Monday, April 3, 2023

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 5 APRIL 2023

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Domestic stocks were lackluster ahead of the RBI policy meeting outcome. Nifty opened higher but immediately gave up its initial gains to trade flat for most of the session. The benchmark indices experienced range-bound activity. The Sensex was up 114 points to 59106 and the Nifty was up 38 points to 17398. While some oil, gas and metals stocks saw intraday profit booking, among sectors the Auto and PSU Banks indices were both up over 1 %. The auto sector saw renewed interest after automakers released better-than-expected monthly earnings. The energy sector also remains in focus after Tata Power and Adani announced a tariff increase for the Mumbai region. Upstream oil companies were also in the spotlight after crude prices surged to a monthly high following OPEC's surprise production cut. The RBI policy announcement would be the key event to watch for this week, where investors would expect signs of a pause in rate hikes. This along with the shortened trading week would keep the market range bound. Investors believed that easing price pressures would give the central bank room to pause rate hikes. However, the surprise output cut by OPEC+ has raised concerns about inflationary pressures, which could prompt central banks to remain hawkish. The downward pressure on the market was alleviated as auto stocks rallied in response to the latest sales data, suggesting a surge in demand. In addition, India's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index beat expectations and posted the fastest growth rate in three months on increased production and new orders. Buying dips and selling rallies would be the best course of action for traders right now. In the near future, the key support and resistance levels of the index will be 17300-17200 and 17,500-17600, respectively.

Resistance: 17400, 17500, 17600   

Support: 17300, 17200, 17100

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