NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 17 JULY TO 21 JULY 2023

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 19600, 19800, 20000

PIVOT POINT: 19500

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  19400, 19200, 19000

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

Indian equities saw general weakness on 10 July 2023 but the benchmark was able to stay slightly positive with support from strong buying in heavyweight stocks. The weakness was led by IT stocks as the sector is expected to start the Q1 earnings season with weak earnings. In addition, signals from US markets are unfavorable as concerns about another rate hike linger despite expectations of a quick cool down in future US CPI inflation data. Benchmark indices ended the volatile session on July 10th with modest gains. At the end the Sensex was up 63 points to 65344 and the Nifty was up 24 points to 19355. Profit-taking in late trade wiped out most early gains as major indices ended a volatile trading session with modest gains. Hiccups were seen ahead of the US monetary policy meeting later this month. There are enough signs that the Fed will target a rate hike this month to keep inflation under control. On 11 July 2023 Domestic stocks traded in positive territory after an encouraging handover from their global peers. Nifty opened higher and held steady throughout the session to close up 84 points (+0.4%) at the 19,439 level. Auto, FMCG, pharmaceuticals and consumer discretionary were the biggest gainers, each up more than 1%. The defense sector was in the spotlight on the eve of the Indian Prime Minister's visit to France, where several deals are likely to be signed, including a technology transfer agreement. Market now awaits Q1 results, IT sector starts tomorrow with expectations muted and focus on maintaining margin and improving long-term guidance. The upbeat sentiment is also supported by expectations of China's stimulus to shore up economic growth and hopes for a softening US inflation data. India's overall score is slightly above its long-term average, which is reasonable given strong earnings expectations for fiscal 2024. Pressures in the banking sector limit the upside while others are doing their best to propel the markets higher. While it may further delay the trend's resumption, sentiment is likely to remain positive. The Indian equity markets started the12 july 2023 session on a mild note, but the benchmark index refrained from continuing its northward journey and witnessed a small bout of profit booking during the initial half of the session. The bulls recouped some of the losses from the intraday lows of 19400 but succumbed to the strong selloff in the penultimate hours and slipped below Tuesday’s low. Amidst the whipsaw moves, the Nifty50 index concluded the day in negative terrain with a cut of 0.28 percent and settled below 19400 level. Tracking the positive global bourses, the Indian indices witnessed a buoyant start on 13 july 2023, wherein the benchmark index soared to uncharted territory and kept momentum during the initial half of the day. However, bulls failed to sustain the higher grounds and lost their grip during the second half of the session, which pared down a significant portion of gains. Eventually, post the volatile day of trade, the Nifty50 index concluded the session around 19400 levels, procuring 0.15 percent from the last closure. The market continued to post record highs on July 14, mostly led by information technology stock. At close, the Sensex was up 502 points at 66060, and the Nifty was up 150 points at 19564.

NIFTY: STRONG SUPPORT& STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL

For the trend following traders now, 19400 would be the trend decider level and could move up till 19800. Below 19400 , we could expect a one quick correction till 19400-19200.

 TECHNICALLY SPEAKING

The market seems to be flooded with strong FII inflows, and with US inflation moderating investors are hoping for a rate hike pause by the Federal Reserve later this month. On daily and weekly charts, Nifty has formed a bullish candle along with a breakout formation on intraday charts, which supports a further uptrend from the current levels. For the trend-following traders now, 19400 would be the trend-decider level and could move up to 19800. Below 19400 , we could expect one quick correction till 19,400-19,300. For Bank Nifty, the 20-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) or 44,500 would be the trend decider level. Above the same, the index could retest the level of 45200 -45600. On the other side, below 44600 the Bank Nifty could slip to the 50-day SMA or 44,000.

