NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 24 MAY TO 28 MAY 2021👇

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15200, 15350, 15500

PIVOT POINT: 15000

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14800, 14650, 14500

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 15175, 15275, 15375

PIVOT POINT: 15100

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  15050, 15000, 14950

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Markets continues with its recent trend where the opening on Monday happens with either upside or a downside gap. For the second straight week markets started the week on a pleasant note owing to some of the cooling off across the globe. Subsequently there was a brief period of consolidation being witnessed in our market as we immediately saw the momentum picking up in the upward direction. Throughout the remaining part of the session, the Nifty went on to post handsome gains over one and half a percent to reclaim the 14900 mark with some authority. . Very much on expected lines, we kick-started the tuesday with a bang beyond the psychological barrier of 15000 and then extended the lead in the initial hour. After cementing its position above 15050, we witnessed some consolidation for the major part of the day. Eventually the index managed to reclaim 15100 on a closing basis by adding another percent to the bulls’ kitty. The global uncertainty reappeared Tuesday night and the way other global peers were trading Wednesday morning, the gap down was eminent in our market as well. Fortunately, we did not start as lower as the SGX was indicating. In fact post the weak opening, our markets recovered completely in the initial trades. However at higher levels, there wasn’t enough strength to go beyond 15150 – 15200 levels. Hence for the remaining part of the day, we remained in a negative territory and kept flirting with the 15050 mark. Eventually, the dull session ended below this point by shedding nearly half a percent to the previous close. Markets witnessed profit taking for the second day in a row and lost nearly a percent. After opening on a flat note, the benchmark traded lackluster however selling pressure in the latter half pushed the index lower. On the sector front, Metal, Banking & Oil & Gas were the top losers wherein Consumer Durables and Capital Goods ended with gains. At close on Thursday, the Sensex was down 337 points at 49564, and the Nifty was down 124 points at 14906. on Friday market built on gains clocked through the day and ended nearly 2 per cent higher on Friday after India's largest public sector bank, State Bank of India, reported a healthy quarterly show. The lender's net profit zoomed over 80 per cent to Rs 6,451 crore in Q4FY21 as it set aside lower provisions and expected asset quality to improve going forward.  Supported by rally in other financial stocks, the BSE barometer of 30-shares ended at 50,540 levels, up 976 points or 1.9 %. Both the indices hit their respective highs of 50,591 and 15,190. 

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 14800; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 15500

We are very much poised to test the record highs soon or may even go beyond it. Before this, 15220 – 15340 are the levels to watch out for. On the flipside, the previous resistance zone of 15050 – 14970 is likely to act as a sheet anchor now. although the financial space did not move to the tune of last week  gigantic rally, it still has the lion’s share in pushing the Nifty beyond the sturdy wall of 15000.

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.

The psychological level of 15200 has proved to be a stiff resistance for the index. We reacted quite sharply and fell over a 100 points. However since 15000 is held on a closing basis, the overall market trend remains bullish. If we break 15000 there will be a reason for concern as if we disrespect that, we could slide down to 14800. On the upside there is still room to achieve a target of 15300-15500. All dips or corrections can be utilized to enter long positions. India VIX moved up 1.72% from 19.31 to 19.65 levels. The fear gauge needs to hold below 20 level to extend the bullish market momentum. On the options front, maximum Put Open Interest stood at 14,000 level followed by 14,500 while maximum Call OI was seen at 15,000 level followed by 15,500. Call writing was seen at strike prices 15,000 and 15,500 while there was Put writing at 14,900 and 15,000 levels. Options data suggested a broader trading range between 14,700 and 15,200 levels.

NIFTY OUTLOOKOPTION TIPS FOR 18 MAY 2021

Dalal Street marched higher on the first trading session of the week. Bulls took control and pulled Sensex 1.7% higher to end at 49,580, while the Nifty closed at 14,923. Indian indices soared with solid gains led by banking, metal and auto stocks due to fall in infection cases. The market expects a rapid fall in daily reported Covid cases which helped to ease concerns over extended lockdowns and sharp correction in FY22 estimates. Banking stocks took a breather as it helped in soothing asset quality concerns.

NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 17 MAY TO 21 MAY 2021👇

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14800, 15000,15200

PIVOT POINT: 14600

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14400, 14200, 14000

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14750, 14850, 14950

PIVOT POINT: 14650

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14550, 14450, 14350

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

Nifty started this week on a gap up, but it then consolidated within a range throughout the day with a positive bias. Amongst a good stock specific action, Nifty managed to end with gains of eighteenths of a percent around 14950. The SGX Nifty hinted at a negative opening for our market on Tuesday and in line with that, we started the tuesday gap down below 14800. However, we did not slip much from the opening levels and the index recovered much of the losses around noon. But since the participation was missing from the index heavyweights, Nifty again corrected and ended the day at 14850. On Wednesday, our markets corrected in the first couple of hours on the back of weak global cues and tested the 14700 support. We witnessed some intraday pullback from there, but again indices corrected sharply as we approached the close and Nifty ended the day tad below 14700 with a loss of over a percent. Thursday market was closed on accounts on Eid. : Friday nifty opened lower and remained in a falling trajectory for the most part of the session. The Sensex ended at 48732 up 42 points while the Nifty settled at 14678, down 19 points. Indian equity markets remained largely range bound over the last week. The Covid situation in India is no doubt grim and hence the health issue is something that could keep markets volatile in the near term. Corporate earnings season for Q4FY21 is underway. So far the earnings reported have been largely in line with consensus expectation. Earnings have been led by strong performance in the banking and commodities sector. Going forward, market will likely track the pace of vaccinations, trajectory of active cases curve and management commentary of companies. Roll-back of localised lockdown and trend of inflation in many global commodities like crude oil and steel will be other key factors to watch-out by investors.

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 14500; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 14950

Nifty’s price structure since its April low shows ascending lows and descending tops. It represents that Nifty is stuck in a congestion phase. Immediate trading band is seen between 14,500-14,950 zone.

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.

The markets have been range-bound between 14400 and 15000. In the short term, 14700 is good support for the index and we are hovering around that level. If we close below this level today, it might prove to be a bearish signal and we will have to review the charts on Monday when the new trading week commences. The Nifty will lose its upside edge if we break 14700 on a closing basis as that might take the index down to 14400.

NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 10 MAY TO 14 MAY '2021 👇

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WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14900, 15100,15300

PIVOT POINT: 14700

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14500, 14300, 14100

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14850, 14900, 15000

PIVOT POINT: 14820

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14750, 14700, 14650

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

On Monday market recovered from the early losses and ended on flat note in the highly volatile market on 3 may 2021 at close, the Sensex was down 63 points at 48718. Index opened a day with a strong gap down but managed to recover all day loses in the second half and closed a day at 14,634 with minimal loss & formed a bullish candle on daily chart. Market fell for the second times in three days on 4 May 2021 , following concerns over FPI selling in the recent past and further action expected to combat the Covid situation. Asian stocks were largely lukewarm on Tuesday as a continuous surge in COVID-19 cases kept investors on the sidelines amid holiday-thinned trade. .Nifty has come under pressure as India’s official tally of coronavirus infections surged past 20 million, IPL cricket tournament has been suspended with immediate effect and corporate management commentary remained cautious on Q1 performance due to lockdowns. Fears of stricter lockdowns also brought caution amongst traders. The indices erased all intra-day gains to end in the negative territory on Tuesday. The sensex ended at 48253, down 465 points while the nifty   closed just shy of 14,500. Indian market rose on 05 may 2021 after the RBI announced measures to further support the economy as coronavirus cases continue to surge. Volumes on the NSE were in line with recent averages. Among sectors, Healthcare, Banks and Metals were the main gainers while Realty was the loser. Nifty formed an inside day on Wednesday, meaning that the high low range for the day was within the high low range of the previous day. However the Nifty closed near its intraday high. Advance decline ratio too became positive.  Benchmark indices and broader markets closed with gains for the first time this week. The sensex closed at 48677 up 424 points. nifty  managed to end at 14617. The indices Sensex and Nifty have been witnessing volatility amid the second COVID-19 wave. Due to this, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) turned net sellers in the month of April, after being net buyers for six consecutive months. The US and other developed markets outperformed in the previous month, which encouraged near term shift of money. Sensex was just shy fo 4900 & Nifty was already above 14700 on the weekly expiry day Thursday 06 may 2021. Monsoon rains that mark the start of the four-month rainy season are likely to enter India through the southern coast around June 1, in line with typical patterns, a top government official said on Thursday. India’s weather office will issue its official forecast for this year's monsoon onset on 15 may 2021, Madhavan Rajeevan, secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences, said in a tweet. Indian benchmark indices rose for the third consecutive session on May 07. Nifty gained 1.3% over the week, gaining for the second consecutive week. Equity markets continued their upward march on Friday and closed the week’s last trading session with gains. The Sensex ended just above 49200 while the Nifty closed at 14823.

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 14500; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 15200

The markets have held 14800 smartly! We need to see if these levels can hold on Monday; if it can, we should be headed to 15000. If we do not hold, we will retrace back to the support levels of 14500. Holding 14400 is imperative for the Nifty.

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.

