NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK & REPORT NEXT WEEK 21 SEP TO 25 SEP 2020

FOR LIVE TRADING TIPS WHATSAPP ON 9039542248

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11600, 11800,12000

PIVOT POINT: 11450

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11300, 11200, 11000

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 11550, 11600,11700

PIVOT POINT: 11450

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11400, 11300, 11200

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

The global set up was just ideal Monday morning to have a head start for the new trading week. We began convincingly above 11500 and then slipped into a consolidation mode for the major part of the session. However post the midsession, the nifty took a nosedive and within a blink of an eye, we not only pare down gains but also sneaked well inside the negative territory. Fortunately a modest recovery at the end reduced the damage on a closing basis. The overnight rally in US markets had a rub off effect on almost all major Asian bourses. Hence, we too started the Tuesday session with a gap up opening despite Monday’s shaky session. Subsequently, similar to recent behaviour, index went into a consolidation mode and kept flirting around the 11500 mark. However from nowhere, a strong buying emerged in the banking conglomerates at the stroke of the penultimate hour. This pushed Nifty higher to end convincingly above 11500. We had a flat to positive start Wednesday despite Nifty indicating a sluggish start early in the morning. Similar to recent trend, the index consolidated in a small range throughout the first half. However, post the midsession, some strong buying emerged in banking as well as IT counters. This resulted into Nifty surpassing the intraday hurdle of 11570 to reclaim the 11600 mark. Thursday morning, the global markets looked nervous and hence, we were about to open lower after Wednesday's smart move. The Nifty was indicating a start below 11500 with more than 100 points cut; but fortunately, Nifty did not open in line with what nifty was indicating. In fact, post the initial hiccup, markets stabilized and recovered a bit. However, the global weakness eventually weighed down heavily and we corrected towards 11500 around the midpoint. Post this, some volatile swings were witnessed in a range of 50 points to eventually conclude the weekly expiry tad above the 11500 mark.

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 11300; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @11800

Indices seemed to have lost clear direction and are clearly trapped in a range. This week, we witnessed strong sell off from higher levels, it was almost the reverse action. With this week late surge in banking stocks, both Nifty as well as BankNifty are interestingly poised. For Nifty, if 11600 is taken out, we would see some extension towards 11700 - 11800 levels. On the flipside, 11400 followed by 11300 are to be seen as key supports.

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.

Although, this week weakness in our market has to do with the global cues, we are not surprised with it. Despite a strong tail end surge of this week, we avoided longs and had mentioned the configuration of the 'Bearish Wolfe Wave' pattern on the weekly chart. The observation has certainly proved its significance this week; but honestly speaking, this week  correction was nowhere close to a sell-off, rather can only be interpreted as a small profit taking. But having said that we continue to remain cautious and still do not expect the Nifty to surpass the sturdy wall of 11650-11700 soon. Going forward, 11450-11350 would be seen as crucial support and a move below this would trigger some decent correction thereafter. Since US Dollar Index and Equity markets are inversely correlated, any surge in this would lead to correction in our markets. Hence, it is important to take a note of this development as well.