NIFTY OULTOOK FOR NEXT WEEK (15-NOV-2021 TO 18-NOV-2021)

The market snapped three-day losing streak on November 12 and regained the previous session losses led by the IT, power and realty names amid mixed global cues.At close, the Sensex was up 767 points at 60,686, while the Nifty was up 229 points  at 18,102.For the week, BSE Sensex and Nifty50 indices rose 1 percent each.The momentum which was lost during the week was regained as inflation worries started fading with investors shifting their focus to good quarterly earnings, economic recovery and strong domestic macro data points, The Nifty formed a bullish candle on daily scale and negated its lower highs - lower lows of two sessions, which suggests strength in the counter.At present, the index has a support level of 17,900, while resistance is at 18,250 levels. The index has moved above its strong hurdle zone of 18,000-mark which hints if prices managed to hold above the 18,000-mark, then one can expect a current pullback to extend further towards 18,200-18,300 zone, the immediate hurdle zone on the higher side.Also any dip near 18,000 mark will be again fresh buying opportunity.It formed a small bodied bullish candle on weekly scale with long lower shadow indicating declines are being bought despite profit-booking at higher zones.The index has to hold above 18,000 zones for an up move towards 18,250 and 18,350 zones. While on the downside, supports shifts higher to 17,900 and 17,777 levels. Next week would be crucial for the Nifty. If we can keep above 18,150 for a couple of sessions, the markets can scale higher to 18,400 and then 18,600. This will also take out the upper end of the current range which will add further momentum to the index.

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 18200, 18300, 18400

PIVOT POINT: 17900

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  17900, 17700, 17500

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

पुट और कॉल ऑप्शन का इस्तेमाल कहां होता है?

ट्रेडिंग टिप्स व्हाट्सप्प पर प्राप्त करने के लिए संपर्क करे 9039542248

इक्‍विटी डेरिवेटिव ट्रेडिंग से जुड़े कई शब्द आसानी से समझ में नहीं आते हैं. ऑप्शन, कॉल और पुट भी ऐसे शब्दों में शामिल हैं. क्या है इनका मतलब और बाजार के संदर्भ में कैसे होता है इनका इस्तेमाल, यहां जानते हैं !

1. क्या हैं इक्विटी ऑप्शन?

दही आप खाते होंगे. इसके दाम दूध पर निर्भर करते हैं. दूध महंगा होगा तो दही के दाम भी बढ़ जाएंगे. ठीक इसी तरह इक्विटी ऑप्शन की वैल्यू निफ्टी और बैंक निफ्टी जैसे इंडेक्स पर निर्भर करती है. इन इंस्ट्रूमेंट के दो प्रकार होते हैं. कॉल और पुट ऑप्शन. आप इंडेक्स या किसी शेयर के कॉल और पुट में ट्रेड कर सकते हैं !

2. कॉल और पुट ऑप्शन क्या हैं? कॉल के खरीदार को एक तय तरीख और निश्चित मूल्य पर अंडरलाइंग (जिनकी कीमतों के घटने बढ़ने पर कॉल पर असर होगा) स्टॉक खरीदने का अधिकार मिलता है !

यह प्रीमियम चुकाकर खरीदे जाते हैं. यह कुल कीमत का एक हिस्सा होता है. इसी तरह पुट में खरीदार को शेयरों को बेचने का अधिकार मिलता है. कॉल बेचने वाले विक्रेता को खरीदार से प्रीमियम मिलता है. इसे कॉन्ट्रैक्ट के मूल्य पर खरीदार को शेयर देने होते हैं. इसी प्रकार पुट विक्रेता को शेयरों को बेचना होता है !

3. वास्तव में ये कैसे काम करते हैं?
मान लेते हैं कि 29 अप्रैल 2021 को ट्रेडर निफ्टी की 14300 की एक कॉल खरीदता है. इसकी मियाद 29 अप्रैल 2021 को खत्म होनी है. मान लीजिए कि कॉल के हर एक शेयर की कीमत 62 रुपये है !

एक कॉन्ट्रैक्ट में 75 शेयर होते हैं. मान लेते हैं कि 29 अप्रैल 2021 को निफ्टी 14500 रुपये पर बंद होता है. इस तरह 14300 की कॉल में 100 रुपये को 'इन द मनी' कहा जाएगा. इसमें कॉल बेचने वाला ट्रेडर को 100 रुपये के अनुपात में भुगतान करेगा. यानी ट्रेडर को 62 रुपये के हर शेयर पर 38 रुपये का फायदा होगा. यह कुल निवेश पर रिटर्न का 61 फीसदी है !

