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Markets started the week on a weak note, losing almost half a percent, following weak global signals. After the flat start, the benchmark gradually drifted lower throughout the day, but a minor recovery in the second half mitigated some losses. The Nifty opened on a flat note and saw selling pressure from the start of trade. It closed down 85 points. At the close, the Sensex was down 250 points, to 60431 and the Nifty was down 85 points, to 17770. Meanwhile, a handful of heavyweights dictated the trend, with profit-taking by the IT majors weighing heavily on sentiment. The pressure was also visible across the board, with both mid-cap and small-cap each down over a percent. Asian stock markets were mostly lower on Monday ahead of a US inflation update Tuesday, which traders fear could lead to more rate hikes. European markets were slightly higher on Monday as investors assess the economic outlook and the potential for further monetary tightening by the US Federal Reserve.
Nifty has formed a bearish engulfing pattern that
suggests more pain in the short-term. A break of 17720 could result in a faster
decline towards the 17515-17550 band. On an upward move, 17875 could be
difficult to break in the short-term. The Q3 season of corporate earnings could
end in the next two days. The majority of companies that have reported numbers
over the past few days have disappointed on the road and that is reflected in
today's poor advance decline rate. On the daily charts, Nifty faced selling
pressure from the 17875-17920 zone where resistance was placed in the form of
the 20-day moving average (17875). The Nifty has been range bound for a week
and until we get a decisive move above the 1875-17920 zone range bound action
is likely to continue should the dip be bought. Overall, from a short-term
perspective, we expect the Nifty to test the top end (18200) of the
down-sloping channel.
Resistance: 17800, 17900, 18000
Support: 17700, 17600, 17500
Very good calls........
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