Nifty closed the week with a marginal gain of 1.74%. The candle for the week is a bullish green candle that closed at the high of the week. Though we have not seen a range expansion. A candle with no lower shadow closing at the high of the week can be considered to be a bullish development. Nifty needs to break above 15000-15050 if the rally has to continue. From the weekly time frame, we can deduce that buyers have gain traction during the week. But the last point of resistance remains at 15000-15200 zones. The consolidation in Nifty is significant and if break above 15100-12000  materializes we should see a sharp rally in the weeks to come. If Nifty slips below 14600 expect some decline to the 14300-14200 zone.

NIFTY OUTLOOK & STOCK FUTURE LEVEL FOR 04 MAY 2021

A fantastic recovery led by metals with a host of stocks in the Indian markets from sugar to rice to tea and coffee kept the screen lively in a highly volatile trading session. Market recovered from the early losses and ended on flat note in the highly volatile market on 3 may 2021   At close, the Sensex was down 63 points at 48718. Index opened a day with a strong gap down but managed to recover all day loses in the second half and closed a day at 14,634 with minimal loss & formed a bullish candle on daily chart. 

The overall structure still looks cautious until trading below 14700 zones. On the higher side, index has stiff hurdle at 14750 -14825 zone, profit booking is suggested around said levels. Fresh breakout will be only above 14850 zone and good supports are placed at 14550 -14500 zone.

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Resistance: 14800, 15000

Support: 14600, 14400

पुट और कॉल ऑप्शन का इस्तेमाल कहां होता है?

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इक्‍विटी डेरिवेटिव ट्रेडिंग से जुड़े कई शब्द आसानी से समझ में नहीं आते हैं. ऑप्शन, कॉल और पुट भी ऐसे शब्दों में शामिल हैं. क्या है इनका मतलब और बाजार के संदर्भ में कैसे होता है इनका इस्तेमाल, यहां जानते हैं !

1. क्या हैं इक्विटी ऑप्शन?

दही आप खाते होंगे. इसके दाम दूध पर निर्भर करते हैं. दूध महंगा होगा तो दही के दाम भी बढ़ जाएंगे. ठीक इसी तरह इक्विटी ऑप्शन की वैल्यू निफ्टी और बैंक निफ्टी जैसे इंडेक्स पर निर्भर करती है. इन इंस्ट्रूमेंट के दो प्रकार होते हैं. कॉल और पुट ऑप्शन. आप इंडेक्स या किसी शेयर के कॉल और पुट में ट्रेड कर सकते हैं !

2. कॉल और पुट ऑप्शन क्या हैं? कॉल के खरीदार को एक तय तरीख और निश्चित मूल्य पर अंडरलाइंग (जिनकी कीमतों के घटने बढ़ने पर कॉल पर असर होगा) स्टॉक खरीदने का अधिकार मिलता है !

यह प्रीमियम चुकाकर खरीदे जाते हैं. यह कुल कीमत का एक हिस्सा होता है. इसी तरह पुट में खरीदार को शेयरों को बेचने का अधिकार मिलता है. कॉल बेचने वाले विक्रेता को खरीदार से प्रीमियम मिलता है. इसे कॉन्ट्रैक्ट के मूल्य पर खरीदार को शेयर देने होते हैं. इसी प्रकार पुट विक्रेता को शेयरों को बेचना होता है !

3. वास्तव में ये कैसे काम करते हैं?
मान लेते हैं कि 29 अप्रैल 2021 को ट्रेडर निफ्टी की 14300 की एक कॉल खरीदता है. इसकी मियाद 29 अप्रैल 2021 को खत्म होनी है. मान लीजिए कि कॉल के हर एक शेयर की कीमत 62 रुपये है !

एक कॉन्ट्रैक्ट में 75 शेयर होते हैं. मान लेते हैं कि 29 अप्रैल 2021 को निफ्टी 14500 रुपये पर बंद होता है. इस तरह 14300 की कॉल में 100 रुपये को 'इन द मनी' कहा जाएगा. इसमें कॉल बेचने वाला ट्रेडर को 100 रुपये के अनुपात में भुगतान करेगा. यानी ट्रेडर को 62 रुपये के हर शेयर पर 38 रुपये का फायदा होगा. यह कुल निवेश पर रिटर्न का 61 फीसदी है !

अब मान लेते हैं कि निफ्टी 14300 की बजाय 14200 पर बंद होता है. इस मामले में 14300 रुपये की कॉल में 100 रुपये को 'आउट ऑफ द मनी' कहेंगे. इसमें कॉल खरीदने वाला बिक्री करने वाले के हाथ पूरे के पूरे प्रीमियम (62 रुपये) की रकम गंवा देगा !

यही बात पुट के लिए भी लागू होती है. बस अंतर यह है कि इसमें निफ्टी के गिरने पर खरीदार को फायदा होगा. वहीं, निफ्टी के बढ़ने पर विक्रेता प्रीमियम को रख लेगा !

4. फ्यूचर से यह कैसे अलग है?