अब मान लेते हैं कि निफ्टी 14300 की बजाय 14200 पर बंद होता है. इस मामले में 14300 रुपये की कॉल में 100 रुपये को 'आउट ऑफ द मनी' कहेंगे. इसमें कॉल खरीदने वाला बिक्री करने वाले के हाथ पूरे के पूरे प्रीमियम (62 रुपये) की रकम गंवा देगा !

यही बात पुट के लिए भी लागू होती है. बस अंतर यह है कि इसमें निफ्टी के गिरने पर खरीदार को फायदा होगा. वहीं, निफ्टी के बढ़ने पर विक्रेता प्रीमियम को रख लेगा !

4. फ्यूचर से यह कैसे अलग है?

उहादरण में आपने देखा कि खरीदार का नुकसान दिए गए प्रीमियम तक सीमित होता है. लेकिन, कॉल और पुट के विक्रेता का नुकसान असीमित हो सकता है. व्यावहारिक रूप से कॉल और पुट के खरीदार को असीमित फायदा हो सकता है. फ्यूचर के मामले में खरीदार या विक्रेता के नफे-नुकसान की सीमा नहीं होती है !

NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK & MAY EXPIRY TRADING TIPS 3 JUN TO 7 JUN 19

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12050, 12150, 12250

 PIVOT POINT: 11900

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  11800, 11700, 11600

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 12000,12050,12100

PIVOT POINT:11900

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  11850,11800,11750

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

The market closed the volatile day as well as week on the negative side after cabinet announcement under Modi 2.0. At close, the Sensex was down 117 points at 39714, while Nifty was down 23 points at 11922. Post the election week, our markets opened slightly higher despite Nifty indicating a sluggish start. Our markets decoupled from the global peers last Monday; but it was evident also considering the major event on the domestic front. But it seems that the rub off effect is still there and yesterday too, we did not even try to peep what other global markets are doing. We had a trended move throughout the day with less momentum to add another seven tenths of a percent to the bulls’ kitty. After last week’s wild swings, the volatility was likely to subside and considering the overall development on Friday, we were expected to have a steady up move on Monday. Markets did not disappoint and Monday’s intraday move was very much on expected lines. We continued our march towards the mount 12k which needs to be conquered on a sustainable basis. Tuesday, there were no major triggers on the global as well domestic front and hence, we had a flat to positive start tad above the 11950 mark. However it turned out to be a formality as we saw open-high kind of scenario to immediately pull the market lower. During the most part of the day, index remained under a bit of pressure and hence the Nifty spent most of its time below 11900. Fortunately, due to some late recovery, the nifty finally managed to reclaim this psychological mark by concluding with a negligible gain. Wednesday, we opened lower as indicated by the SGX Nifty which was followed by some consolidation throughout the first half. However, in the latter half, the selling intensified across the globe and in this course of action; we slipped below the 11900 mark on a closing basis. Thursday, the global set up early in the morning was not so encouraging; but despite this our markets kicked off the day on a flat note and right from the word go, the buying emerged at lower levels. This was followed by a good trended up move throughout the remaining part to reclaim the 11900 mark. In fact, it didn’t look like a derivative expiry day as there were no wild swings or major volatility seen. Eventually, the Nifty ended tad below 11950 to register highest ever close for our index Nifty.

