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Nifty closed lower on September 26 after opening slightly higher. It remained in a narrow 62-point band throughout the day before closing 10 points lower at 19664. Volumes on the NSE were the lowest since July 2003. The smallcap index ended in positive territory even as the advance drop ratio closed at 0.95:1. European and Asian stocks fell on Tuesday as growing fears that interest rates could remain elevated for longer, putting jitters on assets worldwide and pushing the dollar to a 10-month high. In Asia, investors continue to focus on the state of China's real estate sector following news that real estate group Evergrande was struggling to organize a process to restructure its debt, leading to a weakness in basic resources. The peak was reached in the first six months of fiscal 2024. Electricity demand in India reached an all-time high of 239.97 GW on September 1. However, August saw the highest average electricity demand of 216 GW as it was the driest August in a century. Even in September, an average power demand of 211 GW was recorded in the first 24 days, higher than 204 GW in May and on par with 211 GW in June. Nifty made a small number on September 26th with no predictive value going forward. Movement beyond the period 19600 to 19725 could lead to an accelerated movement in this direction. Nifty remained largely range-bound throughout the day as traders appeared uncertain. However, the short-term sentiment remains bearish as Nifty closed below the 21EMA. Looking ahead, the trend is expected to remain bearish as long as Nifty remains below the 19755 level. A support level is set at 19625, below which the index could decline further towards 19500.
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