NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 10 MAY TO 14 MAY '2021 👇

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14900, 15100,15300

PIVOT POINT: 14700

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14500, 14300, 14100

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14850, 14900, 15000

PIVOT POINT: 14820

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14750, 14700, 14650

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

On Monday market recovered from the early losses and ended on flat note in the highly volatile market on 3 may 2021 at close, the Sensex was down 63 points at 48718. Index opened a day with a strong gap down but managed to recover all day loses in the second half and closed a day at 14,634 with minimal loss & formed a bullish candle on daily chart. Market fell for the second times in three days on 4 May 2021 , following concerns over FPI selling in the recent past and further action expected to combat the Covid situation. Asian stocks were largely lukewarm on Tuesday as a continuous surge in COVID-19 cases kept investors on the sidelines amid holiday-thinned trade. .Nifty has come under pressure as India’s official tally of coronavirus infections surged past 20 million, IPL cricket tournament has been suspended with immediate effect and corporate management commentary remained cautious on Q1 performance due to lockdowns. Fears of stricter lockdowns also brought caution amongst traders. The indices erased all intra-day gains to end in the negative territory on Tuesday. The sensex ended at 48253, down 465 points while the nifty   closed just shy of 14,500. Indian market rose on 05 may 2021 after the RBI announced measures to further support the economy as coronavirus cases continue to surge. Volumes on the NSE were in line with recent averages. Among sectors, Healthcare, Banks and Metals were the main gainers while Realty was the loser. Nifty formed an inside day on Wednesday, meaning that the high low range for the day was within the high low range of the previous day. However the Nifty closed near its intraday high. Advance decline ratio too became positive.  Benchmark indices and broader markets closed with gains for the first time this week. The sensex closed at 48677 up 424 points. nifty  managed to end at 14617. The indices Sensex and Nifty have been witnessing volatility amid the second COVID-19 wave. Due to this, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) turned net sellers in the month of April, after being net buyers for six consecutive months. The US and other developed markets outperformed in the previous month, which encouraged near term shift of money. Sensex was just shy fo 4900 & Nifty was already above 14700 on the weekly expiry day Thursday 06 may 2021. Monsoon rains that mark the start of the four-month rainy season are likely to enter India through the southern coast around June 1, in line with typical patterns, a top government official said on Thursday. India’s weather office will issue its official forecast for this year's monsoon onset on 15 may 2021, Madhavan Rajeevan, secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences, said in a tweet. Indian benchmark indices rose for the third consecutive session on May 07. Nifty gained 1.3% over the week, gaining for the second consecutive week. Equity markets continued their upward march on Friday and closed the week’s last trading session with gains. The Sensex ended just above 49200 while the Nifty closed at 14823.

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 14500; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 15200

The markets have held 14800 smartly! We need to see if these levels can hold on Monday; if it can, we should be headed to 15000. If we do not hold, we will retrace back to the support levels of 14500. Holding 14400 is imperative for the Nifty.

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.

Nifty closed the week with a marginal gain of 1.74%. The candle for the week is a bullish green candle that closed at the high of the week. Though we have not seen a range expansion. A candle with no lower shadow closing at the high of the week can be considered to be a bullish development. Nifty needs to break above 15000-15050 if the rally has to continue. From the weekly time frame, we can deduce that buyers have gain traction during the week. But the last point of resistance remains at 15000-15200 zones. The consolidation in Nifty is significant and if break above 15100-12000  materializes we should see a sharp rally in the weeks to come. If Nifty slips below 14600 expect some decline to the 14300-14200 zone.

NIFTY OUTLOOK & STOCK FUTURE LEVEL FOR 04 MAY 2021

A fantastic recovery led by metals with a host of stocks in the Indian markets from sugar to rice to tea and coffee kept the screen lively in a highly volatile trading session. Market recovered from the early losses and ended on flat note in the highly volatile market on 3 may 2021   At close, the Sensex was down 63 points at 48718. Index opened a day with a strong gap down but managed to recover all day loses in the second half and closed a day at 14,634 with minimal loss & formed a bullish candle on daily chart. 