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 11800; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @12000

NIFTY PREDICTION & FREE NIFTY TIPS FOR 01 march 2018

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NIFTY is on a SIDEWAYS course, as top end of the band @ 10630, pushes NIFTY on back-foot

The downside rally could test all the way through 10450-10300 levels in the upcoming weeks

On Tuesday, Matching global cues index opened gap up but could not hold the gainsas PSU banks were under selling pressure which overall took away the positive sentiment and Nifty was trading around crucial levels of 10640 which it could not sustain.The Sensex has opened at 34155 made a high of 34302 and low of 34076 and closed at 34184 , loss 162 points. The nifty future has opened at 10495 made a high of 10555 and low of 10466 and closed at 10519 with loss 44pointsThe Sensex ended lower by 162.35 points or 0.47 per cent at 34,184.04 and the Nifty closed down by 61.45 points or 0.58 per cent at 10,492.Domestic sentiment was hit as fears of faster interest rate hikes in the United States hurt investor risk appetite. Traders also remained wary ahead of IIP data for February and December quarter GDP numbers to be published later today.Later the index slipped to sub-10,540 mark and finally after a narrow range oscillation, finished trade with the loss of 28 points at 10,554 level.On a daily chart, the Nifty closed below its 22&55 days moving average which is placed at 10557 level which shows negative momentum in the Index.Today, the start of the session is likely to be on negative side on weak global cues and traders will be eyeing the dataprint for the December quarter GDP and fiscal deficit data that will be announced later in the day. Asian and European markets exhibited mixed trend ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s highly anticipated first congressional testimony later in the day.A break on the lower side 10460 of the trading range will open the doors for testing of 200dma(10090).

For the coming session, 10600 – 10640 would continue to act as immediate resistance; whereas, 10460 - 10380 remains to be an important support zone. However, in case of further decline, its 200-day moving averages (placed at around 10,090 level) will continue to work as key reversal point.Nifty continues to move in a range (10400-10640). This can be termed as a Consolidation with a bearish bias. A narrow range seems like a precursor of a bigger move which is likely to follow. A break on the upper side of the range will lead the Nifty to test 10670-10700; whereas a bearish  breakout to the trading range will lead the Nifty towards the Flag target of 10400/10290.

Resistance: 10600, 10640, 10670, 10700

Support: 10500, 10470, 10400,10290

NIFTY VIEW & NIFTY FUTURE LEVELS FOR TOMORROW 09 AUG 2017

Today markets saw a major downturn as banking stocks took serious blows after Sebi directed bourses to initiate action against 331 suspected shell companies on Monday. The Sensex lost 260 points to close on 32014 for the day while the Nifty future ended trading on 10004 down by 87 points. Analysts had said that the 9975 level would be crucial for Nifty future amid losses. The markets had opened on a positive note and recovered losses incurred on Monday. But, soon the bourses slipped into the red with Sensex losing as much as 359 points to hit the day-low of 31915 in intra-day trade. Nifty future too lost 87 points to hit day-low of 10004.

NIFTY TECHNICAL REPORT DAILY & WEEKLY CHARTS FOR NEXT WEEK 31-08 -2015

YESTERDAY'S ICICIBANK CALL ROCK..!!!! ALL THE TGT ACHIEVED 

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 8091, 8170, 8303, 8436

PIVOT POINT: 8037

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  7958, 7904, 7771,7638

DAILY CHAT FOR NIFTY:

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 8126, 8304, 8713,9122

PIVOT POINT: 7895
WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY :  7717, 7486, 7077,7000

WEEKLY CHAT FOR NIFTY:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR NIFTY

In last previous sessions, as we have predicted that in NIFTY BEARS CAN MOVE TOWARDS 8100 And nifty was achieved target of 8100 made low of 7665 in this week. Sensex rose 161 points or 0.61 percent to 26392 and the Nifty climbed 53 points or 0.67 percent to 8001. However, the broader markets under performed benchmarks, closing flat post 3.6% weekly loss. Nifty future opened on a firm note with a gap and after some consolidation, moved up to a high of 8089 and closed in the red. In line with expectations, the touchline formation in charts two days ago gave its positive effect. This Rally could be attributed partly to short covering on the back of firm global markets, so follow up buying is needed for it to be sustainable. On the lower side, 7940 is the immediate support. 7900, 7854, 7770, 7720-7630 are important levels and a beach of 7630 will signal resumption of the downswing. On the higher side,8048 is the immediate resistance. 8091, 8170, 8303, 8436 are important levels for upside. it has closed above 7940 region signalling a breather in the downswing, but it must now move decisively above 8080 for some meaningful pullback.