Monday, September 25, 2023

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION TRADING TIPS FOR 26 SEPTEMBER 2023

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Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty fluctuated between losses and gains and ended flat in a volatile market on Monday 25 September 2023. Global markets were mixed as investors weighed the possibility of another rate hike by the Federal Reserve and its impact on the economy. Stocks have come under pressure in recent weeks as bets have mounted that the Federal Reserve will need to maintain its aggressive monetary tightening stance well into next year to control inflation. Indian benchmark indices fluctuated between losses and gains during the day and ended flat in volatile trading on Monday. Sensex closed 14 points higher at 66023 while Nifty rose 0.20 points to 19674. On the daily charts, the Nifty has formed a doji candlestick formation, indicating a sharp clash between bulls and bears. However, a quick pullback rally from current levels is not out of the question. For the bulls, the 50-day SMA or 19625 would act as an important support zone. Furthermore, the market could rise to 19750-19950. On the other hand, another sell-off is possible only after the release of 19550, below which the index could slip to 19500-19400. Nifty formed a doji pattern on the daily charts. The Doji pattern indicates indecision among market participants regarding direction. Nifty is trading right in the 19575-19655 support zone and given the sharp decline in the last few trading sessions, a pullback looks very likely. On the hourly momentum indicator, we can observe a positive divergence and also a positive crossover, which also suggests that a pullback is likely. The decline can occur until 19800-19900, where important hourly moving averages and the gap area formed on September 21 are placed. In terms of levels, 19,600 19625 is the crucial support zone while 19825-19875 should act as an immediate hurdle zone.   

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