उहादरण में आपने देखा कि खरीदार का नुकसान दिए गए प्रीमियम तक सीमित होता है. लेकिन, कॉल और पुट के विक्रेता का नुकसान असीमित हो सकता है. व्यावहारिक रूप से कॉल और पुट के खरीदार को असीमित फायदा हो सकता है. फ्यूचर के मामले में खरीदार या विक्रेता के नफे-नुकसान की सीमा नहीं होती है !

NIFTY PREDICTION FOR NEXT WEEK 26 APRIL TO 30 APRIL'21

WEEKLY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14400, 14600,14800

PIVOT POINT: 14300

WEEKLY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14200, 14000, 13800

WEEKLY CHART FOR NIFTY

DAILY RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY: 14375, 14475, 14575

PIVOT POINT: 14325

DAILY SUPPORT FOR NIFTY:  14275, 14175, 14075

DAILY CHART FOR NIFTY

This week trading begin on bearish note. Bears returned to Dalal Street and dominate Monday’s trading session, pulling down the market sentiment. market ended lower on April 19 amid fears of impact of the second wave of Covid-19 and the consequent lockdowns on the economy. Nifty has formed a second down gap in 5 days signifying the underlying weakness. However, the close today was near the intraday high thereby making a hanging man type of formation. This could mean some more upside recovery in the near term. However, at higher levels, markets will keep seeing repeated selling given the impact of Covid second wave on businesses and the economy. The Sensex closed 882 points lower at 47949 while the Nifty dived to close at 14359. Bears wreaked havoc on equity markets pulling down almost all segments of the market. The Delhi government on Monday announced a six-day lockdown in the capital city, after Covid cases there out numbers every other city in the country. Tuesday’s volatile session ended on bearish note. Nifty closed the day below 14300 mark at 14296 lower by 63 points sensex closed the day at 44705 down by 243 points. Indices were dragged down by selling in IT, financials and FMCG stocks. Wednesday market was closed on occasion of ram navami. On Thursday After opening on bearish note bulls shown some strength & took market above 14400 & closed the day 109 points up at 14406. The Sensex closed 374 points higher at 48080 Bank stocks came back from the lows with ICICI Bank gaining 3.6% to end as the top Sensex gainer. It was followed by HDFC, Bajaj Auto, and HDFC Bank. Titan, Hindustan Unilever and Asian Paints were the top drags. Volatility inched higher and closed above 23 levels. Bank Nifty was the top sectoral gainer. Amid increasing covid-19 cases, the domestic market recovered from its early losses backed by positive cues from global markets. The market has been going through a correction phase following increasing covid cases, in spite of the optimism due to vaccination drives. Though earnings outcome is expected to have stock-specific movements in the coming days, broader movement in the market will depend on fall in covid cases. On Friday Sensex closed 202 points, lower at 47878 while the Nifty closed 65 points down at 14341. Markets sought to ignore a potential hike in US capital gains tax to nearly 43% for wealthy individuals. The result was a bounce from opening lows, but the optimism as such could not sustain and profit booking emerged as Nifty approached the 10-day exponential moving average. Traders seemed reluctant to carry overnight gains into the weekend, amid rising COVID-19 numbers

NIFTY: A STRONG SUPPORT WILL BE @ 14200; STRONG RESISTANCE LEVEL SEEN @ 14500

The market failed to show resilience to stay above 14,400. While it is subject to further price action evolution, the technical factors are aligned to support a lackluster market movement going forward.  Any corrective wave down should find support around 14200 -14000. Traders should refrain from building a fresh buying position until we witness a correction till 14200 -14000 or a breakout above the 14500.

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.

he focus of the investors and nation has shifted to sudden rise in Covid cases. The central government has said that they don’t intend to announce national lockdown to control the Covid infection and has also advised State governments to use lockdown as last measure. However, many states have announced varied degrees of restriction on movement of people depending on the severity of the situation in their region. This is expected to impact the economy in this quarter and there have been downgrades to India’s growth in FY22 by upto 1%. The pace of vaccination will be crucial for quicker normalisation of economic activity. The corporate have started announcing results for the March quarter and there are no major disappointments so far. Consensus is expecting sharp increase in net profit due to the Covid-led disruption in the base quarter. It will be important to observe comments of Banking and domestic consumer oriented companies about impact of recent surge in Covid infection on their business.  Nifty is trading at 21 times 1 year forward EPS, which is close to all time high. Hence upside from valuation rerating is limited and one needs to watch if there are any earnings downgrade due to emerging Covid situation. We have seen the recovery in the market from the level of 14200 yesterday and we expect the market to continue to sustain the level and continue the rally till the level of 14,500-14700. The market could range in between the levels of 14200 -14500 as the uncertainty looms in the market. On the sectoral front, the market has been mixed with no clear direction though the power sector has gained some momentum and has helped the market to stay positive.