The overall structure still looks cautious until trading below 14700 zones. On the higher side, index has stiff hurdle at 14750 -14825 zone, profit booking is suggested around said levels. Fresh breakout will be only above 14850 zone and good supports are placed at 14550 -14500 zone.

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Resistance: 14800, 15000

Support: 14600, 14400

पुट और कॉल ऑप्शन का इस्तेमाल कहां होता है?

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इक्‍विटी डेरिवेटिव ट्रेडिंग से जुड़े कई शब्द आसानी से समझ में नहीं आते हैं. ऑप्शन, कॉल और पुट भी ऐसे शब्दों में शामिल हैं. क्या है इनका मतलब और बाजार के संदर्भ में कैसे होता है इनका इस्तेमाल, यहां जानते हैं !

1. क्या हैं इक्विटी ऑप्शन?

दही आप खाते होंगे. इसके दाम दूध पर निर्भर करते हैं. दूध महंगा होगा तो दही के दाम भी बढ़ जाएंगे. ठीक इसी तरह इक्विटी ऑप्शन की वैल्यू निफ्टी और बैंक निफ्टी जैसे इंडेक्स पर निर्भर करती है. इन इंस्ट्रूमेंट के दो प्रकार होते हैं. कॉल और पुट ऑप्शन. आप इंडेक्स या किसी शेयर के कॉल और पुट में ट्रेड कर सकते हैं !

2. कॉल और पुट ऑप्शन क्या हैं? कॉल के खरीदार को एक तय तरीख और निश्चित मूल्य पर अंडरलाइंग (जिनकी कीमतों के घटने बढ़ने पर कॉल पर असर होगा) स्टॉक खरीदने का अधिकार मिलता है !

यह प्रीमियम चुकाकर खरीदे जाते हैं. यह कुल कीमत का एक हिस्सा होता है. इसी तरह पुट में खरीदार को शेयरों को बेचने का अधिकार मिलता है. कॉल बेचने वाले विक्रेता को खरीदार से प्रीमियम मिलता है. इसे कॉन्ट्रैक्ट के मूल्य पर खरीदार को शेयर देने होते हैं. इसी प्रकार पुट विक्रेता को शेयरों को बेचना होता है !

3. वास्तव में ये कैसे काम करते हैं?
मान लेते हैं कि 29 अप्रैल 2021 को ट्रेडर निफ्टी की 14300 की एक कॉल खरीदता है. इसकी मियाद 29 अप्रैल 2021 को खत्म होनी है. मान लीजिए कि कॉल के हर एक शेयर की कीमत 62 रुपये है !

एक कॉन्ट्रैक्ट में 75 शेयर होते हैं. मान लेते हैं कि 29 अप्रैल 2021 को निफ्टी 14500 रुपये पर बंद होता है. इस तरह 14300 की कॉल में 100 रुपये को 'इन द मनी' कहा जाएगा. इसमें कॉल बेचने वाला ट्रेडर को 100 रुपये के अनुपात में भुगतान करेगा. यानी ट्रेडर को 62 रुपये के हर शेयर पर 38 रुपये का फायदा होगा. यह कुल निवेश पर रिटर्न का 61 फीसदी है !

अब मान लेते हैं कि निफ्टी 14300 की बजाय 14200 पर बंद होता है. इस मामले में 14300 रुपये की कॉल में 100 रुपये को 'आउट ऑफ द मनी' कहेंगे. इसमें कॉल खरीदने वाला बिक्री करने वाले के हाथ पूरे के पूरे प्रीमियम (62 रुपये) की रकम गंवा देगा !

यही बात पुट के लिए भी लागू होती है. बस अंतर यह है कि इसमें निफ्टी के गिरने पर खरीदार को फायदा होगा. वहीं, निफ्टी के बढ़ने पर विक्रेता प्रीमियम को रख लेगा !

4. फ्यूचर से यह कैसे अलग है?

