-watchlist-for-3-april.html

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NIFTY REPORT FOR TRADING ON 3 APRIL 2024

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On April 2, 2024, benchmark stock market indices experienced a downturn, led by declines in information technology (IT) and financial sectors. The S&P BSE Sensex dropped by 0.15% to 73903, while the NSE Nifty50 index ended down by 0.04% at 22453. Despite recent record highs driven by strong performance in metal stocks, concerns over potential delays in US interest rate cuts impacted IT and financial stocks negatively. However, metal stocks continued to perform well, and smaller domestic-focused companies saw gains. Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail surged following plans to separate Madura Fashion & Lifestyle into a distinct listed entity. Individual Nifty50 stocks such as Bajaj Auto witnessed a rise, while Hero MotoCorp experienced a decline in total sales for March.

[Market Analysis]

Sensex and Nifty Performance:

The S&P BSE Sensex dropped by 0.15% to settle at 73903, while the Nifty50 index ended down by 0.04% at 22453.

Both indices experienced declines following recent record highs driven by strong performance in metal stocks.

Sectoral Performance:

Information Technology (IT) stocks fell by 0.71% amid concerns over potential delays in US interest rate cuts.

Financial services decreased by 0.22%, influenced by three consecutive days of gains and regulatory relaxations.

Metal stocks continued to perform well, with a 1.5% increase, supported by strong industrial data from China.

Smaller domestic-focused companies witnessed gains, with both small and mid-cap indices rising by approximately 1.20% each.

"Before the Bell: Anticipated Top Gainers and Losers as Markets Prepare to Open"🔥🔥🔥

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TOP LOSER

INDIAMART , INDUSTOWER, LUPIN 

TOP GAINER VOLTAS

RBI Monetary Policy Committee Meeting Report - April 2024

Date and Time of Meeting:

The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) convened for its first policy meeting of the fiscal year 2024-25 from April 3rd to April 5th, 2024. The announcement of the committee's decision was made by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das on April 5th at 10:00 am.

Overview of the Meeting: The MPC, chaired by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, comprises a total of six members. The committee deliberated on the prevailing economic conditions and financial indicators to formulate its monetary policy stance for the upcoming period.

Expectations and Market Analysis: Given the ongoing market fluctuations and the sensitivity of stocks to interest rate changes, analysts anticipated the RBI to maintain the status quo on the repo rate, which has remained at 6.5 percent since February 2023. This expectation was echoed by all 56 economists surveyed in a Reuters poll conducted from March 15th to March 22nd.

The prevailing sentiment among economists aligned with the view of maintaining the repo rate, despite a split regarding the timing of potential rate cuts in 2024. The median predictions suggested a gradual reduction to 6.25 percent by September and six percent by year-end. However, the majority opinion suggested the continuation of the current policy stance.

Previous MPC Meeting (February 2024): In the preceding MPC meeting held in February 2024, the committee opted to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 6.5 percent for the sixth consecutive meeting. This decision was influenced by inflationary concerns and a commitment to gradually withdraw accommodation while supporting growth. The vote resulted in five members favoring the status quo, while one member proposed a 25 basis point reduction in the policy repo rate.

Key Interest Rates: As of the February 2024 meeting, the key interest rates set by the RBI were as follows:

• Repo Rate: 6.5%
• Fixed Reverse Repo Rate: 3.75%
• Bank Rate: 6.75%
• Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) Rate: 6.25%
• Standing Deposit Facility Rate: 6.25%

Conclusion and Market Outlook: