Wednesday, April 16, 2025

NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 17 APRIL 2025

 Indian equity markets continued their upward momentum on April 16, ending the session on a positive note amid broad-based sectoral gains and improving domestic cues.

🔹 Key Indices Performance:

  • Nifty 50 closed at 23,437.20, up 108.65 points or 0.47%

  • Sensex closed at 77,044.29, up 309.40 points or 0.40%

The indices showed resilience despite global uncertainties and opened lower but recovered sharply by the end of the session.


📊 Technical Overview:

  • Nifty found strong support near 23,275 and formed a bullish candle on the daily chart.

  • It surpassed the 200-day EMA at 23,360 and closed near the day’s high.

  • Support Levels: 23,275 / 23,300

  • Resistance Levels: 23,450–23,500; extended resistance at 23,800

  • The runaway gaps from April 11 & 15 remain unfilled, reinforcing bullish sentiment.


🏦 Sectoral & Broader Market Highlights:

  • Top Performing Sectors:

    • PSU Banks (+2.45%)

    • Media, Oil & Gas (+1–2%)

    • Banking, FMCG, Energy

  • Underperformers:

    • Auto (-0.43%)

    • Pharma (-0.18%)

    • IT ended marginally negative

  • Broader Markets:

    • BSE Midcap up 0.5%

    • BSE Smallcap rose nearly 1%


🔝 Top Nifty Gainers:

  • IndusInd Bank

  • Axis Bank

  • Trent

  • ONGC

  • Asian Paints

🔻 Top Nifty Losers:

  • Maruti Suzuki

  • Hindalco

  • Bajaj Finance

  • L&T

  • Tata Motors


🌐 Global & Domestic Sentiment:

  • Global markets remained cautious amid rising US-China trade tensions, with US tariffs increasing to 245% on Chinese goods.

  • Domestic sentiment stayed positive due to:

    • 5-year low March CPI inflation (indicating possible rate cuts)

    • Expectation of a normal monsoon

    • Absence of major global negative surprises


📌 Outlook:

With Nifty sustaining above 23,400, a move toward 23,800 seems likely in the short term. However, the market is approaching a key resistance zone (23,450–23,500) and is showing signs of marginal overbought conditions.

Strategy for Traders:

  • Maintain a bullish bias as long as Nifty holds above 23,300

  • Watch for resistance near 23,800; booking partial profits could be considered there

  • Keep an eye on outperforming sectors like Banking, PSU, FMCG for stock-specific opportunities

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