उहादरण में आपने देखा कि खरीदार का नुकसान दिए गए प्रीमियम तक सीमित होता है. लेकिन, कॉल और पुट के विक्रेता का नुकसान असीमित हो सकता है. व्यावहारिक रूप से कॉल और पुट के खरीदार को असीमित फायदा हो सकता है. फ्यूचर के मामले में खरीदार या विक्रेता के नफे-नुकसान की सीमा नहीं होती है !

NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 26 APRIL TO 30 APRIL'21

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14400, 14600,14800

PIVOT POINT: 14300

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14200, 14000, 13800

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14375, 14475, 14575

PIVOT POINT: 14325

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14275, 14175, 14075

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

This week trading begin on bearish note. Bears returned to Dalal Street and dominate Monday’s trading session, pulling down the market sentiment. market ended lower on April 19 amid fears of impact of the second wave of Covid-19 and the consequent lockdowns on the economy. Nifty has formed a second down gap in 5 days signifying the underlying weakness. However, the close today was near the intraday high thereby making a hanging man type of formation. This could mean some more upside recovery in the near term. However, at higher levels, markets will keep seeing repeated selling given the impact of Covid second wave on businesses and the economy. The Sensex closed 882 points lower at 47949 while the Nifty dived to close at 14359. Bears wreaked havoc on equity markets pulling down almost all segments of the market. The Delhi government on Monday announced a six-day lockdown in the capital city, after Covid cases there out numbers every other city in the country. Tuesday’s volatile session ended on bearish note. Nifty closed the day below 14300 mark at 14296 lower by 63 points sensex closed the day at 44705 down by 243 points. Indices were dragged down by selling in IT, financials and FMCG stocks. Wednesday market was closed on occasion of ram navami. On Thursday After opening on bearish note bulls shown some strength & took market above 14400 & closed the day 109 points up at 14406. The Sensex closed 374 points higher at 48080 Bank stocks came back from the lows with ICICI Bank gaining 3.6% to end as the top Sensex gainer. It was followed by HDFC, Bajaj Auto, and HDFC Bank. Titan, Hindustan Unilever and Asian Paints were the top drags. Volatility inched higher and closed above 23 levels. Bank Nifty was the top sectoral gainer. Amid increasing covid-19 cases, the domestic market recovered from its early losses backed by positive cues from global markets. The market has been going through a correction phase following increasing covid cases, in spite of the optimism due to vaccination drives. Though earnings outcome is expected to have stock-specific movements in the coming days, broader movement in the market will depend on fall in covid cases. On Friday Sensex closed 202 points, lower at 47878 while the Nifty closed 65 points down at 14341. Markets sought to ignore a potential hike in US capital gains tax to nearly 43% for wealthy individuals. The result was a bounce from opening lows, but the optimism as such could not sustain and profit booking emerged as Nifty approached the 10-day exponential moving average. Traders seemed reluctant to carry overnight gains into the weekend, amid rising COVID-19 numbers

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 14200; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 14500

The market failed to show resilience to stay above 14,400. While it is subject to further price action evolution, the technical factors are aligned to support a lackluster market movement going forward.  Any corrective wave down should find support around 14200 -14000. Traders should refrain from building a fresh buying position until we witness a correction till 14200 -14000 or a breakout above the 14500.

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.

he focus of the investors and nation has shifted to sudden rise in Covid cases. The central government has said that they don’t intend to announce national lockdown to control the Covid infection and has also advised State governments to use lockdown as last measure. However, many states have announced varied degrees of restriction on movement of people depending on the severity of the situation in their region. This is expected to impact the economy in this quarter and there have been downgrades to India’s growth in FY22 by upto 1%. The pace of vaccination will be crucial for quicker normalisation of economic activity. The corporate have started announcing results for the March quarter and there are no major disappointments so far. Consensus is expecting sharp increase in net profit due to the Covid-led disruption in the base quarter. It will be important to observe comments of Banking and domestic consumer oriented companies about impact of recent surge in Covid infection on their business.  Nifty is trading at 21 times 1 year forward EPS, which is close to all time high. Hence upside from valuation rerating is limited and one needs to watch if there are any earnings downgrade due to emerging Covid situation. We have seen the recovery in the market from the level of 14200 yesterday and we expect the market to continue to sustain the level and continue the rally till the level of 14,500-14700. The market could range in between the levels of 14200 -14500 as the uncertainty looms in the market. On the sectoral front, the market has been mixed with no clear direction though the power sector has gained some momentum and has helped the market to stay positive.

Will Rising Covid Cases Turn Market More Volatile Next Week?

NIFTY WEEKLY PREDICTION & NIFTY TIPS FOR 19-04-2021 TO 23-04-2021

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14700, 14900,15000

PIVOT POINT: 14500

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14300, 14100, 13800

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14650, 15000, 15100

PIVOT POINT: 14600

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14500, 14400, 14300

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Our markets started the week with a gap down on back of worries over  rising  cases  of Covid-19  in our  country  in this  second wave.  Our markets  completely  ignored  the  global  cues  yesterday  and  post  the gap down, we witnessed a sell-off across and ended the day tad above  14300, with a deep cut of over three and a half percent. On Tuesday, Nifty started marginally positive and approached the level of 14450 in the first hour of the trade. This level coincided around the previous support which now was the immediate resistance. The index hesitated there and pared the gains before noon itself to sneak below 14300. The  index  consolidated for  a  while  in a  range and when it looked that the market was unable to sustain at higher level, the index once again  made an attempt  to  surpass the morning highs. With  the help  of  the  Banking  and  Financial  space,  Nifty  rallied  sharply  in  last couple of hours and ended the day tad above 14500, marking gains of almost 200 points. Wednesday market was closed due to baba ambedkar jayanti. Nifty started the weekly expiry day Thursday marginally positive as the IT giant Infy opened with a gap down post its results. Nifty then corrected for the initial couple of hours to mark a low around 14350. Market witnessed volatile session but manages to end near the day's high level on April 15 despite rising covid cases and wholesale inflation data. At clsoe, the Sensex was up 259 points at 48803, and the Nifty was up 76 points at 14581.  The benchmark indices ended marginally higher on Friday amid positive cues from global markets. At the end of today's session, the Sensex was hovering around 48800 while Nifty 50 closed above 14600. 

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 14300; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 14900

We have already seen a week full of action in a couple of sessions with indices showing sharp swings on  both the  days.  Nifty  breached its short term support on Monday, but it reclaimed the 14500 mark next day. The sharp recovery certainly seems enticing, but still we advise not to  get  carried  away  as  we  may  still  not  be out  of  the  woods. The bearish  gap area and  the  ‘20-day exponential moving  average’  at 14700-14900 remains a sturdy wall which could be difficult to surpass.

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.

A continued surge in the second wave of COVID-19 cases in the country, which already crossed 2 lakh daily cases, has certainly posed a risk to the sustainability of the rebound of earnings momentum. While the government's strong effort to expedite vaccination progress and absence of complete lockdown in Maharashtra and Delhi offered some comfort to equities, the risk of other states taking steps of wider economic restrictions continues to persist, which may continue to weigh on investors' sentiments in the near term. Overall if we see, major indices have gone nowhere as it was a week of boredom and consolidation for them. There were one or two odd days when we witnessed some action in index heavyweights; but didn’t last too long as breakout attempts on either sides were turned unsuccessful. In the upward direction, we were seeing 14900 as a crucial hurdle on a closing basis and after nearly twelve trading sessions, bulls attempted to break this barrier on an intraday basis; but failed to maintain at the close. So 14800 – 15000 continues to remain a sturdy wall and till the time we do not surpass it, major heavyweights are not going to give any sustainable up move. Yes, at the same time, it’s not falling either; in fact the undertone remained bullish for the major part of the week. On the lower side, 14400 followed by 14200 are to be seen as immediate supports.

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 16-04-2021

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Market witnessed volatile session but manages to end near the day's high level on April 15 despite rising covid cases and wholesale inflation data. At clsoe, the Sensex was up 259 points at 48803, and the Nifty was up 76 points at 14581.